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Changing Epidemiology of Human Brucellosis, China, 1955–2014
review-article
Author(s):
Shengjie Lai
1 ,
Hang Zhou
1 ,
Weiyi Xiong
1 ,
Marius Gilbert ,
Zhuojie Huang ,
Jianxing Yu ,
Wenwu Yin ,
Liping Wang ,
Qiulan Chen ,
Yu Li ,
Di Mu ,
Lingjia Zeng ,
Xiang Ren ,
Mengjie Geng ,
Zike Zhang ,
Buyun Cui ,
Tiefeng Li ,
Dali Wang ,
Zhongjie Li ,
Nicola A. Wardrop ,
Andrew J. Tatem ,
Hongjie Yu
Publication date (Print):
February 2017
Journal:
Emerging Infectious Diseases
Publisher:
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
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Abstract
Brucellosis, a zoonotic disease, was made statutorily notifiable in China in 1955. We analyzed the incidence and spatial–temporal distribution of human brucellosis during 1955–2014 in China using notifiable surveillance data: aggregated data for 1955–2003 and individual case data for 2004–2014. A total of 513,034 brucellosis cases were recorded, of which 99.3% were reported in northern China during 1955–2014, and 69.1% (258, 462/374, 141) occurred during February–July in 1990–2014. Incidence remained high during 1955–1978 (interquartile range 0.42–1.0 cases/100,000 residents), then decreased dramatically in 1979–1994. However, brucellosis has reemerged since 1995 (interquartile range 0.11–0.23 in 1995–2003 and 1.48–2.89 in 2004–2014); the historical high occurred in 2014, and the affected area expanded from northern pastureland provinces to the adjacent grassland and agricultural areas, then to southern coastal and southwestern areas. Control strategies in China should be adjusted to account for these changes by adopting a One Health approach.
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Most cited references17
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Human brucellosis.
Maria Franco, Maximilian Mulder, Robert Gilman … (2007)
Human brucellosis still presents scientists and clinicians with several challenges, such as the understanding of pathogenic mechanisms of Brucella spp, the identification of markers for disease severity, progression, and treatment response, and the development of improved treatment regimens. Molecular studies have shed new light on the pathogenesis of Brucella spp, and new technologies have permitted the development of diagnostic tools that will be useful in developing countries, where brucellosis is still a very common but often neglected disease. However, further studies are needed to establish optimum treatment regimens and local and international control programmes. This Review summarises current knowledge of the pathogenic mechanisms, new diagnostic advances, therapeutic options, and the situation of developing countries in regard to human brucellosis.
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Urbanisation and infectious diseases in a globalised world
Emilie Alirol, Laurent Gétaz, Beat Stoll … (2011)
Summary The world is becoming urban. The UN predicts that the world's urban population will almost double from 3·3 billion in 2007 to 6·3 billion in 2050. Most of this increase will be in developing countries. Exponential urban growth is having a profound effect on global health. Because of international travel and migration, cities are becoming important hubs for the transmission of infectious diseases, as shown by recent pandemics. Physicians in urban environments in developing and developed countries need to be aware of the changes in infectious diseases associated with urbanisation. Furthermore, health should be a major consideration in town planning to ensure urbanisation works to reduce the burden of infectious diseases in the future.
