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      Soil salinity, household wealth and food insecurity in tropical deltas: evidence from south-west coast of Bangladesh

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          Abstract

          As a creeping process, salinisation represents a significant long-term environmental risk in coastal and deltaic environments. Excess soil salinity may exacerbate existing risks of food insecurity in densely populated tropical deltas, which is likely to have a negative effect on human and ecological sustainability of these regions and beyond. This study focuses on the coastal regions of the Ganges–Brahmaputra delta in Bangladesh, and uses data from the 2010 Household Income and Expenditure Survey and the Soil Resource Development Institute to investigate the effect of soil salinity and wealth on household food security. The outcome variables are two widely used measures of food security: calorie availability and household expenditure on food items. The main explanatory variables tested include indicators of soil salinity and household-level socio-economic characteristics. The results of logistic regression show that in unadjusted models, soil salinisation has a significant negative effect on household food security. However, this impact becomes statistically insignificant when households’ wealth is taken into account. The results further suggest that education and remittance flows, but not gender or working status of the household head, are significant predictors of food insecurity in the study area. The findings indicate the need to focus scholarly and policy attention on reducing wealth inequalities in tropical deltas in the context of the global sustainable deltas initiative and the proposed Sustainable Development Goals.

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          Estimating wealth effects without expenditure data--or tears: an application to educational enrollments in states of India.

          Using data from India, we estimate the relationship between household wealth and children's school enrollment. We proxy wealth by constructing a linear index from asset ownership indicators, using principal-components analysis to derive weights. In Indian data this index is robust to the assets included, and produces internally coherent results. State-level results correspond well to independent data on per capita output and poverty. To validate the method and to show that the asset index predicts enrollments as accurately as expenditures, or more so, we use data sets from Indonesia, Pakistan, and Nepal that contain information on both expenditures and assets. The results show large, variable wealth gaps in children's enrollment across Indian states. On average a "rich" child is 31 percentage points more likely to be enrolled than a "poor" child, but this gap varies from only 4.6 percentage points in Kerala to 38.2 in Uttar Pradesh and 42.6 in Bihar.
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            Implications of climate change for agricultural productivity in the early twenty-first century

            This paper reviews recent literature concerning a wide range of processes through which climate change could potentially impact global-scale agricultural productivity, and presents projections of changes in relevant meteorological, hydrological and plant physiological quantities from a climate model ensemble to illustrate key areas of uncertainty. Few global-scale assessments have been carried out, and these are limited in their ability to capture the uncertainty in climate projections, and omit potentially important aspects such as extreme events and changes in pests and diseases. There is a lack of clarity on how climate change impacts on drought are best quantified from an agricultural perspective, with different metrics giving very different impressions of future risk. The dependence of some regional agriculture on remote rainfall, snowmelt and glaciers adds to the complexity. Indirect impacts via sea-level rise, storms and diseases have not been quantified. Perhaps most seriously, there is high uncertainty in the extent to which the direct effects of CO2 rise on plant physiology will interact with climate change in affecting productivity. At present, the aggregate impacts of climate change on global-scale agricultural productivity cannot be reliably quantified.
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              Do international migration and remittances reduce poverty in developing countries?

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                s.m.szabo@soton.ac.uk
                Journal
                Sustain Sci
                Sustain Sci
                Sustainability Science
                Springer Japan (Tokyo )
                1862-4065
                1862-4057
                21 September 2015
                21 September 2015
                2016
                : 11
                : 3
                : 411-421
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Division of Social Statistics and Demography, Faculty of Social and Human Sciences, University of Southampton, Highfield Campus, Southampton, SO17 1BJ UK
                [2 ]Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
                [3 ]Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
                [4 ]International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (ICDDR,B), Dhaka, Bangladesh
                [5 ]Department of Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
                Article
                337
                10.1007/s11625-015-0337-1
                6106090
                30174734
                1cb6e913-28bc-4353-8936-1798e683002e
                © The Author(s) 2015

                Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.

                History
                : 10 April 2015
                : 3 September 2015
                Funding
                Funded by: Belmont Forum
                Award ID: NE/L008726/1
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: FundRef http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000270, Natural Environment Research Council (GB);
                Award ID: NE/J002755/1
                Categories
                Original Article
                Custom metadata
                © Springer Japan 2016

                food insecurity,soil salinisation,climate change,wealth inequalities,ganges–brahmaputra delta,sustainable deltas

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