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      Presumptive risk factors for monkeypox in rural communities in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

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          Abstract

          Monkeypox virus (MPXV), a close relative of Variola virus, is a zoonotic virus with an unknown reservoir. Interaction with infected wildlife, bites from peri-domestic animals, and bushmeat hunting are hypothesized routes of infection from wildlife to humans. Using a Risk Questionnaire, performed in monkeypox-affected areas of rural Democratic Republic of the Congo, we describe the lifestyles and demographics associated with presumptive risk factors for MPXV infection. We generated two indices to assess risk: Household Materials Index (HMI), a proxy for socioeconomic status of households and Risk Activity Index (RAI), which describes presumptive risk for animal-to-human transmission of MPXV. Based on participant self-reported activity patterns, we found that people in this population are more likely to visit the forest than a market to fulfill material needs, and that the reported occupation is limited in describing behavior of individuals may participate. Being bitten by rodents in the home was commonly reported, and this was significantly associated with a low HMI. The highest scoring RAI sub-groups were ‘hunters’ and males aged ≥ 18 years; however, several activities involving MPXV-implicated animals were distributed across all sub-groups. The current analysis may be useful in identifying at-risk groups and help to direct education, outreach and prevention efforts more efficiently.

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          Most cited references14

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          A tale of two clades: monkeypox viruses.

          Human monkeypox was first recognized outside Africa in 2003 during an outbreak in the USA that was traced to imported monkeypox virus (MPXV)-infected West African rodents. Unlike the smallpox-like disease described in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC; a Congo Basin country), disease in the USA appeared milder. Here, analyses compared clinical, laboratory and epidemiological features of confirmed human monkeypox case-patients, using data from outbreaks in the USA and the Congo Basin, and the results suggested that human disease pathogenicity was associated with the viral strain. Genomic sequencing of USA, Western and Central African MPXV isolates confirmed the existence of two MPXV clades. A comparison of open reading frames between MPXV clades permitted prediction of viral proteins that could cause the observed differences in human pathogenicity between these two clades. Understanding the molecular pathogenesis and clinical and epidemiological properties of MPXV can improve monkeypox prevention and control.
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            Clinical characteristics of human monkeypox, and risk factors for severe disease.

            Human monkeypox is an emerging smallpox-like illness that was identified for the first time in the United States during an outbreak in 2003. Knowledge of the clinical manifestations of monkeypox in adults is limited, and clinical laboratory findings have been unknown. Demographic information; medical history; smallpox vaccination status; signs, symptoms, and duration of illness, and laboratory results (hematologic and serum chemistry findings) were extracted from medical records of patients with a confirmed case of monkeypox in the United States. Two-way comparisons were conducted between pediatric and adult patients and between patients with and patients without previous smallpox vaccination. Bivariate and multivariate analyses of risk factors for severe disease (fever [temperature, > or =38.3 degrees C] and the presence of rash [> or =100 lesions]), activity and duration of hospitalization, and abnormal clinical laboratory findings were performed. Of 34 patients with a confirmed case of monkeypox, 5 (15%) were defined as severely ill, and 9 (26%) were hospitalized for >48 h; no patients died. Previous smallpox vaccination was not associated with disease severity or hospitalization. Pediatric patients (age, 48 h and with having > or =3 laboratory tests with abnormal results. Monkeypox can cause a severe clinical illness, with systemic signs and symptoms and abnormal clinical laboratory findings. In the appropriate epidemiologic context, monkeypox should be included in the differential diagnosis for patients with unusual vesiculopustular exanthems, mucosal lesions, gastrointestinal symptoms, and abnormal hematologic or hepatic laboratory findings. Clinicians evaluating a rash illness consistent with possible orthopoxvirus infection should alert public health officials and consider further evaluation.
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              Outbreak of human monkeypox, Democratic Republic of Congo, 1996 to 1997.

              Human monkeypox is a zoonotic smallpox-like disease caused by an orthopoxvirus of interhuman transmissibility too low to sustain spread in susceptible populations. In February 1997, 88 cases of febrile pustular rash were identified for the previous 12 months in 12 villages of the Katako-Kombe Health Zone, Democratic Republic of Congo (attack rate = 22 per 1,000; case-fatality rate = 3.7%). Seven were active cases confirmed by virus isolation. Orthopoxvirus- neutralizing antibodies were detected in 54% of 72 patients who provided serum and 25% of 59 wild-caught animals, mainly squirrels. Hemagglutination-inhibition assays and Western blotting detected antibodies in 68% and 73% of patients, respectively. Vaccinia vaccination, which protects against monkeypox, ceased by 1983 after global smallpox eradication, leading to an increase in the proportion of susceptible people.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                13 February 2017
                2017
                : 12
                : 2
                : e0168664
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
                [2 ]US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Poxvirus and Rabies Branch, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
                [3 ]International Conservation Education Fund, Washington, D.C., United States of America
                [4 ]University of Kinshasa, Department of Biology, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo
                [5 ]Kinshasa School of Public Health, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo
                University of Florida, UNITED STATES
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests regarding real or perceived conflicts of interest.

                • Conceptualization: BM.

                • Data curation: CQ.

                • Formal analysis: CQ CH.

                • Investigation: CQ CM SI JM EO.

                • Methodology: CQ BM YN.

                • Project administration: CM EO.

                • Resources: DC.

                • Software: CQ.

                • Supervision: MR DC JM EO CM.

                • Validation: CQ CH.

                • Visualization: CQ CH.

                • Writing – original draft: CQ.

                • Writing – review & editing: CQ CH AM YN JD MR BM CM.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4419-1542
                Article
                PONE-D-16-08026
                10.1371/journal.pone.0168664
                5305065
                28192435
                2be18d05-a681-4e2e-acec-ae0bf919cb67

                This is an open access article, free of all copyright, and may be freely reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, built upon, or otherwise used by anyone for any lawful purpose. The work is made available under the Creative Commons CC0 public domain dedication.

                History
                : 8 March 2016
                : 5 December 2016
                Page count
                Figures: 3, Tables: 5, Pages: 14
                Funding
                Funded by: DHHS/CDC
                Award ID: Federal Budget
                This work was financially supported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Oakridge Institute for Science and Education, (ORISE).
                Categories
                Research Article
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Organisms
                Animals
                Vertebrates
                Amniotes
                Mammals
                Rodents
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Infectious Diseases
                Zoonoses
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                Organisms
                Animals
                Vertebrates
                Amniotes
                Mammals
                Rodents
                Squirrels
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                Amniotes
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                Ebola Virus
                Medicine and Health Sciences
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