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      Evidence for declining forest resilience to wildfires under climate change

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          Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013

          Climate strongly influences global wildfire activity, and recent wildfire surges may signal fire weather-induced pyrogeographic shifts. Here we use three daily global climate data sets and three fire danger indices to develop a simple annual metric of fire weather season length, and map spatio-temporal trends from 1979 to 2013. We show that fire weather seasons have lengthened across 29.6 million km2 (25.3%) of the Earth's vegetated surface, resulting in an 18.7% increase in global mean fire weather season length. We also show a doubling (108.1% increase) of global burnable area affected by long fire weather seasons (>1.0 σ above the historical mean) and an increased global frequency of long fire weather seasons across 62.4 million km2 (53.4%) during the second half of the study period. If these fire weather changes are coupled with ignition sources and available fuel, they could markedly impact global ecosystems, societies, economies and climate.
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            Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modelling

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              Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984-2011

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Ecology Letters
                Ecol Lett
                Wiley-Blackwell
                1461023X
                February 2018
                February 12 2018
                : 21
                : 2
                : 243-252
                Article
                10.1111/ele.12889
                29230936
                189d28bf-2f42-4682-97e7-f7b825538e6a
                © 2018

                http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1.1

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