Hypocalcemia is highly prevalent and predicts hospitalization in patients with COVID-19

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), presents primarily with fever, dry cough, and fatigue or myalgia [1]. Although most patients have a favorable prognosis, infection may not infrequently lead to a severe syndrome requiring hospitalization and assisted ventilation with high lethality [2]. Previous studies have reported that calcium played a central role in viral infectious and replicative mechanisms of SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV, and Ebolavirus [3–5]. In a large group of SARS patients in North America, hypocalcemia was detected in 60% of patients at hospital admission and in 70% during hospitalization [6]. Moreover, data from patients with Ebolavirus infection in United States and European hospitals reported a similar incidence of hypocalcemia [7]. Several studies investigated so far the clinical and laboratory characteristics of COVID-19 patients, including inflammatory and organ injury biomarkers [8]. Recently, we have reported the first case of COVID-19 presenting with severe hypocalcemia [9]. However, no population data are available on calcium levels in COVID-19 [10]. The aim of our study was to investigate the incidence of hypocalcemia in a large single center population of COVID-19 patients and evaluate its possible clinical implications. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study at IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, a tertiary health-care hospital in Milan, Italy. We included patients (aged ≥ 18 years) with COVID-19 admitted to our Emergency Department (ED). We excluded COVID-19 patients transferred from other hospitals and patients initially hospitalized for other diseases. Only patients with serum ionized calcium data from arterial blood gas tests performed at initial evaluation in the ED were included. Ionized calcium levels were expressed both as actually measured levels (AC) and as adjusted mathematically to a standardized pH of 7.4. levels (SC) to avoid influence of sample handling. Hypocalcemia was defined as calcium level below 1.18 mmol/L (RapidPoint 500 Analyzer, VA, USA). We excluded patients with comorbidities and concomitant therapies influencing calcium metabolism: chronic kidney disease, osteoporosis, patients on glucocorticoids and antiepileptic drugs, vitamin D/calcium, loop/thiazide diuretics, and patients with an eGFR≤30 mL/min/1.73 m2 using creatinine levels at initial evaluation. Assessed outcomes included hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and death. This study is part of the COVID-19 Biobank study, which is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04318366 and obtained specific approval by the local EC. Statistical analysis was conducted with SPSS 23.0 version (Chicago, USA). Categorical variables were indicated as frequency (%) and continuous variables as medians (IQR). Differences in variable frequencies between groups were calculated using the Fisher test and the Mann–Whitney U test for continuous variables. All statistical tests were two-sided. A p value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Linear regression analyses were used to correlate continuous variables. Univariate and multivariate analyses performing binary logistic regression were used to calculate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results A total of 531 patients were included in the study. Demographic and clinical patients’ characteristics are summarized in Table 1. On initial hospital evaluation, median AC level was 1.1 mmol/L [1.07–1.15] and SC level was 1.14 mmol/L [1.1–1.17]. Hypocalcemia was found in 462 patients (82%) with AC levels, in 414 (78.6%) patients with SC levels. Using AC levels 18 patients (3.4%) presented a severe hypocalcemia with values lower than 0.99 mmol/L, using SC this was found in 10 patients (1.9%). Table 1 Baseline characteristics of patients with Covid-19 included in the study No. (%) Demographic information  Total No. 531  Age, median (IQR), year 59 (50–69)  Gender   Female 171 (32.2%)   Male 360 (67.8%)  Ethnicity   Caucasian 449 (84.6%)   Latin American 70 (13.2%)   Asian 8 (1.5%)   Sub-Saharan African 4 (0.8%)  BMI, median (IQR), kg/m2 27 (24–30) Comorbidities  Total No. 531  Hypertension 177 (33.3%)  Coronary artery disease 34 (6.4%)  Diabetes   Type 1 5 (0.9%)   Type 2 68 (12.8%  Cancera 11 (2.1%)  Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 10 (1.8%)  Neurological disabilities 11 (2.1%) Laboratory results at admission  pH, median (IQR) 7.47 (7.44–7.5)  Ionized calcium levels, median (IQR), mmol/L   Actual calcium 1.1 (1.07–1.15)   Standardized calcium 1.14 (1.1–1.17)  eGFR, median (IQR), mL/min/1.73 m2 85 (68.8–97.7)  Total calcium levelsb, median (IQR), mmol/L 2.14 (2.05–2.2)  LDH, median (IQR), U/L 359 (273–457)  CRP, median (IQR), mg/L 66 (26.2–123.4) BMI body mass index; COVID-19 coronavirus disease 2019, IQR interquartile range aOnly active neoplasms were included in this section bCalcium values at admission have not been corrected for serum albumin Hypocalcemic patients were more frequently males (AC, 69% vs 57% p = 0.06; SC, 70% vs 60% p = 0.046) and older (AC, 59 years [51–69] vs 53 years [45–67] p = 0.01). LDH and CRP levels were very significantly higher in hypocalcemic vs normocalcemic patients (Fig. 1). Moreover, linear regression analyses showed a negative correlation of calcium levels with LDH (AC, p < 0.001, r 2 = 0.074; SC, p < 