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      An apparent hiatus in global warming?

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      Earth's Future
      Wiley

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          Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific

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            Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

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              Contributions of stratospheric water vapor to decadal changes in the rate of global warming.

              Stratospheric water vapor concentrations decreased by about 10% after the year 2000. Here we show that this acted to slow the rate of increase in global surface temperature over 2000-2009 by about 25% compared to that which would have occurred due only to carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. More limited data suggest that stratospheric water vapor probably increased between 1980 and 2000, which would have enhanced the decadal rate of surface warming during the 1990s by about 30% as compared to estimates neglecting this change. These findings show that stratospheric water vapor is an important driver of decadal global surface climate change.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Earth's Future
                Earth's Future
                Wiley
                23284277
                December 2013
                December 05 2013
                : 1
                : 1
                : 19-32
                Article
                10.1002/2013EF000165
                360ccef9-7b50-42a8-bc2d-65ea52b51657
                © 2013

                http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1.1

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