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Mathletics: How Gamblers, Managers, and Sports Enthusiasts Use Mathematics in Baseball, Basketball, and Football
34. Are NBA Officials Prejudiced?
monograph
Publication date:
December 31 2012
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
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Book
ISBN (Electronic):
9781400842070
Publication date:
December 31 2012
DOI:
10.1515/9781400842070
Product
Self URI ( Book ):
http://www.degruyter.com/view/books/9781400842070/9781400842070/9781400842070.xml
Book Chapter
Publication date:
December 31 2012
Pages
: 237-241
DOI:
10.1515/9781400842070.237
Product
Self URI ( Book ):
http://www.degruyter.com/view/books/9781400842070/9781400842070/9781400842070.xml
Self URI ( Book Chapter ):
http://www.degruyter.com/view/books/9781400842070/9781400842070.237/9781400842070.237.xml
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Book chapters
pp. i
Frontmatter
pp. vii
CONTENTS
pp. xi
Preface
pp. xiii
Acknowledgments
pp. xv
List of Abbreviations
pp. 3
1. Baseball’s Pythagorean Theorem
pp. 11
2. Who Had a Better Year, Nomar Garciaparra or Ichiro Suzuki? The Runs- Created Approach
pp. 17
3. Evaluating Hitters by Linear Weights
pp. 30
4. Evaluating Hitters by Monte Carlo Simulation
pp. 41
5. Evaluating Baseball Pitchers and Forecasting Future Pitcher Performance
pp. 52
6. Baseball Decision- Making
pp. 64
7. Evaluating Fielders Sabermetrics’ Last Frontier
pp. 71
8. Player Win Averages
pp. 79
9. The Value of Replacement Players Evaluating Trades and Fair Salary
pp. 84
10. Park Factors
pp. 87
11. Streakiness in Sports
pp. 102
12. The Platoon Effect
pp. 106
13. Was Tony Perez a Great Clutch Hitter?
pp. 110
14. Pitch Count and Pitcher Effectiveness
pp. 113
15. Would Ted Williams Hit .406 Today?
pp. 116
16. Was Joe DiMaggio’s 56- Game Hitting Streak the Greatest Sports Record of All Time?
pp. 123
17. Major League Equivalents
pp. 127
18. What Makes NFL Teams Win?
pp. 132
19. Who’s Better, Tom Brady or Peyton Manning?
pp. 138
20. Football States and Values
pp. 143
21. Football Decision- Making 101
pp. 151
22. A State and Value Analysis of the 2006 Super Bowl Champion Colts
pp. 158
23. If Passing Is Better Than Running, Why Don’t Teams Always Pass?
pp. 165
24. Should We Go for a One- Point or Two- Point Conversion
pp. 172
25. To Give Up the Ball Is Better Than to Receive The Case of College Football Overtime
pp. 175
26. Why Is the NFL’s Overtime System Fatally Flawed?
pp. 180
27. How Valuable Are High Draft Picks in the NFL?
pp. 187
28. Basketball Statistics 101 The Four- Factor Model
pp. 195
29. Linear Weights for Evaluating NBA Players
pp. 202
30. Adjusted+/-Player Ratings
pp. 224
31. NBA Lineup Analysis
pp. 228
32. Analyzing Team and Individual Matchups
pp. 233
33. NBA Players’ Salaries and the Draft
pp. 237
34. Are NBA Officials Prejudiced?
pp. 242
35. Are College Basketball Games Fixed?
pp. 244
36. Did Tim Donaghy Fix NBA Games?
pp. 248
37. End- Game Basketball Strategy
pp. 255
38. Sports Gambling 101
pp. 262
39. Freakonomics Meets the Bookmaker
pp. 266
40. Rating Sports Teams
pp. 283
41. Which League Has Greater Parity, The NFL or the NBA?
pp. 287
42. The Ratings Percentage Index (RPI)
pp. 290
43. From Point Ratings to Probabilities
pp. 298
44. Optimal Money Management The Kelly Growth Criteria
pp. 303
45. Ranking Great Sports Collapses
pp. 311
46. Can Money Buy Success?
pp. 319
47. Does Joey Crawford Hate the Spurs?
pp. 321
48. Does Fatigue Make Cowards of Us All? The Case of NBA Back- to- Back Games and NFL Bye Weeks
pp. 324
49. Can the Bowl Championship Series Be Saved?
pp. 331
50. Comparing Players from Different Eras
pp. 335
51. Conclusions
pp. 341
Epilogue to the Paperback Edition
pp. 355
Index of Databases
pp. 357
Annotated Bibliography
pp. 367
Index
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