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      [Analysis on transmission chain of a cluster epidemic of COVID-19, Nanchang].

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          Abstract

          Objective: Based on an investigation of an outbreak of COVID-19 in Nanchang, to understand the transmission process, analyze the infectivity of the cases in incubation period and asymptomatic carrier, and evaluate the transmission risks in different exposures. Methods: Case investigation was based on the traditional epidemiological survey, combined with analysis based on big data about population movement trajectories. Transmission chain was identified to indicate transmission relationship. Results: A total of 27 cases were found in this cluster epidemic, including 25 confirmed cases, 1 suspected case (index case) and 1 asymptomatic carrier. A total of 347 close contacts were found. The secondary attack rate was 7.2% (25/347). The infection rates in close contacts of the first, second, third and fourth generation cases were 52.6% (10/19), 6.1% (13/213), 2.3% (2/88) and 0.0% (0/27), respectively. Asymptomatic carrier caused household transmission. The infection rates in close contacts after having meals, sharing rooms/beds, having work contacts, having neighbor contacts, having same time medical services or sharing wards and sharing vehicles with the patients were 10.6%(17/160), 10.0%(20/201), 5.3%(5/94), 0.0%(0/30), 0.0%(0/18) and 0.0%(0/17), respectively. Conclusions: The infection source of this cluster epidemic was a suspected case from Wuhan. Analysis based on big data about population movement trajectories can help to search the cases and close contacts accurately. The proposed epidemic prevention and control measures based on this investigation were effective.

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          Author and article information

          Journal
          Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi
          Zhonghua liu xing bing xue za zhi = Zhonghua liuxingbingxue zazhi
          0254-6450
          0254-6450
          Sep 10 2020
          : 41
          : 9
          Affiliations
          [1 ] Nanchang Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Collaboration Unit for Field Epidemiology of State Key Laboratory for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Animal-origin and Vector-borne Diseases, Nanchang 330038, China.
          [2 ] Nanchang Xihu District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang 330025, China.
          [3 ] Nanchang Donghu District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang 330008, China.
          Article
          10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20200313-00334
          33076591
          1b5ccb31-75f8-49ec-99a7-e1a500baabf2
          History

          Incubation period,COVID-19,Asymptomatic carrier,Close contact

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