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      Correlation between tumor growth rate and survival in patients with metastatic breast cancer treated with trastuzumab deruxtecan

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          Abstract

          Background

          Previous studies in multiple metastatic tumors treated with diverse anticancer agents including immunotherapy, chemotherapy, mAb, and TKIs have suggested the rate of tumor growth (g‐score) is inversely associated with survival.

          Methods

          We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with metastatic breast cancer (mBC) treated with trastuzumab deruxtecan (T‐DXd), ado‐trastuzumab emtansine (T‐DM1), or chemotherapy to investigate the impact of those therapies on g‐score and explore the association of g‐score with clinical outcomes. This is the first report assessing g‐score in tumors treated with an ADC.

          Results

          We investigated the association of g‐score with progression‐free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in 2 phase 3 studies in patients with HER2 + mBC (DESTINY‐Breast03 (DB-03)) and HER2‐low mBC (DESTINY‐Breast04 (DB-04)). After grouping patients according to quartiles of g‐scores, we explored the association between g‐score and PFS/OS using Kaplan‐Meier plots and Cox regression models. The median g‐score was higher for T‐DM1, suggesting a faster growth rate at 0.0009/day vs that for T‐DXd at 0.0002/day ( P < .0001). Additionally, with data collection stopped at the time of database lock, 23% and 48% of tumors demonstrated only regression without growth in the T‐DM1 and T‐DXd arms, respectively. In DB-04, median g was 0.0018/day and 0.0006/day ( P < .0001); with 17% and 32% of tumors demonstrating only regression with treatment of physician’s choice (TPC) and T‐DXd, respectively.

          Conclusions

          Compared to T‐DM1 and TPC therapies, T‐DXd significantly reduced the rate of tumor growth in the overall population and across subgroups. In both studies, the tumor growth rate was inversely associated with PFS and OS. In addition, it showed improved concordance with survival compared to ORR. The use of tumor growth rate as an intermediate endpoint may potentially accelerate drug development and reduce a patient’s exposure to agents with limited or no activity.

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          Most cited references35

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          New response evaluation criteria in solid tumours: revised RECIST guideline (version 1.1).

          Assessment of the change in tumour burden is an important feature of the clinical evaluation of cancer therapeutics: both tumour shrinkage (objective response) and disease progression are useful endpoints in clinical trials. Since RECIST was published in 2000, many investigators, cooperative groups, industry and government authorities have adopted these criteria in the assessment of treatment outcomes. However, a number of questions and issues have arisen which have led to the development of a revised RECIST guideline (version 1.1). Evidence for changes, summarised in separate papers in this special issue, has come from assessment of a large data warehouse (>6500 patients), simulation studies and literature reviews. HIGHLIGHTS OF REVISED RECIST 1.1: Major changes include: Number of lesions to be assessed: based on evidence from numerous trial databases merged into a data warehouse for analysis purposes, the number of lesions required to assess tumour burden for response determination has been reduced from a maximum of 10 to a maximum of five total (and from five to two per organ, maximum). Assessment of pathological lymph nodes is now incorporated: nodes with a short axis of 15 mm are considered measurable and assessable as target lesions. The short axis measurement should be included in the sum of lesions in calculation of tumour response. Nodes that shrink to <10mm short axis are considered normal. Confirmation of response is required for trials with response primary endpoint but is no longer required in randomised studies since the control arm serves as appropriate means of interpretation of data. Disease progression is clarified in several aspects: in addition to the previous definition of progression in target disease of 20% increase in sum, a 5mm absolute increase is now required as well to guard against over calling PD when the total sum is very small. Furthermore, there is guidance offered on what constitutes 'unequivocal progression' of non-measurable/non-target disease, a source of confusion in the original RECIST guideline. Finally, a section on detection of new lesions, including the interpretation of FDG-PET scan assessment is included. Imaging guidance: the revised RECIST includes a new imaging appendix with updated recommendations on the optimal anatomical assessment of lesions. A key question considered by the RECIST Working Group in developing RECIST 1.1 was whether it was appropriate to move from anatomic unidimensional assessment of tumour burden to either volumetric anatomical assessment or to functional assessment with PET or MRI. It was concluded that, at present, there is not sufficient standardisation or evidence to abandon anatomical assessment of tumour burden. The only exception to this is in the use of FDG-PET imaging as an adjunct to determination of progression. As is detailed in the final paper in this special issue, the use of these promising newer approaches requires appropriate clinical validation studies.
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            Trastuzumab Deruxtecan in Previously Treated HER2-Low Advanced Breast Cancer

            Among breast cancers without human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) amplification, overexpression, or both, a large proportion express low levels of HER2 that may be targetable. Currently available HER2-directed therapies have been ineffective in patients with these "HER2-low" cancers.
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              Trastuzumab Deruxtecan versus Trastuzumab Emtansine for Breast Cancer

              Trastuzumab emtansine is the current standard treatment for patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive metastatic breast cancer whose disease progresses after treatment with a combination of anti-HER2 antibodies and a taxane.

                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Data curation
                Journal
                Oncologist
                Oncologist
                oncolo
                The Oncologist
                Oxford University Press (US )
                1083-7159
                1549-490X
                May 2025
                11 May 2025
                11 May 2025
                : 30
                : 5
                : oyaf057
                Affiliations
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Herbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbia University , New York, NY, United States
                James J Peters VA Medical Center , Bronx, NY, United States
                Herbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbia University , New York, NY, United States
                James J Peters VA Medical Center , Bronx, NY, United States
                Daiichi Sankyo Inc. , Basking Ridge, NJ, United States
                Author notes
                Corresponding author: Philip He, Biostatistics, Daiichi Sankyo Inc., 211 Mt Airy Road, Basking Ridge, NJ 07920, USA ( philipyihe2018@ 123456gmail.com ).
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6804-1501
                Article
                oyaf057
                10.1093/oncolo/oyaf057
                12065935
                40349141
                3251bc8a-02c9-43a2-a124-0c5de8d16456
                © The Author(s) 2025. Published by Oxford University Press.

                This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 22 December 2024
                : 26 February 2025
                Page count
                Pages: 10
                Funding
                Funded by: Daiichi Sankyo, Inc;
                Categories
                Breast Cancer
                Original Article
                AcademicSubjects/MED00010
                Oncolo/2

                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                metastatic breast cancer,tumor growth rate,biomarkers,intermediate endpoint

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