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      Does the H index have predictive power?

      Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
      Achievement, Bibliometrics, Mathematical Computing, Prognosis, Publications, Science

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          Abstract

          Bibliometric measures of individual scientific achievement are of particular interest if they can be used to predict future achievement. Here we report results of an empirical study of the predictive power of the h index compared with other indicators. Our findings indicate that the h index is better than other indicators considered (total citation count, citations per paper, and total paper count) in predicting future scientific achievement. We discuss reasons for the superiority of the h index.

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          Author and article information

          Journal
          18040045
          2148266
          10.1073/pnas.0707962104

          Chemistry
          Achievement,Bibliometrics,Mathematical Computing,Prognosis,Publications,Science
          Chemistry
          Achievement, Bibliometrics, Mathematical Computing, Prognosis, Publications, Science

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