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Clinical Manifestations of Human Brucellosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Anna S Dean, Lisa Crump, Helena Greter … (2012)
Introduction Brucellosis is one of the most common zoonotic infections globally [1]. This bacterial disease causes not only a severely debilitating and disabling illness, but it also has major economic ramifications due to time lost by patients from normal daily activities [2] and losses in animal production [3]. In a review of 76 diseases and syndromes of animals, brucellosis lies within the top ten in terms of impact on impoverished people [4]. A brucellosis disability weighting of 0.2 has been previously proposed for Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALY) calculation, based on the pain and impaired productivity known to result from infection [3]. However, a more informed estimate is needed for an accurate assessment of disease burden. In 1992, the World Bank commissioned the original Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, providing a comprehensive assessment of 107 diseases and injuries and 10 risk factors in eight major regions [5]. This review did not include any neglected tropical zoonoses. Such diseases often do not attract the interest of health researchers or sufficient resources for adequate control, yet they continue to impact significantly on human health and wellbeing, livestock productivity, and local and national economies [6]. There is a need for more accurate data relating to the burden of neglected zoonoses to facilitate more effective implementation of disease control interventions. In 2009, the Foodborne Disease Burden Epidemiology Reference Group (FERG) of the World Health Organization (WHO) commissioned a series of systematic reviews on the burden of neglected zoonotic diseases, with the aim of incorporating the findings into the overall global burden of disease assessments. This report presents a systematic review of scientific literature published between 1990–June 2010 relating to morbidity from human brucellosis infection. The objectives of this review were to assess the frequency and severity of the clinical manifestations of brucellosis, the duration of disease, the associated disabilities and important risk factors, with a view to estimating an appropriate disability weight for calculation of the brucellosis DALY. A systematic review of scientific literature investigating the incidence and prevalence of brucellosis globally is the subject of a companion paper [7]. Methods Searching Thirty three databases were searched for relevant articles using the search terms of (brucellosis OR malta fever OR brucella melitensis OR brucella abortus) AND (symptom* OR sequelae* OR morbidity OR mortality OR transmission mode OR foodborne), with a publication limitation of 1990–30 June, 2010. The search term was adapted to the predominate language of the database. If a database did not allow the combining of Boolean operators, (18 of 33 databases), ‘brucellosis’ was used as the sole term. Reference Manager bibliographic software was used to manage citations. Duplicate entries were identified by considering the author, the year of publication, the title of the article, and the volume, issue and page numbers of the source. In questionable cases, the abstract texts were compared. Selection The articles were sorted by a team of four reviewers with a combined fluency in English, German, French, and Spanish. Articles in other languages were noted for future translation, pending resources. All reports were classified into one of two categories, based on their abstracts: Category 1: Relevant – articles related to human brucellosis related to brucellosis infection in populations (i.e. disease frequency) or cases of human brucellosis (i.e. disease morbidity); Category 2: Irrelevant - articles related to non-human brucellosis; articles addressing topics not related to the current review, such as genetics, laboratory diagnostic tests, experimental laboratory animal studies. The abstracts of studies belonging to Category 1 and meeting the following criteria for disease morbidity studies were retained: published between 1990 and 30 June 2010, at least 10 study subjects, clinical symptoms/syndromes described, and some information relating to diagnostic tests provided. Articles relating to disease frequency and meeting the following criteria were also retained: published between 1990 and 30 June 2010, at least 100 study subjects drawn from the general population, prevalence or incidence data included, and some information relating to diagnostic tests provided. The assessment and classification of frequency articles will be the subject of a companion paper and will not be considered further