Risk factors for biopsy-proven advanced non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the Veterans Health Administration

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a burgeoning health problem of unknown etiology that varies in prevalence among ethnic groups. To identify genetic variants contributing to differences in hepatic fat content, we performed a genome-wide association scan of nonsynonymous sequence variations (n=9,229) in a multiethnic population. An allele in PNPLA3 (rs738409; I148M) was strongly associated with increased hepatic fat levels (P=5.9×10−10) and with hepatic inflammation (P=3.7×10−4). The allele was most common in Hispanics, the group most susceptible to NAFLD; hepatic fat content was > 2-fold higher in PNPLA3-148M homozygotes than in noncarriers. Resequencing revealed another allele associated with lower hepatic fat content in African-Americans, the group at lowest risk of NAFLD. Thus, variation in PNPLA3 contributes to ethnic and inter-individual differences in hepatic fat content and susceptibility to NAFLD.

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) may present with increased hepatic fibrosis progressing to end-stage liver disease. No factors that determine increasing fibrosis and histologically advanced disease have been recognized, thus, liver biopsy is recommended in all patients for diagnosis and prognosis. Our aim was to identify independent predictors of severe hepatic fibrosis in patients with NASH. One hundred and forty-four patients were studied. All patients underwent liver biopsy. Clinical and biochemical variables were examined with univariate and multivariate analysis. Thirty-seven (26%) patients had no abnormal fibrosis, 53 (37%) had mild fibrosis, 15 (10%) had moderate fibrosis, 14 (10%) had bridging fibrosis, and 25 (17%) had cirrhosis. In multivariate analysis, older age (P =. 001), obesity (P =.002), diabetes mellitus (P =.009), and aspartate transaminase/alanine transaminase (AST/ALT) ratio greater than 1 (P =.03) were significant predictors of severe liver fibrosis (bridging/cirrhosis). Body mass index (P =.003) was the only independent predictor of the degree of fat infiltration. Increased transferrin saturation correlated positively with the severity of fibrosis (P =.02) in univariate analysis, and there was a trend for more female patients among those with more advanced fibrosis (P =. 09). However, iron studies or gender were not significant when controlled for age, obesity, diabetes, and AST/ALT ratio. In conclusion, older age, obesity, and presence of diabetes mellitus help identify those NASH patients who might have severe liver fibrosis. This is the subgroup of patients with NASH who would be expected to derive the most benefit from having a liver biopsy and considering investigational therapies.

Our objective was to estimate the strength of the effect of the I148M (rs738409 C/G) patatin-like phospholipase domain containing 3 (PNPLA3) variant on nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFLD) and disease severity across different populations. We performed a systematic review by a meta-analysis; literature searches identified 16 studies. Our results showed that rs738409 exerted a strong influence not only on liver fat accumulation (GG homozygous showed 73% higher lipid fat content when compared with CC ones, data from 2,937 subjects; P < 1 × 10(-9) ), but also on the susceptibility of a more aggressive disease (GG homozygous had 3.24-fold greater risk of higher necroinflammatory scores and 3.2-fold greater risk of developing fibrosis when compared with CC homozygous; P < 1 × 10(-9) ; data from 1,739 and 2,251 individuals, respectively). Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) was more frequently observed in GG than CC homozygous (odds ratio [OR] 3.488, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.859-6.545, random model; P < 2 × 10(-4) ; data from 2,124 patients). Evaluation of the risk associated with heterozygosity for the variant suggests that the additive genetic model best explains the effect of rs738409 on the susceptibility to develop NAFLD. Nevertheless, carrying two G alleles does not seem to increase the risk of severe histological features. Meta-regression showed a negative correlation between male sex and the effect of rs738409 on liver fat content (slope: -2.45 ± 1.04; P < 0.02). The rs738409 GG genotype versus the CC genotype was associated with a 28% increase in serum alanine aminotransferase levels. By summarizing the amount of evidence, this study provided unequivocal evidence of rs738409 as a strong modifier of the natural history of NAFLD in different populations around the world. Copyright © 2011 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.