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      Diagnostic support for selected neuromuscular diseases using answer-pattern recognition and data mining techniques: a proof of concept multicenter prospective trial

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          Abstract

          Background

          Diagnosis of neuromuscular diseases in primary care is often challenging. Rare diseases such as Pompe disease are easily overlooked by the general practitioner. We therefore aimed to develop a diagnostic support tool using patient-oriented questions and combined data mining algorithms recognizing answer patterns in individuals with selected neuromuscular diseases. A multicenter prospective study for the proof of concept was conducted thereafter.

          Methods

          First, 16 interviews with patients were conducted focusing on their pre-diagnostic observations and experiences. From these interviews, we developed a questionnaire with 46 items. Then, patients with diagnosed neuromuscular diseases as well as patients without such a disease answered the questionnaire to establish a database for data mining. For proof of concept, initially only six diagnoses were chosen (myotonic dystrophy and myotonia (MdMy), Pompe disease (MP), amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), polyneuropathy (PNP), spinal muscular atrophy (SMA), other neuromuscular diseases, and no neuromuscular disease (NND). A prospective study was performed to validate the automated malleable system, which included six different classification methods combined in a fusion algorithm proposing a final diagnosis. Finally, new diagnoses were incorporated into the system.

          Results

          In total, questionnaires from 210 individuals were used to train the system. 89.5 % correct diagnoses were achieved during cross-validation. The sensitivity of the system was 93–97 % for individuals with MP, with MdMy and without neuromuscular diseases, but only 69 % in SMA and 81 % in ALS patients. In the prospective trial, 57/64 (89 %) diagnoses were predicted correctly by the computerized system. All questions, or rather all answers, increased the diagnostic accuracy of the system, with the best results reached by the fusion of different classifier methods. Receiver operating curve (ROC) and p-value analyses confirmed the results.

          Conclusion

          A questionnaire-based diagnostic support tool using data mining methods exhibited good results in predicting selected neuromuscular diseases. Due to the variety of neuromuscular diseases, additional studies are required to measure beneficial effects in the clinical setting.

          Electronic supplementary material

          The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12911-016-0268-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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          Most cited references29

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          To Err Is Human : Building a Safer Health System

          (2000)
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            Overconfidence as a cause of diagnostic error in medicine.

            The great majority of medical diagnoses are made using automatic, efficient cognitive processes, and these diagnoses are correct most of the time. This analytic review concerns the exceptions: the times when these cognitive processes fail and the final diagnosis is missed or wrong. We argue that physicians in general underappreciate the likelihood that their diagnoses are wrong and that this tendency to overconfidence is related to both intrinsic and systemically reinforced factors. We present a comprehensive review of the available literature and current thinking related to these issues. The review covers the incidence and impact of diagnostic error, data on physician overconfidence as a contributing cause of errors, strategies to improve the accuracy of diagnostic decision making, and recommendations for future research.
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              Clinical features and predictors for disease natural progression in adults with Pompe disease: a nationwide prospective observational study

              Background Due partly to physicians’ unawareness, many adults with Pompe disease are diagnosed with great delay. Besides, it is not well known which factors influence the rate of disease progression, and thus disease outcome. We delineated the specific clinical features of Pompe disease in adults, and mapped out the distribution and severity of muscle weakness, and the sequence of involvement of the individual muscle groups. Furthermore, we defined the natural disease course and identified prognostic factors for disease progression. Methods We conducted a single-center, prospective, observational study. Muscle strength (manual muscle testing, and hand-held dynamometry), muscle function (quick motor function test), and pulmonary function (forced vital capacity in sitting and supine positions) were assessed every 3–6 months and analyzed using repeated-measures ANOVA. Results Between October 2004 and August 2009, 94 patients aged between 25 and 75 years were included in the study. Although skeletal muscle weakness was typically distributed in a limb-girdle pattern, many patients had unfamiliar features such as ptosis (23%), bulbar weakness (28%), and scapular winging (33%). During follow-up (average 1.6 years, range 0.5-4.2 years), skeletal muscle strength deteriorated significantly (mean declines of −1.3% point/year for manual muscle testing and of −2.6% points/year for hand-held dynamometry; both p 15 years) and pulmonary involvement (forced vital capacity in sitting position <80%) at study entry predicted faster decline. On average, forced vital capacity in supine position deteriorated by 1.3% points per year (p=0.02). Decline in pulmonary function was consistent across subgroups. Ten percent of patients declined unexpectedly fast. Conclusions Recognizing patterns of common and less familiar characteristics in adults with Pompe disease facilitates timely diagnosis. Longer disease duration and reduced pulmonary function stand out as predictors of rapid disease progression, and aid in deciding whether to initiate enzyme replacement therapy, or when.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                0049 (0) 511-532-3221 , Grigull.lorenz@mh-hannover.de , grigull.lorenz@mh-hannover.de
                werner.lechner@improvedmedicaldiagnostics.com
                petri.susanne@mh-hannover.de
                kollewe.katja@mh-hannover.de
                dengler.reinhard@mh-hannover.de
                mehmecke.sandra@mh-hannover.de
                uschumacher313@gmx.de
                luecke.thomas@ruhr-uni-bochum.de
                chrisschneigold@icloud.com
                c.koehler@klinikum-bochum.de
                Anne.Guettsches@ruhr-uni-bochum.de
                X.Kortum@ostfalia.de
                Frank.Klawonn@helmholtz-hzi.de
                Journal
                BMC Med Inform Decis Mak
                BMC Med Inform Decis Mak
                BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
                BioMed Central (London )
                1472-6947
                8 March 2016
                8 March 2016
                2016
                : 16
                : 31
                Affiliations
                [ ]Department of Pediatric Hematology and Oncology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg Str. 1, D-30623 Hannover, Germany
                [ ]Improved Medical Diagnostics, IMD GmbH, Hannover, Germany
                [ ]Department of Neurology, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany
                [ ]DRK Clementinenkrankenhaus, Hannover, Germany
                [ ]Klinik für Kinder- und Jugendmedizin im St. Josef Hospital, Ruhr- Universität Bochum, Bochum, Germany
                [ ]Department of Neurology, Heimer-Institute at the BG University-Hospital Bergmannsheil GmbH, Ruhr- University Bochum, Bochum, Germany
                [ ]Ostfalia University of Applied Sciences, Wolfenbuettel, Germany
                [ ]Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Biostatistics Group, Braunschweig, Germany
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8807-2874
                Article
                268
                10.1186/s12911-016-0268-5
                4782522
                26957320
                2f80bbd0-3de0-4bb4-9735-72fc0ad3ef54
                © Grigull et al. 2016

                Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

                History
                : 18 October 2015
                : 26 February 2016
                Funding
                Funded by: Genzyme Sanofi GmbH
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2016

                Bioinformatics & Computational biology
                diagnostic support,rare neuromuscular diseases,data mining,questionnaire

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