here. Articles for which the necessary data for classification could not be obtained were identified for possible future assessment, according to availability of resources. In general, non peer-reviewed or review articles, conference proceedings and book chapters were excluded. Validity Assessment After applying the aforementioned screening steps, the full text of each selected article was retrieved for detailed analysis. Each article was reviewed by two or three reviewers, and classification discrepancies were resolved by discussion. Using a pre-designed Access database, articles were coded according to the following parameters: 1) Study type Studies were classified as a prospective case series, a retrospective case series, a case-control study, or of another type. 2) Study population The populations studied were grouped according to age category – children only (<15 years), adults only (≥15 years), or including both children and adults. Additionally, they were coded according to whether the study population represented the general population of brucellosis cases in the age category, or only a specific sub-group. 3) Diagnostic methods Studies were classified according to their use of microbial culture to diagnose brucellosis patients. In order for studies to be included in the review, they had to not only mention culture in their methods but to also present laboratory results. 4) Overall study quality Studies were given an overall quality grade of 1, 2, or 3. Quality 1 studies provided data drawn from general brucellosis cases, of which 75% or more were diagnosed by culture, and had well described study design and methods. Quality 2 studies also presented data from general brucellosis cases, utilised culture as a method and presented relevant laboratory results. However, unlike for Quality 1 studies, the majority of cases did not have to be diagnosed by positive culture in order to be included as Quality 2. Quality 3 studies were either drawn from only a specific sub-group of brucellosis cases such that general conclusions could not be drawn, did not use culture as a diagnostic method or failed to present culture results, or had poorly described study design and methods such that the quality of the data could not be assured. Data Extraction Based on brucellosis literature [8] a comprehensive list of clinical manifestations associated with brucellosis cases was developed: General: documented fever, sweats, chills, fatigue, headache, malaise, weight loss, nausea/vomiting Abdominal: abdominal pain, splenomegaly, hepatomegaly, hepatitis Musculoskeletal: arthralgia, arthritis, myalgia, back pain, spondylitis, sacroiliitis Specific organ involvement: epididymo-orchitis, abortion, endocarditis, respiratory and neurological signs, cutaneous changes Numbers of subjects with each symptom/syndrome were recorded for each study, as well as the number of male and female patients. For the sex-related outcomes of epididymo-orchitis and abortion, the study population was considered to be only the male and pregnant female sub-groups of the study population respectively. Information relating to duration of disease prior to treatment and exposure to potential risk factors were also recorded wherever provided. Data Analysis To calculate the proportion of patients by sex, numbers of male and female patients were aggregated across all studies as well as within each age category. 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the normal approximation to the binomial. Where appropriate data were available from two or more studies, pooled proportions of patients with each clinical manifestation were estimated using generalized linear mixed models. Pooled estimates with 95% confidence intervals were calculated both within age categories and overall across all studies, using a Freeman-Tukey double arscine transformation. Homogeneity across studies was assessed using a Cochrane's Q test and total variability due to between-study variation was reflected in the I2 index. The meta-analysis was performed with R statistical software [9] using the meta package [10]. Additionally, in order to assess the impact of study design, the same analysis was conducted according to study type category. The pooled estimates for proportions of patients with each clinical manifestation were compared with the disability weights used in the GBD 2004 study [11]. A disability weight for brucellosis was then proposed. Median proportions of patients with exposure to particular risk factors were calculated. Data relating to duration of illness and diagnostic delay were recorded. In order to assess the duration of untreated illness, an additional, non-systematic search for data prior to the availability of appropriate antibiotics was undertaken by manually searching library records. Results Searching Table 1 lists the databases searched and the number of hits obtained for each. A total of 28,824 studies were identified, of which 59% were duplicates, leaving 11,000 original reports. