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      Effects of canopy midstory management and fuel moisture on wildfire behavior

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          Abstract

          Increasing trends in wildfire severity can partly be attributed to fire exclusion in the past century which led to higher fuel accumulation. Mechanical thinning and prescribed burns are effective techniques to manage fuel loads and to establish a higher degree of control over future fire risk, while restoring fire prone landscapes to their natural states of succession. However, given the complexity of interactions between fine scale fuel heterogeneity and wind, it is difficult to assess the success of thinning operations and prescribed burns. The present work addresses this issue systematically by simulating a simple fire line and propagating through a vegetative environment where the midstory has been cleared in different degrees, leading to a canopy with almost no midstory, another with a sparse midstory and another with a dense midstory. The simulations are conducted for these three canopies under two different conditions, where the fuel moisture is high and where it is low. These six sets of simulations show widely different fire behavior, in terms of fire intensity, spread rate and consumption. To understand the physical mechanisms that lead to these differences, detailed analyses are conducted to look at wind patterns, mean flow and turbulent fluxes of momentum and energy. The analyses also lead to improved understanding of processes leading to high intensity crowning behavior in presence of a dense midstory. Moreover, this work highlights the importance of considering fine scale fuel heterogeneity, seasonality, wind effects and the associated fire-canopy-atmosphere interactions while considering prescribed burns and forest management operations.

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          Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests

          Increased forest fire activity across the western United States in recent decades has contributed to widespread forest mortality, carbon emissions, periods of degraded air quality, and substantial fire suppression expenditures. Although numerous factors aided the recent rise in fire activity, observed warming and drying have significantly increased fire-season fuel aridity, fostering a more favorable fire environment across forested systems. We demonstrate that human-caused climate change caused over half of the documented increases in fuel aridity since the 1970s and doubled the cumulative forest fire area since 1984. This analysis suggests that anthropogenic climate change will continue to chronically enhance the potential for western US forest fire activity while fuels are not limiting. Increased forest fire activity across the western continental United States (US) in recent decades has likely been enabled by a number of factors, including the legacy of fire suppression and human settlement, natural climate variability, and human-caused climate change. We use modeled climate projections to estimate the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to observed increases in eight fuel aridity metrics and forest fire area across the western United States. Anthropogenic increases in temperature and vapor pressure deficit significantly enhanced fuel aridity across western US forests over the past several decades and, during 2000–2015, contributed to 75% more forested area experiencing high (>1 σ) fire-season fuel aridity and an average of nine additional days per year of high fire potential. Anthropogenic climate change accounted for ∼55% of observed increases in fuel aridity from 1979 to 2015 across western US forests, highlighting both anthropogenic climate change and natural climate variability as important contributors to increased wildfire potential in recent decades. We estimate that human-caused climate change contributed to an additional 4.2 million ha of forest fire area during 1984–2015, nearly doubling the forest fire area expected in its absence. Natural climate variability will continue to alternate between modulating and compounding anthropogenic increases in fuel aridity, but anthropogenic climate change has emerged as a driver of increased forest fire activity and should continue to do so while fuels are not limiting.
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            Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984-2011

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              Climate and wildfire area burned in western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916–2003

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                tirthab@uci.edu
                Journal
                Sci Rep
                Sci Rep
                Scientific Reports
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2045-2322
                14 October 2020
                14 October 2020
                2020
                : 10
                : 17312
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.266093.8, ISNI 0000 0001 0668 7243, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, , University of California, ; Irvine, CA 92697 USA
                [2 ]GRID grid.472551.0, ISNI 0000 0004 0404 3120, Northern Research Station, , U.S. Forest Service, ; Lansing, MI 48910 USA
                [3 ]GRID grid.472551.0, ISNI 0000 0004 0404 3120, Southern Research Station, , U.S. Forest Service, ; Athens, GA 30602 USA
                [4 ]GRID grid.422760.5, Tall Timbers Research Station, ; Tallahassee, FL 32312 USA
                [5 ]GRID grid.148313.c, ISNI 0000 0004 0428 3079, Earth and Environmental Sciences Division, , Los Alamos National Laboratory, ; Los Alamos, NM 87545 USA
                Article
                74338
                10.1038/s41598-020-74338-9
                7560897
                33057096
                403c05c4-16ed-41dd-ac77-19cd82af1041
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 7 March 2020
                : 29 September 2020
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100008476, University of California, Irvine;
                Funded by: FundRef http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100008902, Los Alamos National Laboratory;
                Categories
                Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Uncategorized
                fire ecology,forest ecology,forestry,atmospheric science,atmospheric dynamics,environmental sciences,fluid dynamics

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