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      Ending Civil Wars: A Case for Rebel Victory?

      International Security
      MIT Press - Journals

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          The security dilemma and ethnic conflict

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            The Consequences of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars, 1945–1993

            We know very little about how civil wars end. Harrison Wagner has argued that negotiated settlements of civil wars are likely to break down because segments of power-sharing governments retain the capacity for resorting to civil war while victory destroys the losers' organization, making it very difficult to resume the war. An analysis of a data set of 91 post-1945 civil wars generally supports this hypothesis but only in wars over identity issues. Moreover, while military victories may be less likely to break down than negotiated settlements of identity civil wars, they are also more likely to be followed by acts of genocide. Outsiders concerned with minimizing violence thus face a dilemma.
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              Possible and Impossible Solutions to Ethnic Civil Wars

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                International Security
                International Security
                MIT Press - Journals
                0162-2889
                1531-4804
                April 2010
                April 2010
                : 34
                : 4
                : 7-36
                Article
                10.1162/isec.2010.34.4.7
                33cacb72-7013-42e2-a2f4-d5d385150510
                © 2010
                History

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