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001929.t001 Table 1 Databases searched and number of hits. Database Website Hits Global databases Medline http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/pubmed 6176 ISI Web of Science http://isiwebofknowledge.com 3458 EMBASE http://www.embase.com 4980 Popline http://www.popline.org 55 CAB http://www.cabdirect.org 3424 ProMed http://www.promedmail.org 666 The Cochrane Library http://www.thecochranelibrary.com 100 BIOLINE http://www.bioline.org.br 37 WHOLIS http://www.bireme.br 76 Regional WHO databases African Index Medicus http://indexmedicus.afro.who.int 14 Index Medicus for the Eastern Mediterranean Region http://www.emro.who.int/whalecom0/Library/Databases/wxis.exe/Library/Databases/iah/ 526 Western Pacific Region Index Medicus http://www.wprim.org/ 96 Index Medicus for the South-East Asia Region http://imsear.hellis.org/ 247 Afro Library http://afrolib.afro.who.int/ 2 Other regional databases Health Information Locator http://www.bireme.br 7 Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium http://lib.itg.be:8000/webspirs/start.ws 122 King's Fund Information & Library Service http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/library/ 0 African Journals Online http://ajol.info/ 71 LILACS http://www.bireme.br 538 MedCarib http://www.bireme.br 9 REPIDISCA http://www.bireme.br 29 PAHO http://www.bireme.br 157 IBECS http://www.bireme.br 148 CUIDEN http://www.index-f.com/ 17 Indian Medlars Center IndMed http://indmed.nic.in/ 84 KoreaMed http://www.koreamed.org/SearchBasic.php 89 Japan Science and Technology Information Aggregator http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/search/?typej=on&typep=on&typer=on&search=1 137 Health Research and Development Information Network http://www.herdin.ph/ 0 Panteleimon http://www.panteleimon.org/maine.php3 6 l'Ecole Nationale de la Santé Publique http://test.bdsp.ehesp.fr/Base/ 191 La Bibliotàgue de Santé Tropicale http://www.santetropicale.com/resume/catalogue.asp 0 System for Information on Grey Literature in Europe http://opensigle.inist.fr 474 Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Human and Animal Health Unit, electronic departmental reference library 6906 Flow of Included Studies Figure 1 shows a flow diagram of the process for the selection of articles included in the review. In total, 289 frequency and morbidity studies were selected, for which full text was available for 153. However, 14 of these were in languages in which the team was not competent (Croatian (6), Turkish (4), Korean (2), Persian (1), Mandarin (1)), leaving 96 morbidity studies for quality assessment. Some articles contained both frequency and morbidity data and were thus counted in both categories. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001929.g001 Figure 1 Flow of selected studies. *Some morbidity studies were also classified as frequency studies. Of the 96 morbidity studies for quality assessment, five were classified as Quality 1 and 52 as Quality 2. Thirty-nine were excluded from further analysis as Quality 3, one of which was due to duplication of data from another larger study. Two pairs of Quality 2 studies were based on the same data [12]–[15]. These studies were included because each provided some unique information; however, the duplicated data were only included once in the meta-analysis. Except for two articles in Spanish and one in French, all Quality 1 and 2 studies were in English. Study Characteristics The median number of study subjects was 143 (IQR: 85-283), ranging from 20-1028. Studies from high income countries such as Germany, France, and USA were generally situated at the lower end of the range (less than 60 subjects), although larger studies were reported from Spain, including one study of over 900 subjects. Of the 57 studies selected, 24 were from Turkey. The next most represented country was Saudi Arabia, with 8 studies, followed by Spain with 4 and Greece with 4. One or two studies each came from Cuba, France, Germany, Israel, India, Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Tunisia, USA, Uzbekistan and Yemen. The geographic distribution of the selected studies is shown in Figure 2. