PCA and SPC were used to identify data variables that trigger flooding and assess flood risk in the Muda River basin. Three (3) hydrologic variables, RL, WL, and SF, are analyzed using correlation tests, PCA and SPC. The Pearson correlation test shows SF and WL have significant correlations. The PCA indicates that all hydrologic variables are significant. The SPC shows ideal flood control values for the Muda River basin. The runoff value exceeding the UCL increases flood risk. The rapid expansion of development and anthropogenic activities have caused heavy rainfall and hydrologic variables to increase above normal levels.