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      News trends and web search query of HIV/AIDS in Hong Kong

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      PLoS ONE
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          Abstract

          Background

          The HIV epidemic in Hong Kong has worsened in recent years, with major contributions from high-risk subgroup of men who have sex with men (MSM). Internet use is prevalent among the majority of the local population, where they sought health information online. This study examines the impacts of HIV/AIDS and MSM news coverage on web search query in Hong Kong.

          Methods

          Relevant news coverage about HIV/AIDS and MSM from January 1st, 2004 to December 31st, 2014 was obtained from the WiseNews databse. News trends were created by computing the number of relevant articles by type, topic, place of origin and sub-populations. We then obtained relevant search volumes from Google and analysed causality between news trends and Google Trends using Granger Causality test and orthogonal impulse function.

          Results

          We found that editorial news has an impact on “HIV” Google searches on HIV, with the search term popularity peaking at an average of two weeks after the news are published. Similarly, editorial news has an impact on the frequency of “AIDS” searches two weeks after. MSM-related news trends have a more fluctuating impact on “MSM” Google searches, although the time lag varies anywhere from one week later to ten weeks later.

          Conclusions

          This infodemiological study shows that there is a positive impact of news trends on the online search behavior of HIV/AIDS or MSM-related issues for up to ten weeks after. Health promotional professionals could make use of this brief time window to tailor the timing of HIV awareness campaigns and public health interventions to maximise its reach and effectiveness.

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          Most cited references24

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          Digital disease detection--harnessing the Web for public health surveillance.

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            Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models

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              Mass Media and the Contagion of Fear: The Case of Ebola in America

              Background In the weeks following the first imported case of Ebola in the U. S. on September 29, 2014, coverage of the very limited outbreak dominated the news media, in a manner quite disproportionate to the actual threat to national public health; by the end of October, 2014, there were only four laboratory confirmed cases of Ebola in the entire nation. Public interest in these events was high, as reflected in the millions of Ebola-related Internet searches and tweets performed in the month following the first confirmed case. Use of trending Internet searches and tweets has been proposed in the past for real-time prediction of outbreaks (a field referred to as “digital epidemiology”), but accounting for the biases of public panic has been problematic. In the case of the limited U. S. Ebola outbreak, we know that the Ebola-related searches and tweets originating the U. S. during the outbreak were due only to public interest or panic, providing an unprecedented means to determine how these dynamics affect such data, and how news media may be driving these trends. Methodology We examine daily Ebola-related Internet search and Twitter data in the U. S. during the six week period ending Oct 31, 2014. TV news coverage data were obtained from the daily number of Ebola-related news videos appearing on two major news networks. We fit the parameters of a mathematical contagion model to the data to determine if the news coverage was a significant factor in the temporal patterns in Ebola-related Internet and Twitter data. Conclusions We find significant evidence of contagion, with each Ebola-related news video inspiring tens of thousands of Ebola-related tweets and Internet searches. Between 65% to 76% of the variance in all samples is described by the news media contagion model.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: Funding acquisitionRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: SoftwareRole: ValidationRole: Visualization
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: Funding acquisitionRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Project administrationRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                2017
                18 September 2017
                : 12
                : 9
                : e0185004
                Affiliations
                [001] Department of Applied Mathematics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong SAR, China
                Brighton & Sussex Medical School, Falmer, UNITED KINGDOM
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3253-654X
                Article
                PONE-D-17-20814
                10.1371/journal.pone.0185004
                5602633
                28922376
                4606be63-0425-4cdd-94b9-f133affbee63
                © 2017 Chiu et al

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 1 June 2017
                : 4 September 2017
                Page count
                Figures: 3, Tables: 0, Pages: 10
                Funding
                Funded by: Start-up grant for new recruits of Hong Kong Polytechnic University
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: AIDS Trust Fund Hong Kong
                Award ID: MSS 236 R
                Award Recipient :
                DH was supported by Start-up grant for new recruits of Hong Kong Polytechnic University and AIDS Trust Fund Hong Kong (MSS 236 R). The funder had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
                Categories
                Research Article
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Microbiology
                Medical Microbiology
                Microbial Pathogens
                Viral Pathogens
                Immunodeficiency Viruses
                HIV
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Pathology and Laboratory Medicine
                Pathogens
                Microbial Pathogens
                Viral Pathogens
                Immunodeficiency Viruses
                HIV
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Organisms
                Viruses
                Viral Pathogens
                Immunodeficiency Viruses
                HIV
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Organisms
                Viruses
                Immunodeficiency Viruses
                HIV
                Biology and life sciences
                Organisms
                Viruses
                RNA viruses
                Retroviruses
                Lentivirus
                HIV
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Microbiology
                Medical Microbiology
                Microbial Pathogens
                Viral Pathogens
                Retroviruses
                Lentivirus
                HIV
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Pathology and Laboratory Medicine
                Pathogens
                Microbial Pathogens
                Viral Pathogens
                Retroviruses
                Lentivirus
                HIV
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Organisms
                Viruses
                Viral Pathogens
                Retroviruses
                Lentivirus
                HIV
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Infectious Diseases
                Viral Diseases
                AIDS
                People and Places
                Population Groupings
                Sexuality Groupings
                Men WHO Have Sex with Men
                Medicine and health sciences
                Public and occupational health
                Preventive medicine
                HIV prevention
                People and places
                Geographical locations
                Asia
                Hong Kong
                Computer and Information Sciences
                Computer Networks
                Internet
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Health Care
                Health Education and Awareness
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Public and Occupational Health
                Custom metadata
                All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.

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