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      AI Augmentation of Radiologist Performance in Distinguishing COVID-19 from Pneumonia of Other Etiology on Chest CT

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          Abstract

          Background

          COVID-19 and pneumonia of other etiology share similar CT characteristics, contributing to the challenges in differentiating them with high accuracy.

          Purpose

          To establish and evaluate an artificial intelligence (AI) system in differentiating COVID-19 and other pneumonia on chest CT and assess radiologist performance without and with AI assistance.

          Methods

          521 patients with positive RT-PCR for COVID-19 and abnormal chest CT findings were retrospectively identified from ten hospitals from January 2020 to April 2020. 665 patients with non-COVID-19 pneumonia and definite evidence of pneumonia on chest CT were retrospectively selected from three hospitals between 2017 and 2019. To classify COVID-19 versus other pneumonia for each patient, abnormal CT slices were input into the EfficientNet B4 deep neural network architecture after lung segmentation, followed by two-layer fully-connected neural network to pool slices together. Our final cohort of 1,186 patients (132,583 CT slices) was divided into training, validation and test sets in a 7:2:1 and equal ratio. Independent testing was performed by evaluating model performance on separate hospitals. Studies were blindly reviewed by six radiologists without and then with AI assistance.

          Results

          Our final model achieved a test accuracy of 96% (95% CI: 90-98%), sensitivity 95% (95% CI: 83-100%) and specificity of 96% (95% CI: 88-99%) with Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) AUC of 0.95 and Precision-Recall (PR) AUC of 0.90. On independent testing, our model achieved an accuracy of 87% (95% CI: 82-90%), sensitivity of 89% (95% CI: 81-94%) and specificity of 86% (95% CI: 80-90%) with ROC AUC of 0.90 and PR AUC of 0.87. Assisted by the models’ probabilities, the radiologists achieved a higher average test accuracy (90% vs. 85%, Δ=5, p<0.001), sensitivity (88% vs. 79%, Δ=9, p<0.001) and specificity (91% vs. 88%, Δ=3, p=0.001).

          Conclusion

          AI assistance improved radiologists' performance in distinguishing COVID-19 from non-COVID-19 pneumonia on chest CT.

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          Most cited references18

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          Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China

          Summary Background A recent cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan, China, was caused by a novel betacoronavirus, the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). We report the epidemiological, clinical, laboratory, and radiological characteristics and treatment and clinical outcomes of these patients. Methods All patients with suspected 2019-nCoV were admitted to a designated hospital in Wuhan. We prospectively collected and analysed data on patients with laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV infection by real-time RT-PCR and next-generation sequencing. Data were obtained with standardised data collection forms shared by WHO and the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium from electronic medical records. Researchers also directly communicated with patients or their families to ascertain epidemiological and symptom data. Outcomes were also compared between patients who had been admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and those who had not. Findings By Jan 2, 2020, 41 admitted hospital patients had been identified as having laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV infection. Most of the infected patients were men (30 [73%] of 41); less than half had underlying diseases (13 [32%]), including diabetes (eight [20%]), hypertension (six [15%]), and cardiovascular disease (six [15%]). Median age was 49·0 years (IQR 41·0–58·0). 27 (66%) of 41 patients had been exposed to Huanan seafood market. One family cluster was found. Common symptoms at onset of illness were fever (40 [98%] of 41 patients), cough (31 [76%]), and myalgia or fatigue (18 [44%]); less common symptoms were sputum production (11 [28%] of 39), headache (three [8%] of 38), haemoptysis (two [5%] of 39), and diarrhoea (one [3%] of 38). Dyspnoea developed in 22 (55%) of 40 patients (median time from illness onset to dyspnoea 8·0 days [IQR 5·0–13·0]). 26 (63%) of 41 patients had lymphopenia. All 41 patients had pneumonia with abnormal findings on chest CT. Complications included acute respiratory distress syndrome (12 [29%]), RNAaemia (six [15%]), acute cardiac injury (five [12%]) and secondary infection (four [10%]). 13 (32%) patients were admitted to an ICU and six (15%) died. Compared with non-ICU patients, ICU patients had higher plasma levels of IL2, IL7, IL10, GSCF, IP10, MCP1, MIP1A, and TNFα. Interpretation The 2019-nCoV infection caused clusters of severe respiratory illness similar to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus and was associated with ICU admission and high mortality. Major gaps in our knowledge of the origin, epidemiology, duration of human transmission, and clinical spectrum of disease need fulfilment by future studies. Funding Ministry of Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, and Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission.
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            Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China

            In December 2019, novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)-infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, China. The number of cases has increased rapidly but information on the clinical characteristics of affected patients is limited.
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              Presumed Asymptomatic Carrier Transmission of COVID-19

              This study describes possible transmission of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from an asymptomatic Wuhan resident to 5 family members in Anyang, a Chinese city in the neighboring province of Hubei.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Radiology
                Radiology
                Radiology
                Radiology
                Radiological Society of North America
                0033-8419
                1527-1315
                27 April 2020
                : 201491
                Affiliations
                [1]From the Department of Radiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan 410008, China (Z.X., D.W., W.L.); Perelman School of Medicine at University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104 (R.W.); Department of Diagnostic Imaging, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, Rhode Island, 02903, United States (H.X.B., B.H., K.H., I.P., M.K.A.); Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139, United States (K.C.); Warren Alpert Medical School at Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, 02903, United States (H.X.B., K.H., T.M.L.T., J.W.C., I.P.); Department of Radiology, Yongzhou Central Hospital, Yongzhou, Hunan, 425006, China (L.S.); Department of Radiology, Changde Second People’s Hospital, Changde, Hunan, 415001, China (J.M.); Department of Radiology, Affiliated Nan Hua Hospital, University of South China, Hengyang, Hunan, 421002, China (X.J.); Department of Radiology, Loudi Central Hospital, Loudi, Hunan, 417000, China (Q.Z.); Department of Radiology, Chenzhou Second People’s Hospital, Chenzhou, Hunan, 423000, China (P.H.); Department of Radiology, Zhuzhou Central Hospital, Zhuzhou, Hunan, 412002, China (Y.L.); Department of Radiology, Yiyang City Center Hospital, Yiyang, Hunan, 413000, China (F.F.); Department of Radiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, 02115, United States (R.Y.H.); Department of Radiology, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 19104, United States (R.S.); Department of Radiology, The First Hospital of Changsha, Changsha, Hunan, 410005, China (Q.Y.)
                Author notes
                Address correspondence to W.L. (E-mail: liaoweihua2017@ 123456163.com ).
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7369-0602
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4879-4279
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5209-801X
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6956-5059
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6746-8615
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8126-1258
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1061-3102
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4435-2214
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0650-6614
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7661-797X
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3549-2634
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1926-3527
                Article
                201491
                10.1148/radiol.2020201491
                7233483
                32339081
                41c6ea36-78bb-4f3a-8c17-24e9b4b3ef9d
                2020 by the Radiological Society of North America, Inc.

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                Categories
                Original Research—Thoracic Imaging

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