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001929.g002 Figure 2 Geographical distribution of selected studies. In terms of study type, 37 were classified as retrospective case series with data retrieved from medical records, and 19 as prospective case series. One study was a case-control. Seventeen studies provided detailed information about cases with specific syndromes, e.g. neurological brucellosis [16]–[19], epididymoorchitis [20]–[23], osteoarticular complications [13], [14], [24], [25], spondylitis [26], [27], pulmonary brucellosis [28], pancytopaenia [29], and pregnant women [30]. As these studies also provided some information about proportions of general brucellosis cases with specific symptoms/syndromes, they were included in the review. Twenty-three studies included both children and adult participants [12]–[15], [18], [20], [24], [30]–[44]. Twelve studies investigated only children [29], [45]–[55], with an upper age limit ranging from 13 years to 18 years. Of the 19 studies with an adult population of 15 years or older [16], [17], [21]–[23], [25]–[27], [56]–[67], five consisted of only male participants [21]–[23], [64], [65]. Three studies did not clearly state the age category [19], [28], [68] and were analysed as if containing data for both adults and children. Data Analysis In studies consisting of only children, 64% patients (95% CI: 60–68%) were male. The proportion of male patients in adult studies was significantly lower, at 56% (95% CI: 55–58%). In studies including both children and adult patients, 48% were male (95% CI: 46–51%). Overall, 55% patients (95% CI: 54–56%) across all studies were male. Table 2 shows the pooled proportions of patients estimated by the random-effects model, according to clinical manifestations by age category. Forest plots are provided as Supplementary Information. An analysis by study type did not show any significant changes or trends. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001929.t002 Table 2 Meta-analysis of clinical manifestations of brucellosis by age category. Manifestation Age Category All studies Children Adults All Ages General n % (95% CI) n % (95% CI) n % (95% CI) n % (95% CI) Fever 7 82 (69; 91) 10 73 (59; 85) 9 79 (49; 97) 26 78 (66; 87) Sweats 8 23 (11; 37) 14 55 (35; 74) 12 73 (60; 85) 34 54 (42; 66) Chills 4 18 (9; 29) 5 47 (34; 60) 7 60 (34; 83) 16 45 (30; 61) Fatigue 2 19 (13; 23) 2 33 (13; 100) 5 51 (27; 75) 9 39 (16; 65) Headache 6 9 (5; 15) 11 34 (19; 50) 11 52 (32; 72) 28 35 (24; 46) Malaise 2 24 (16; 34) 6 81 (71; 89) 8 74 (48; 93) 16 71 (57; 83) Nausea/vomiting 0 - 5 16 (5; 31) 6 26 (15; 38) 11 26 (15; 38) Weight loss 3 13(8;18) 4 31 (15; 50) 7 29 (15; 47) 14 26 (17; 36) Abdominal Abdominal pain 3 14 (1; 38) 4 9 (1; 22) 9 26 (13; 41) 16 19 (11; 29) Splenomegaly 9 31 (19; 43) 13 24 (18; 31) 14 25 (17; 34) 36 26 (21; 31) Hepatomegaly 10 27 (15; 41) 13 22 (16; 26) 14 22 (15; 29) 37 23 (19; 27) Hepatitis 1 1 (0; 5)* 2 8 (1; 38) 4 3 (1; 6) 7 4 (1; 9) Musculoskeletal Arthralgia 9 71 (56; 84) 12 65 (49; 79) 16 62 (52; 70) 37 65 (58; 72) Arthritis 7 41 (18; 65) 5 13 (3; 28) 14 25 (17; 34) 26 26 (19; 34) Myalgia 2 18 (11; 26) 5 56 (38; 75) 8 49 (36; 63) 15 47 (38; 57) Back pain 1 10 (3; 21)* 11 49 (31; 67) 11 45 (31; 60) 23 45 (34; 56) Sacroiliitis 4 6 (3; 10) 3 32 (20; 46) 9 14 (7; 22) 16 15 (9; 22) Spondylitis 1 18 (1; 28)* 6 12 (7, 19) 9 11 (6; 18) 16 12 (8; 17) Specific organs Epididymo-orchitis 1 10 (1; 32)* 10 10 (7; 15) 10 9 (6; 13) 21 10 (7; 13) Endocarditis 2 3 (1; 6) 6 2 (1; 3) 7 1 (1; 2) 15 2 (1; 2) Neurological 5 2 (1; 4) 11 5 (3; 7) 10 4 (2; 6) 26 4 (3; 5) Respiratory 3 5 (1; 14) 5 2 (1; 5) 11 9 (4; 14) 19 6 (3; 9) Cutaneous 6 5 (2; 10) 4 4 (1; 11) 7 8 (4; 14) 17 6 (4; 9) * One study only, with a binomial 95% confidence interval. Pooled proportions of patients with each manifestation are presented as percentages with 95% confidence intervals. The numbers of studies (n) contributing to each estimate are given. Documented fever was common, with an estimated 78% of patients affected across the three age categories. Estimates of the proportions of patients with self-reported symptoms of sweats, chills, fatigue, headache, and malaise, were significantly lower in children, ranging from 9–24% depending on symptom, compared to 33–81% for adults. Weight loss in children, at 13%, was also lower than the 31% reported in adults. Abdominal-related manifestations of pain, splenomegaly and hepatomegaly were fairly uniformly distributed across age categories, with overall estimated proportions of 19%, 26% and 23%, respectively. The number of studies reporting the presence of hepatitis was small, totalling only seven, with an estimated 4% patients affected overall. Arthralgia was common, affecting 65% patients overall, whereas arthritis affected only 26% patients. In adult patients, 56% and 49% suffered from myalgia and back pain, respectively. Only two studies reported myalgia and back pain in children. Overall, spondylitis and sacroiliitis were detected in 12–36% adults. In relation to reproductive problems, only one study reported abortion rates as a proportion of pregnant female participants, which was 46% [30]. Overall, 10% male patients had epididymo-orchitis. For more severe outcomes, endocarditis was reported in an overall 1% patients, and neurological manifestations in 4%. Neurological outcomes reported included motor deficits, cranial nerve deficits, sciatica, confusion and/or psychological disturbances, meningitis and seizures. 