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      The future of French museums in 2030

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          Highlights

          • Museum face increasing challenges in europe.

          • A delphi study was conducted in france.

          • 3 scenarios are presented.

          Abstract

          The purpose of this article is to describe the possible futures of French museums up to 2030. To do this we rely on a Delphi study that took place between late 2017 and early 2018 with 99 experts from the field. We propose three scenarios. The first aims to create museums centered around youth and to democratize culture. The second corresponds to the reaction of museums facing a decrease in public funding. The third is a breakdown scenario, where museums undergo evolutions. In this latter scenario, a direct participation of nearby stakeholders is observed, unlike the other two scenarios.

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          Most cited references35

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          The Delphi Technique: Making Sense of Consensus

          The Delphi technique is a widely used and accepted method for gathering data from respondents within their domain of expertise. The technique is designed as a group communication process which aims to achieve a convergence of opinion on a specific real-world issue. The Delphi process has been used in various fields of study such as program planning, needs assessment, policy determination, and resource utilization to develop a full range of alternatives, explore or expose underlying assumptions, as well as correlate judgments on a topic spanning a wide range of disciplines. The Delphi technique is well suited as a method for consensus-building by using a series of questionnaires delivered using multiple iterations to collect data from a panel of selected subjects. Subject selection, time frames for conducting and completing a study, the possibility of low response rates, and unintentionally guiding feedback from the respondent group are areas which should be considered when designing and implementing a Delphi study. Accessed 68,465 times on https://pareonline.net from August 30, 2007 to December 31, 2019. For downloads from January 1, 2020 forward, please click on the PlumX Metrics link to the right.
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            An application of hierarchical kappa-type statistics in the assessment of majority agreement among multiple observers.

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              Strategies for Theorizing from Process Data

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Technol Forecast Soc Change
                Technol Forecast Soc Change
                Technological Forecasting and Social Change
                Elsevier Inc.
                0040-1625
                0040-1625
                21 October 2020
                January 2021
                21 October 2020
                : 162
                : 120384
                Affiliations
                [a ]Senior Lecturer in Business Administration, Karlstad University, Sweden
                [b ]Associate Professor, University of Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne, Paris, France
                [c ]Associate Professor, EM Strasbourg Business School, University of Strasbourg, HuManiS UR 7308, 61 Avenue de la Forêt Noire, 67000 Strasbourg (France)
                Author notes
                [* ]Corresponding author.
                Article
                S0040-1625(20)31210-5 120384
                10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120384
                7576371
                25dd588d-037a-4f12-b1e3-5c3a70fb5e6a
                © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

                Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

                History
                : 5 December 2019
                : 14 August 2020
                : 2 October 2020
                Categories
                Article

                foresight,delphi,scenario,culture,museum,france, creative industries

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