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CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO Y VARIABILIDAD CLIMÁTICA PARA EL PERIODO 1981-2010 EN LAS CUENCAS DE LOS RÍOS ZULIA Y PAMPLONITA, NORTE DE SANTANDER - COLOMBIA Translated title: CLIMATE CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIABILITY FOR THE PERIOD 1981-2010 IN THE BASINS OF THE ZULIA AND PAMPLONITA RIVERS, NORTE DE SANTANDER - COLOMBIA

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      Abstract

      El presente trabajo parte de una breve fundamentación teórica que soporta una estructura metodológica tendiente al cálculo de cambio climático, el estudio de la variabilidad climática en el territorio de las cuencas de los ríos Zulia y Pamplonita en Norte de Santander y la identificación inicial de medidas potenciales de adaptación al cambio climático y la variabilidad climática. En su desarrollo se identificaron y espacializaron las tendencias de cambio climático y las alteraciones más probables de los fenómenos de variabilidad climática asociados al ciclo ENSO6 para el período 1981-2010 en las cuencas objeto de estudio. Los resultados obtenidos muestran que la temperatura media ha cambiado entre 0,1 y 0,4ºC por década en las cuencas, la precipitación ha aumentado de 0 a 250 mm/década y los ciclos ENSO generan alteraciones en la variabilidad climática de las cuencas de manera diferenciada a nivel estacional e interanual, especialmente en los trimestres Dic-Ene-Feb, Jun-Jul-Ago y Sep-Oct-Nov.

      Translated abstract

      This work is based on a brief theoretical foundation that supports a methodological structure aimed at the calculations of climate change, the study of climate variability in the territory of the basins of the Zulia and Pamplonita rivers in Norte de Santander and the initial identification of potential measures of adaptation to climate change and climate variability..In its development, the climate change trends and the most likely alterations of the climate variability phenomena associated with the ENSO cycle for the period 1981-2010 in the basins of the object of study were identified and spatialized. The results obtained show that the average temperature has changed between 0.1 and 0.4°C per decade in the basins, precipitation has increased from 0 to 250 mm/decade and the ENSO cycles generate alterations in the climate variability of the basins on a differentiated manner on a seasonal and year-on-year level, especially in the Dec-Jan-Feb, Jun-Jul-Aug and Sep-Oct-Nov quarters.

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      Most cited references 26

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      Nonparametric Tests Against Trend

       Henry Mann (1945)
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        Estimates of the Regression Coefficient Based on Kendall's Tau

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          Non-parametric test against trend

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            Author and article information

            Affiliations
            [1 ] Universidad de Pamplona Colombia
            [2 ] Corpoica Colombia
            [3 ] Universidad de Pamplona Colombia
            [4 ] Universidad de Pamplona Colombia
            Contributors
            Role: ND
            Role: ND
            Role: ND
            Role: ND
            Journal
            luaz
            Luna Azul
            Luna Azul
            Universidad de Caldas (Manizales )
            1909-2474
            June 2015
            : 0
            : 40
            : 127-153
            S1909-24742015000100010 10.17151/luaz.2015.40.10

            http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

            Product
            Product Information: SciELO Colombia
            Categories
            ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

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