6% of patients suffered from respiratory manifestations, including cough, bronchopneumonia, pleural adhesion and pleural adhesion. Cutaneous changes were reported in 6% patients. As most studies were case series without a control group, an evaluation of the importance of risk factors was not possible. However, median proportions were calculated from 27 studies which provided some exposure history. Median proportions of brucellosis cases with exposure to a potential risk factor were 64% (IQR: 34–78%) for consumption of unpasteurised dairy products, 42% (IQR: 23–59%) for contact with livestock, and 6% (IQR: 3–19%) for occupational exposure, including veterinarians, butchers, and abattoir workers. From fifteen studies, the median proportion of cases with a history of brucellosis in a family member was 20% (IQR: 17–46%). Only six studies included in the systematic review provided data regarding duration of illness prior to diagnosis and treatment [32], [41], [52], [55], [57], [62]. The age of the patient and the nature of the illness were influential factors. One study reported a longer duration of illness in adults compared to children under 15 years, averaging 8 weeks versus 4 weeks, respectively [41]. In another study, the average duration of illness prior to diagnosis and treatment was 40 days, but cases with osteoarticular disease generally experienced longer periods of illness, extending to 6 months [62]. The GBD 2004 study estimated the disability weights for low back pain due to chronic intervertebral disc disease and osteoarthritis of the knee to be 0.121 (range 0.103–0.125) and 0.129 (range 0.118–0.147), respectively [11]. Given the high proportion of patients in our systematic review with joint, back, or muscular pain, a disability weight of at least 0.150 is proposed as a minimum estimate for localised, chronic brucellosis. Generalised, non-specific clinical manifestations were also common. Acute, non-localised brucellosis could be approximated by an episode of malaria, estimated to be 0.191 (range 0.172–0.211) by the GBD 2004 study [11]. Discussion The clinical picture of brucellosis presented in this systematic review is consistent with other literature [69]. Although a large amount of data are available regarding clinical manifestations of brucellosis, its geographical distribution is limited. No high quality studies were identified from Sub-Saharan Africa, Central and South America or South-East Asia. This could potentially reflect either a lower disease burden or a poorer brucellosis surveillance system. The proportion of male patients was greater than female patients amongst both children and adults. Although this difference was only small in adults, it was more pronounced in children. Possible explanations could be a greater risk of exposure amongst boys, with household responsibilities such as shepherding of livestock being preferentially delegated to boys, or gender-related differences in accessing to health care. Given the high proportion of brucellosis cases with fever, brucellosis should be considered as a differential diagnosis for fevers of unknown origin. In malaria-endemic countries, fever patients are often diagnosed and treated for malaria based solely on clinical findings [70]. Improved diagnostic capacity would reduce the diagnostic delay and facilitate prompt and appropriate treatment. These health service inadequacies are compounded by socioeconomic factors, with brucellosis affecting poor, marginalised communities who often do not have the means to seek treatment. Although studies included in this systematic review did not investigate health-seeking behaviour, a study from rural Tanzania revealed that 1 in 5 patients did not present to a health centre for assessment until more than one year after the onset of illness. Once at the health centre, nearly half (45%) were not diagnosed with brucellosis at their first visit [71]. In children, particularly, under-diagnosis of brucellosis is likely. The lower proportions of reported general symptoms such as sweats, chills, fatigue, and headache in study populations consisting only of children in this systematic review could reflect difficulty in obtaining accurate case histories from this group. One in 10 men experienced epididymo-orchitis, the most common genitourinary complication of brucellosis infection. This can have serious repercussions such as abscessation and