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      Has the mortality of septic shock changed with time.

      Critical Care Medicine
      APACHE, Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Female, Global Health, Hospital Mortality, trends, Humans, Incidence, Intensive Care, methods, Male, Middle Aged, Shock, Septic, microbiology, mortality, therapy, Time Factors

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          Abstract

          To determine whether a systematic review of the literature could identify changes in the mortality of septic shock over time. A review of all relevant papers from 1958 to August 1997, identified through a MEDLINE search and from the bibliographies of articles identified. The search identified 131 studies (99 prospective and 32 retrospective) involving a total of 10,694 patients. The patients' mean age was 57 yrs with no change over time. The overall mortality rate in the 131 studies was 49.7%. There was an overall significant trend of decreased mortality over the period studied (r=.49, p < .05). The mortality rate in those patients with bacteremia as an entry criterion was greater than that rate in patients whose entry criterion was sepsis without definite bacteremia (52.1% vs. 49.1%; chi2=6.1 and p< .05). The site of infection altered noticeably over the years. Chest-related infections increased over time, with Gram-negative infections becoming proportionately less common. If all other organisms and mixed infections are included with the Gram-positives, the result is more dramatic, with these organisms being causative in just 10% of infections between 1958 and 1979 but in 31% of infections between 1980 and 1997. The present review showed a slight reduction in mortality from septic shock over the years, although this result should be approached with caution. The heterogeneity of the articles and absence of a severity score for most of the studies limited our analysis. Furthermore, there was an increasing prevalence of Gram-positive causative organisms, and a change of the predominant origin of sepsis from the abdomen to the chest.

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