Variability in hemoglobin levels in hemodialysis patients in the current era: a retrospective cohort study


Abstract

Background: Given regulatory and reimbursement changes in anemia management, we examined hemoglobin variability in a contemporary cohort of maintenance hemodialysis patients. Materials and methods: The study population included > 200,000 hemodialysis patients with Medicare parts A and B as primary payer on October 1, 2012. Based on 25 ^th and 75 ^th percentiles, monthly hemoglobin values were categorized as low, intermediate, or high. Six variability categories were created by patterns during the 6-month observation period. Stable categories were: always-low, always-intermediate, always-high; variable patterns were: varying between low and intermediate, intermediate and high, low and high (most-variable). Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between hemoglobin variability and all-cause mortality or major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Results: The 25 ^th and 75 ^th hemoglobin percentiles were 10.2 and 11.5 g/dL, respectively, in 2012, vs. 11 and 12.5 g/dL in 2004. ESA doses were lower in all categories in 2012 and transfusion rates higher, particularly for always-low patients. Hemoglobin variability decreased modestly: in 2004, 6.0% were always-intermediate, vs. 9.5% in 2012. In 2012, more patients were always-high and fewer were most-variable. Mortality hazard ratios (HRs) were higher for patients with any low hemoglobin: always-low (HR, 95% CI: 2.07, 1.84 – 2.31), varying between low and intermediate (1.37, 1.29 – 1.45), and most-variable (1.23, 1.16 – 1.31); the pattern was similar for MACE. Conclusions: In 2012 vs. 2004, hemoglobin levels decreased, the range of levels narrowed, and variability decreased modestly; transfusions increased. The highest risk of mortality and MACE appeared to occur in patients with persistently low, rather than highly variable, hemoglobin levels.