infertility. Although other severe outcomes were less common, 4 neurological cases and 1 endocarditis case per 100 brucellosis patients were reported, which is substantial. Arthralgia, myalgia, and back pain were common manifestations. The relative lower proportions of patients with sacroiliitis and spondylitis compared to those reporting back pain might reflect limitations in diagnostic capacity. Chronic pain has been shown to severely affect the quality of sufferers' social and working lives [72]. As the majority of the brucellosis disease burden is in less developed countries, where livelihoods are often reliant on physical activities, the impact of musculoskeletal pain and impaired function in these settings may be even more serious. One study reported that patients with osteoarticular disease experienced a greater diagnostic delay than other cases [62], reflecting the chronic debilitation that can result from brucellosis infection. Indeed, in an endemic area of Russia prior to the availability of effective antibiotic therapies approximately 40% of 1,000 brucellosis cases followed over a 20 year period continued to suffer from clinical manifestations two years after disease onset. In this study, cited by Wund in 1966, approximately 90% of cases had self-cured after 6 years. [73]. Given the complexity of the clinical manifestations of brucellosis, summarising its impact into a single disability weight risks being too reductionist. However, a disability weight is required for an assessment of the global burden of disease which is, in turn, essential for engagement of policy-makers and funding bodies. Using the disability classes formerly used by the GBD 2004 study [74], a disability weight of 0.2 has been previously proposed based on Mongolian patient data [3]. This estimate fell between Class 1 (0.096), which referred to a limited ability to perform at least one activity in the one of the following areas: recreation, education, procreation or occupation; and Class 2 (0.22), referring to a limited ability to perform most activities in one of the aforementioned areas. Based on this systematic review and meta-analysis, better informed estimates of disability weights are proposed: at least 0.150 for chronic, localised brucellosis and 0.190 for acute brucellosis. However, as this is the first informed estimate of a brucellosis disability weight, there is a need for further debate amongst brucellosis experts and a consensus to be reached. Research Agenda Morbidity could vary geographically according to epidemiological setting. Well designed epidemiological studies from regions under-represented in this review would greatly contribute to an overall assessment of the global disease burden. A surveillance system amongst fever patients in malaria-endemic countries could be particularly informative. Additionally, risk factors for disease should be investigated through case-control studies. This would provide invaluable information to guide disease control interventions and policy. Limitations Studies for which a title or abstract was not published in a language using the Latin alphabet, such as those published only in Chinese characters or Arabic script, may not have been identified during the original database search. Of the foreign language studies that were identified, those published in languages in which the team was not competent were excluded from the analysis. It is possible that some of these studies contained data that could have contributed to this global assessment of brucellosis morbidity. Additionally, although studies in English were independently reviewed by three team members, this was not always possible for studies reviewed in other languages (German, French, Spanish). There were likely some differences between the case definitions and diagnostic capacity of different studies. For neurological and respiratory syndromes, many studies provided only an overall aggregated estimate without details of the different disease forms. A respiratory case could potentially vary from a patient with only a cough to severe bronchopneumonia, or a neurological case from altered behaviour and confusion to nerve deficits, meningitis or seizures. All patients were positive by culture in only 3 studies. Given the complexity of brucellosis serology interpretation, it is possible that some patients in other studies were misdiagnosed as cases of active brucellosis. The studies provide data from brucellosis patients presenting to health centres. It is possible that cases that do not present to health centres are less severe. The results of this review may, therefore, be biased towards more severe cases. As with the estimation of other disability weights, the proposed brucellosis disability weight estimate assumes that a given clinical