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Heuristics and Biases
edited_book
Editor(s):
Thomas Gilovich
,
Dale Griffin
,
Daniel Kahneman
Publication date
(Online):
June 05 2012
Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
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Book
ISBN (Print):
9780521792608
ISBN (Electronic):
9780511808098
ISBN (Print):
9780521796798
Publication date (Online):
June 05 2012
Publication date (Print):
July 08 2002
DOI:
10.1017/CBO9780511808098
SO-VID:
ce650b33-0678-4671-89e3-edecaadb0411
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Book chapters
pp. xv
Preface
pp. 1
Introduction – Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now
pp. 19
Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning
pp. 49
Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment
pp. 82
How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A Disjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgments
pp. 98
Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery
pp. 103
The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information
pp. 120
Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value
pp. 139
Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic
pp. 150
Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should”
pp. 167
Inferential Correction
pp. 185
Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem
pp. 201
Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”
pp. 217
Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice
pp. 230
The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence
pp. 250
Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions
pp. 271
Probability Judgment across Cultures
pp. 292
Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting
pp. 313
Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions
pp. 324
Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability
pp. 334
When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism
pp. 348
Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives
pp. 367
Counterfactual Thought, Regret, and Superstition: How to Avoid Kicking Yourself
pp. 379
Two Systems of Reasoning
pp. 397
The Affect Heuristic
pp. 421
Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate?
pp. 441
Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability
pp. 474
Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory
pp. 489
Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions
pp. 510
The Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning
pp. 534
Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies
pp. 548
Automated Choice Heuristics
pp. 559
How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics?
pp. 582
Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors
pp. 601
The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences
pp. 617
Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs
pp. 625
When Less Is More: Counterfactual Thinking and Satisfaction among Olympic Medalists
pp. 636
Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives
pp. 666
Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants
pp. 678
Do Analysts Overreact?
pp. 686
The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory
pp. 716
Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment
pp. 730
Heuristics and Biases in Application
pp. 749
Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics
pp. 763
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