0.001, r 2 = 0.055) and CRP levels (AC, p < 0.001, r 2 = 0.038; SC, p < 0.001, r 2 = 0.025). Fig. 1 Inflammatory parameters in patients with (YES) or without (NO) hypocalcemia based on actual and standardized ionized calcium levels Four hundred twenty-four patients (79.8%) were hospitalized after initial evaluation, they had significantly lower ionized calcium levels as compared to non-hospitalized patients (AC, 1.1 [1.06–1.4] vs 1.14 (1.1–1.18] mmoll/L, p < 0.001; SC, 1.13 [1.1–1.17] vs 1.16 [1.12–1.2] mmol/L, p < 0.001). In univariate and multivariate analyses, hypocalcemia was an independent risk factor highly associated with hospitalization (AC, p < 0.001 SC, p < 0.001) (Table 2). Table 2 Multivariate analyses of possible risk factors for hospitalization in our study population Variables* Odds ratio [95% confidence interval] p value A. Age 1.06 [1.03-1.09] p  < 0.001 Male gender 1.83 [1.002-3.35] p  = 0.049 Hypertension 1.3 [0.63–2.69] p = 0.46 Coronary artery disease 1.59 [0.38–6.6] p = 0.52 Type 2 diabetes 2.24 [0.75–6.6] p = 0.15 Hypocalcemia (AC) 2.27 [2.72–11.6] p  < 0.001 eGFR 1 [0.99–1.02] p = 0.42 LDH 1.004 [1.001–1.007] p  = 0.004 CRP 1.008 [1.002–1.014] p  = 0.011 B. Age 1.06 [1.03–1.09] p  < 0.001 Male gender 1.67 [0.91–3.0.6] p = 0.097 Hypertension 1.23 [0.59–2.52] p = 0.57 Coronary artery disease 1.83 [0.45–7.47] p = 0.4 Type 2 diabetes 1.95 [0.67–5.61] p = 0.22 Hypocalcemia (SC) 4.15 [2.21–7.78] p  < 0.001 eGFR 0.99 [0.98–1.01] p = 0.46 LDH 1.005 [1.002–1.008] p  = 0.003 CRP 1.009 [1.002–1.015] p  = 0.006 *Only variables with p < 0.3 in univariate analyses were included in multivariate analyses. Section A: hypocalcemia based on AC; section B: hypocalcemia based on SC. P values reported in bold are those statistically significant. Thirty-four patients (11.6%) and 33 patients (11.5%), based on AC or SC levels, respectively, developed severe hypocalcemia during hospitalization. Fifty-eight out of 531 patients died (11.5%) and 62 (11.7%) were admitted to ICU. Hypocalcemia at initial evaluation was significantly (p < 0.05) associated with these two outcomes only in univariate analyses (death: AC, OR 4.9 CI 95% [1.18–20.8]; SC, OR 2.6 CI 95% [1.1–6.32]; ICU admission: AC, OR 5 CI 95% [1.19–20.9], SC, OR 2.7 CI 95% [1.14–6.5]) but not in multivariate analyses. Discussion In previous studies, hypocalcemia was associated with higher mortality and poor clinical outcome in hospitalized and critically ill patients [11, 12]. Several reports demonstrated a crucial role of calcium in viral fusion for different enveloped viruses such as SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV, and Ebolavirus [3–5]. Calcium directly interacted with fusion peptides of these viruses promoting their replication [3–5]. Moreover, in SARS-CoV and Ebolavirus patients, hypocalcemia was a very frequent laboratory finding although its mechanistic and clinical relevance as well as its prognostic significance were not fully elucidated [6, 7]. Surprisingly, so far despite the already extensive literature available in COVID-19 and its related biochemical markers of activity and prognosis, no peer reviewed published data are yet available on calcium levels in this emerging disease. Only recently we observed a patient with COVID-19 presenting with severe hypocalcemia who had in the history total-thyroidectomy as risk factor for subclinical hypoparathyroidism [13]. Therefore, to our knowledge this is the first study that revealed a very high incidence of hypocalcemia in a large monocentric population of COVID-19 patients at initial hospital evaluation. The observed rate of hypocalcemia was higher in comparison to the previous studies in SARS-CoV and Ebolavirus patients and this could be explained partly because we used serum ionized calcium levels, a more reliable measure than total calcium levels corrected for albumin. Moreover, highly prevalent hypovitaminosis D in the northern regions of Italy may be a predisposing factor in our study population [14]. Calcium levels at initial evaluation were lower in finally hospitalized vs non-hospitalized patients, and hypocalcemia was found to be an independent risk factor for hospitalization. Moreover, the strong association between high LDH and CRP levels and low calcium levels which can be observed in Tumor Lysis Syndrome [15] may support the definition of COVID-19 as a Cytopathic Viral lysis syndrome. This suggests a possible role of ionized calcium as useful biochemical marker of disease aggressiveness, since also easy to measure in emergency, helping clinicians in identifying severe patients at initial hospital evaluation. Moreover, the relative high proportion of patients who developed severe hypocalcemia during hospitalization supports its specific relevance to the disease. In univariate analyses hypocalcemia was also found to be associated with mortality and ICU admission, but this was not maintained in multivariate analyses likely, due to many other interfering factors included different therapeutic approaches. In conclusion, since hypocalcemia is highly incident in COVID-19 patients and predicts the need for hospitalization we suggest that ionized calcium should always be assessed at initial hospital evaluation in order to identify more severe patients. Finally, since hypocalcemia may have negative impact on cardiac outcomes and may be even lethal when severe and acute we suggest calcium monitoring and adequate supplementation when indicated in all hospitalized patients with COVID-19 [13].