manifestation will result in the same disability in all settings, which is unlikely [75]. Conclusion This systematic review adds to the understanding of the global burden of brucellosis, one of the most common and important zoonotic diseases worldwide. Brucellosis is shown to have a severe, debilitating, and often chronic impact on its sufferers. Significant delays in appropriate diagnosis and treatment are the result of both health system inadequacies and socioeconomic factors. Well designed epidemiological studies from those regions identified to be lacking in data would allow a better understanding of the clinical manifestations of disease and exposure risks and provide further evidence for policy-makers. Based on the findings of this systematic review and the disability weights from the 2004 Global Burden of Disease Study, a disability weight of 0.150 is proposed as the first informed estimate for chronic, localised brucellosis and 0.190 for acute brucellosis. As this is the first informed estimate of a disability weight for brucellosis, there is a need for further debate amongst brucellosis experts and a consensus to be reached. Supporting Information Checklist S1 PRISMA checklist. (DOC) Click here for additional data file. Figure S1 Forest plot for fever. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S2 Forest plot for sweats. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S3 Forest plot for chills. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S4 Forest plot for fatigue. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S5 Forest plot for headache. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S6 Forest plot for malaise. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S7 Forest plot for nausea/vomiting. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S8 Forest plot for weight loss. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S9 Forest plot for abdominal pain. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S10 Forest plot for splenomegaly. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S11 Forest plot for hepatomegaly. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S12 Forest plot for hepatitis. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S13 Forest plot for arthralgia. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S14 Forest plot for arthritis. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S15 Forest plot for myalgia. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S16 Forest plot for back pain. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S17 Forest plot for sacroiliitis. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S18 Forest plot for spondylitis. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S19 Forest plot for epididymo-orchitis. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S20 Forest plot for endocarditis. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S21 Forest plot for neurological sequelae. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S22 Forest plot for respiratory sequelae. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file. Figure S23 Forest plot for cutaneous sequelae. (TIFF) Click here for additional data file.
Author and article information
Journal
Journal ID (nlm-ta): Emerg Infect Dis
Journal ID (iso-abbrev): Emerging Infect. Dis
Journal ID (publisher-id): EID
Title:
Emerging Infectious Diseases
Publisher:
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
ISSN
(Print):
1080-6040
ISSN
(Electronic):
1080-6059
Publication date
(Print):
February
2017
Volume: 23
Issue: 2
Pages: 184-194
Affiliations
[1]Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on
Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
(S. Lai, H. Zhou, W. Xiong, Z. Huang, J. Yu, W. Yin, L. Wang, Q. Chen, Y. Li, D. Mu,
L. Zeng, X. Ren, M. Geng, Z. Zhang, Z. Li, H. Yu);
[2]WorldPop, Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK (S.
Lai, N.A. Wardrop, A.J. Tatem);
[4]School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety,
Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China (S. Lai, H. Yu);
[5]Universite´ Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium (M. Gilbert); Fonds National de
la Recherche Scientifique, Brussels (M. Gilbert);
Author notes
Address for correspondence: Hongjie Yu, School of Public Health, Fudan University,
Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Xuhui District, Shanghai
200032, China; email:
cfetpyhj@
123456vip.sina.com
Article
Publisher ID: 15-1710DOI: 10.3201/eid2302.151710
PMC ID: 5324817
PubMed ID: 28098531
SO-VID: 1f504d43-30f7-4750-83af-2e7dab908ac1
History
Categories
Subject:
Synopsis
Subject:
Synopsis
Subject:
Changing Epidemiology of Human Brucellosis, China, 1955–2014
ScienceOpen disciplines: Infectious disease & Microbiology