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      Assessing the Impact of Misclassification Error on an Epidemiological Association between Two Helminthic Infections

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          Abstract

          Background

          Polyparasitism can lead to severe disability in endemic populations. Yet, the association between soil-transmitted helminth (STH) and the cumulative incidence of Schistosoma japonicum infection has not been described. The aim of this work was to quantify the effect of misclassification error, which occurs when less than 100% accurate tests are used, in STH and S. japonicum infection status on the estimation of this association.

          Methodology/Principal Findings

          Longitudinal data from 2276 participants in 50 villages in Samar province, Philippines treated at baseline for S. japonicum infection and followed for one year, served as the basis for this analysis. Participants provided 1–3 stool samples at baseline and 12 months later (2004–2005) to detect infections with STH and S. japonicum using the Kato-Katz technique. Variation from day-to-day in the excretion of eggs in feces introduces individual variations in the sensitivity and specificity of the Kato-Katz to detect infection. Bayesian logit models were used to take this variation into account and to investigate the impact of misclassification error on the association between these infections. Uniform priors for sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic test to detect the three STH and S. japonicum were used. All results were adjusted for age, sex, occupation, and village-level clustering. Without correction for misclassification error, the odds ratios (ORs) between hookworm, Ascaris lumbricoides, and Trichuris trichiura, and S. japonicum infections were 1.28 (95% Bayesian credible intervals: 0.93, 1.76), 0.91 (95% BCI: 0.66, 1.26), and 1.11 (95% BCI: 0.80, 1.55), respectively, and 2.13 (95% BCI: 1.16, 4.08), 0.74 (95% BCI: 0.43, 1.25), and 1.32 (95% BCI: 0.80, 2.27), respectively, after correction for misclassification error for both exposure and outcome.

          Conclusions/Significance

          The misclassification bias increased with decreasing test accuracy. Hookworm infection was found to be associated with increased 12-month cumulative incidence of S. japonicum infection after correction for misclassification error. Such important associations might be missed in analyses which do not adjust for misclassification errors.

          Author Summary

          Hookworm, roundworm, and whipworm are collectively known as soil-transmitted helminths. These worms are prevalent in most of the developing countries along with another parasitic infection called schistosomiasis. The tests commonly used to detect infection with these worms are less than 100% accurate. This leads to misclassification of infection status since these tests cannot always correctly indentify infection. We conducted an epidemiological study where such a test, the Kato-Katz technique, was used. In our study we tried to show how misclassification error can influence the association between soil-transmitted helminth infection and schistosomiasis in humans. We used a statistical technique to calculate epidemiological measures of association after correcting for the inaccuracy of the test. Our results show that there is a major difference between epidemiological measures of association before and after the correction of the inaccuracy of the test. After correction of the inaccuracy of the test, soil-transmitted helminth infection was found to be associated with increased risk of acquiring schistosomiasis. This has major public health implications since effective control of one worm can lead to reduction in the occurrence of another and help to reduce the overall burden of worm infection in affected regions.

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          Most cited references52

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          Incorporating a Rapid-Impact Package for Neglected Tropical Diseases with Programs for HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria

          Hotez et al. argue that achieving success in the global fight against HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria may well require a concurrent attack on the neglected tropical diseases.
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            Concomitant infections, parasites and immune responses.

            Concomitant infections are common in nature and often involve parasites. A number of examples of the interactions between protozoa and viruses, protozoa and bacteria, protozoa and other protozoa, protozoa and helminths, helminths and viruses, helminths and bacteria, and helminths and other helminths are described. In mixed infections the burden of one or both the infectious agents may be increased, one or both may be suppressed or one may be increased and the other suppressed. It is now possible to explain many of these interactions in terms of the effects parasites have on the immune system, particularly parasite-induced immunodepression, and the effects of cytokines controlling polarization to the Th1 or Th2 arms of the immune response. In addition, parasites may be affected, directly or indirectly, by cytokines and other immune effector molecules and parasites may themselves produce factors that affect the cells of the immune system. Parasites are, therefore, affected when they themselves, or other organisms, interact with the immune response and, in particular, the cytokine network. The importance of such interactions is discussed in relation to clinical disease and the development and use of vaccines.
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              Bayesian approaches to modeling the conditional dependence between multiple diagnostic tests.

              Many analyses of results from multiple diagnostic tests assume the tests are statistically independent conditional on the true disease status of the subject. This assumption may be violated in practice, especially in situations where none of the tests is a perfectly accurate gold standard. Classical inference for models accounting for the conditional dependence between tests requires that results from at least four different tests be used in order to obtain an identifiable solution, but it is not always feasible to have results from this many tests. We use a Bayesian approach to draw inferences about the disease prevalence and test properties while adjusting for the possibility of conditional dependence between tests, particularly when we have only two tests. We propose both fixed and random effects models. Since with fewer than four tests the problem is nonidentifiable, the posterior distributions are strongly dependent on the prior information about the test properties and the disease prevalence, even with large sample sizes. If the degree of correlation between the tests is known a priori with high precision, then our methods adjust for the dependence between the tests. Otherwise, our methods provide adjusted inferences that incorporate all of the uncertainty inherent in the problem, typically resulting in wider interval estimates. We illustrate our methods using data from a study on the prevalence of Strongyloides infection among Cambodian refugees to Canada.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS Negl Trop Dis
                plos
                plosntds
                PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, USA )
                1935-2727
                1935-2735
                March 2011
                29 March 2011
                : 5
                : 3
                : e995
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, United States of America
                [2 ]Department of Family, Community and Rural Health, The Commonwealth Medical College, Scranton, Pennsylvania, United States of America
                [3 ]International Health Institute, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, United States of America
                [4 ]Division of Clinical Epidemiology, McGill University Health Centre, Montréal, Canada
                [5 ]Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Alabang, Muntinlupa City, Philippines
                George Washington University, United States of America
                Author notes

                Conceived and designed the experiments: MRT. Performed the experiments: HC STM EB RO. Analyzed the data: MRT HC LJ. Wrote the paper: MRT. Interpreted the data: MRT HC LJ. Contributed to all phases of the field study: STM. Supervised the acquisition of data: EB RO.

                Article
                10-PNTD-RA-1132R3
                10.1371/journal.pntd.0000995
                3066162
                21468317
                02805e58-60ec-468f-929d-6bd432638ceb
                Tarafder et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
                History
                : 5 May 2010
                : 3 March 2011
                Page count
                Pages: 7
                Categories
                Research Article
                Infectious Diseases/Epidemiology and Control of Infectious Diseases
                Infectious Diseases/Helminth Infections
                Infectious Diseases/Neglected Tropical Diseases
                Public Health and Epidemiology/Epidemiology
                Public Health and Epidemiology/Global Health
                Public Health and Epidemiology/Infectious Diseases

                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                Infectious disease & Microbiology

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