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      Rainfall and Development of Zika Virus

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          Abstract

          Dear Editor, We read the publication on “Rainfall and Development of Zika Virus” with a great interest (1). Tosepu mentioned that “there is a relationship between the incidence of vectorborne diseases with rainfall” (1). In fact, this is not a new finding. The relationship between rainfall and incidence of arbovirus disease such as dengue is well demonstrated (2). For Zika virus an infection, a similar observation can be expected. A recent report from Thailand can also show the expected pattern of the prevalence of Zika virus infection in the areas with high rainfall (3). Nevertheless, it should be noted that there are also other factors that affect the epidemiology of Zika virus infection. The temperature is a good example. For the Indonesian case, Tosepu recently published another similar study confirming the relationship between temperature and Zika virus infection prevalence (4). Finally, the important fact is that Zika virus infection has multimodal transmission. The non-mosquito transmission is possible and this makes a significant distortion in the relationship between either rainfall or temperature and Zika virus infection prevalence.

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          An observation on correlation between rainfall and the prevalence of clinical cases of dengue in Thailand.

          An investigation was carried out in Thailand to study the correlation between rainfall and prevalence of dengue infection during 2002-03, which can be used for prevention and control of the disease. Rainfall data (2002-03) collected from Ministry of Public Health were utilised for transformation of the infection and the rainfall data were derived from Royal Irrigation Department, Thailand. The correlation between the rainfall and the prevalence of dengue was assessed by regression analysis. The least square equation plot prevalence (y) versus rainfall (x) is y = 3.0x + 4.6 (r = 0.78, p < 0.05) (r = 0.68, p < 0.05). The study indicated that the prevalence of dengue infection in Thailand may depend on rainfall. Therefore, the surveillance and control of mosquito should be intensified during the period with high rainfall is recommended. However, the other confounding factors like ambient temperature and humidity which also determine the transmission of dengue should be looked into, before concluding that the increased prevalence is a result of rainfall alone. Further, similar studies to assess the correlation between the rainfall and prevalence of infection in the other countries are required to confirm these observations.
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            Predicted pattern of Zika virus infection distribution with reference to rainfall in Thailand.

            Zika virus infection is the present global medical problem. The disease appears in several countries around the world. The relationship between rainfall and occurrence of Zika virus infection was previously mentioned. Here, the authors use the mathematical modeling technique to reappraise on the previous data on immunoreactivity rate of Zika virus, dengue virus and Ckikungunya virus in Thailand and the reported interrelationship between arboviral infections and rainfall in Thailand for constructing of the predicted pattern of Zika virus distribution in Thailand. This data can be a useful tool for further disease surveillance in this area.
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              The Appropriate Rainfall to Development of Zika Virus: An Indonesian Case

              Dear Editor, Zika virus has become a critical problem needing serious attention. This virus is transmitted through mosquito bites, Aedes, and it is strongly influenced by climatic factors such as temperature, rainfall and humidity (1,2). Zika virus infections have been spreading in Southeast Asian contries such as Singapore, Myanmar, Thailand, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Cambodia, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam and Indonesia (3). In Indonesia, Zika virus was detected from a young man in Jambi Province (4). Jambi is located in the island of Sumatra, Indonesia. The discovery of this case becomes a serious concern because the young man has never traveled internationally, which contradicts with various studies that claim that the distribution of Zika virus was associated with traveling abroad (5). In line with this case, a descriptive study was conducted to assess climate rainfall in Jambi province. The results indicated thatrainfall max = 2463.0 mm, rainfall min = 16.8 mm with average rainfall = 352.2 mm was appropriate for zika virus. Rainfall is likely to increase the transmission of Zika virus by accelerating the development of the vector (6,7). A research conducted in Batam, Indonesia, revealed that there is a relationship between the incidence of vector-borne diseases with rainfall (8).The rainy season is the right time for the vector mosquitoes to hatch their eggs (9). Theref, it can be said that rainfall in the Province of Jambi is one of the factors that can develop Zika virus.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Ethiop J Health Sci
                Ethiop J Health Sci
                Ethiopian Journal of Health Sciences
                Research and Publications Office of Jimma University (Jimma, Ethiopia )
                1029-1857
                2413-7170
                November 2017
                : 27
                : 6
                : 683
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Sanitationa1 Medical Academic Center, Bangkok Thailand 2TB/HIV Research Directorate, Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
                [2 ]Visiting professor, Hainan Medical University, China
                Author notes

                Funding: None

                Competing Interests: The authors declare that this manuscript was approved by all authors in its formand that no competing interest exists.

                Article
                jEJHS.v27.i6.pg683
                5811948
                29487478
                19f243a0-5b25-4071-a7a7-f6f62277e682
                Copyright: © 2017 Beuy J. et al.

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 4 May 2017
                : 10 May 2017
                Categories
                Letter to the Editor

                Medicine
                Medicine

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