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      Duration of major depressive episodes in the general population: Results from the Netherlands Mental Health Survey and Incidence Study (NEMESIS)

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          Abstract

          Background

          Data on the duration of major depressive episodes (MDE) in the general population are sparse.

          Aims

          To assess the duration of MDE and its clinical and socio-demographic determinants in a study group drawn from the general population with newly originated episodes of major depression.

          Method

          The Netherlands Mental Health Survey and Incidence Study is a prospective epidemiological survey in the adult population ( n=7076), using the Composite International Diagnostic Interview. Duration of MDE over 2 years was assessed with a Life Chart Interview.

          Results

          The median duration of MDE was 3.0 months; 50% of participants recovered within 3 months, 63% within 6 months, 76% within 12 months and nearly 20% had not recovered at 24 months. Determinants of persistence were severity of depression and comorbid dysthymia. A recurrent episode predicted shorter duration.

          Conclusions

          Although half of those affected with MDE recovered rapidly, the risk of chronicity (duration 24months or more) was considerable. This underlines the necessity of diagnosing and treating those at risk.

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          Most cited references15

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          Conceptualization and Rationale for Consensus Definitions of Terms in Major Depressive Disorder

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            The clinical course of unipolar major depressive disorders.

            Nancy Judd (1997)
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              The clinician's illusion.

              There are several diseases, including schizophrenia, alcoholism, and opiate addiction, for which the long-term prognosis is subject to disagreement between clinicians and researchers and also among researchers. Part of this disagreement may be attributable to a difference in the populations they sample. The clinician samples the population currently suffering from the disease (a "prevalence" or census sample), while research samples tend to more nearly represent the population ever contracting the disease (an "incidence" sample). The clinician's sample is biased toward cases of long duration, since the probability that a case will appear in a prevalence sample is proportional to its duration, hence "the clinician's illusion." The statistical mechanism of this bias is illustrated and its consequences detailed. Other sources of sampling bias in clinical and research samples are briefly described and partial remedies are suggested.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                British Journal of Psychiatry
                Br J Psychiatry
                Royal College of Psychiatrists
                0007-1250
                1472-1465
                September 2002
                January 02 2018
                September 2002
                : 181
                : 3
                : 208-213
                Article
                10.1192/bjp.181.3.208
                34b78a41-f714-442a-abe2-9bb2cfd6c161
                © 2002

                https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms

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