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      Integrating spatially explicit indices of abundance and habitat quality: an applied example for greater sage‐grouse management

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          Summary

          1. Predictive species distributional models are a cornerstone of wildlife conservation planning. Constructing such models requires robust underpinning science that integrates formerly disparate data types to achieve effective species management.

          2. Greater sage‐grouse Centrocercus urophasianus, hereafter ‘sage‐grouse’ populations are declining throughout sagebrush‐steppe ecosystems in North America, particularly within the Great Basin, which heightens the need for novel management tools that maximize the use of available information.

          3. Herein, we improve upon existing species distribution models by combining information about sage‐grouse habitat quality, distribution and abundance from multiple data sources. To measure habitat, we created spatially explicit maps depicting habitat selection indices ( HSI) informed by >35 500 independent telemetry locations from >1600 sage‐grouse collected over 15 years across much of the Great Basin. These indices were derived from models that accounted for selection at different spatial scales and seasons. A region‐wide HSI was calculated using the HSI surfaces modelled for 12 independent subregions and then demarcated into distinct habitat quality classes.

          4. We also employed a novel index to describe landscape patterns of sage‐grouse abundance and space use ( AUI). The AUI is a probabilistic composite of the following: (i) breeding density patterns based on the spatial configuration of breeding leks and associated trends in male attendance; and (ii) year‐round patterns of space use indexed by the decreasing probability of use with increasing distance to leks. The continuous AUI surface was then reclassified into two classes representing high and low/no use and abundance.

          5. Synthesis and applications. Using the example of sage‐grouse, we demonstrate how the joint application of indices of habitat selection, abundance and space use derived from multiple data sources yields a composite map that can guide effective allocation of management intensity across multiple spatial scales. As applied to sage‐grouse, the composite map identifies spatially explicit management categories within sagebrush steppe that are most critical to sustaining sage‐grouse populations as well as those areas where changes in land use would likely have minimal impact. Importantly, collaborative efforts among stakeholders guide which intersections of habitat selection indices and abundance and space use classes are used to define management categories. Because sage‐grouse are an umbrella species, our joint‐index modelling approach can help target effective conservation for other sagebrush obligate species and can be readily applied to species in other ecosystems with similar life histories, such as central‐placed breeding.

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          Application of random effects to the study of resource selection by animals.

          1. Resource selection estimated by logistic regression is used increasingly in studies to identify critical resources for animal populations and to predict species occurrence. 2. Most frequently, individual animals are monitored and pooled to estimate population-level effects without regard to group or individual-level variation. Pooling assumes that both observations and their errors are independent, and resource selection is constant given individual variation in resource availability. 3. Although researchers have identified ways to minimize autocorrelation, variation between individuals caused by differences in selection or available resources, including functional responses in resource selection, have not been well addressed. 4. Here we review random-effects models and their application to resource selection modelling to overcome these common limitations. We present a simple case study of an analysis of resource selection by grizzly bears in the foothills of the Canadian Rocky Mountains with and without random effects. 5. Both categorical and continuous variables in the grizzly bear model differed in interpretation, both in statistical significance and coefficient sign, depending on how a random effect was included. We used a simulation approach to clarify the application of random effects under three common situations for telemetry studies: (a) discrepancies in sample sizes among individuals; (b) differences among individuals in selection where availability is constant; and (c) differences in availability with and without a functional response in resource selection. 6. We found that random intercepts accounted for unbalanced sample designs, and models with random intercepts and coefficients improved model fit given the variation in selection among individuals and functional responses in selection. Our empirical example and simulations demonstrate how including random effects in resource selection models can aid interpretation and address difficult assumptions limiting their generality. This approach will allow researchers to appropriately estimate marginal (population) and conditional (individual) responses, and account for complex grouping, unbalanced sample designs and autocorrelation.
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            Modeling ecological minimum requirements for distribution of greater sage-grouse leks: implications for population connectivity across their western range, U.S.A

            Greater sage-grouse Centrocercus urophasianus (Bonaparte) currently occupy approximately half of their historical distribution across western North America. Sage-grouse are a candidate for endangered species listing due to habitat and population fragmentation coupled with inadequate regulation to control development in critical areas. Conservation planning would benefit from accurate maps delineating required habitats and movement corridors. However, developing a species distribution model that incorporates the diversity of habitats used by sage-grouse across their widespread distribution has statistical and logistical challenges. We first identified the ecological minimums limiting sage-grouse, mapped similarity to the multivariate set of minimums, and delineated connectivity across a 920,000 km2 region. We partitioned a Mahalanobis D 2 model of habitat use into k separate additive components each representing independent combinations of species–habitat relationships to identify the ecological minimums required by sage-grouse. We constructed the model from abiotic, land cover, and anthropogenic variables measured at leks (breeding) and surrounding areas within 5 km. We evaluated model partitions using a random subset of leks and historic locations and selected D 2 (k = 10) for mapping a habitat similarity index (HSI). Finally, we delineated connectivity by converting the mapped HSI to a resistance surface. Sage-grouse required sagebrush-dominated landscapes containing minimal levels of human land use. Sage-grouse used relatively arid regions characterized by shallow slopes, even terrain, and low amounts of forest, grassland, and agriculture in the surrounding landscape. Most populations were interconnected although several outlying populations were isolated because of distance or lack of habitat corridors for exchange. Land management agencies currently are revising land-use plans and designating critical habitat to conserve sage-grouse and avoid endangered species listing. Our results identifying attributes important for delineating habitats or modeling connectivity will facilitate conservation and management of landscapes important for supporting current and future sage-grouse populations.
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              Author and article information

              Journal
              J Appl Ecol
              J Appl Ecol
              10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2664
              JPE
              The Journal of Applied Ecology
              John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
              0021-8901
              1365-2664
              27 November 2015
              February 2016
              : 53
              : 1 ( doiID: 10.1111/jpe.2016.53.issue-1 )
              : 83-95
              Affiliations
              [ 1 ] U.S. Geological SurveyWestern Ecological Research Center Dixon Field Station 800 Business Park Drive, Suite D Dixon CA 95620USA
              [ 2 ] Department of Wildlife, Fisheries, and Conservation BiologyUniversity of Maine Orono ME 04469‐5775USA
              [ 3 ] U.S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceEcological Services 911 NE 11th Avenue Portland OR 97232USA
              [ 4 ]Nevada Sagebrush Ecosystem Program 201 South Roop Street Suite 101 Carson City NV 89701USA
              [ 5 ]Nevada Department of Wildlife 1100 Valley Road Reno NV 89512USA
              [ 6 ]California Department of Fish and Wildlife 1416 9th Street 12th Floor Sacramento CA 95819USA
              [ 7 ] Department of Biological SciencesIdaho State University Pocatello ID 83209USA
              Author notes
              [*] [* ]Correspondence author. E‐mail: pcoates@ 123456usgs.gov
              Article
              JPE12558
              10.1111/1365-2664.12558
              4737303
              26877545
              251de02d-61ac-4bcf-9802-38f5b4c42307
              © 2015 The Authors. Journal of Applied Ecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of British Ecological Society.

              This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

              History
              : 20 March 2015
              : 16 October 2015
              Page count
              Pages: 13
              Funding
              Funded by: State of Nevada Sagebrush Ecosystem Program
              Categories
              Standard Paper
              Modelling
              Custom metadata
              2.0
              jpe12558
              February 2016
              Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_NLMPMC version:4.7.5 mode:remove_FC converted:28.01.2016

              Ecology
              abundance,centrocercus urophasianus,conservation planning,great basin,habitat selection index,lek,map,resource selection function,sagebrush steppe,species distribution modelling

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