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      Overlapping confidence intervals or standard error intervals: What do they mean in terms of statistical significance?

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          Abstract

          We investigate the procedure of checking for overlap between confidence intervals or standard error intervals to draw conclusions regarding hypotheses about differences between population parameters. Mathematical expressions and algebraic manipulations are given, and computer simulations are performed to assess the usefulness of confidence and standard error intervals in this manner. We make recommendations for their use in situations in which standard tests of hypotheses do not exist. An example is given that tests this methodology for comparing effective dose levels in independent probit regressions, an application that is also pertinent to derivations of LC 50s for insect pathogens and of detectability half-lives for prey proteins or DNA sequences in predator gut analysis.

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          Most cited references23

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          Arthropod Biological Control Agents and Pesticides

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            Identifying key cereal aphid predators by molecular gut analysis.

            We describe polymerase chain reaction (PCR) primers for gut analysis of aphid predators. The primers amplify aphid mitochondrial COII fragments ranging in size from 77 to 386 bp. Using these primers, we were able to distinguish six species of US Great Plains cereal aphids, including two congeners, Rhopalosiphum maidis (Fitch) and R. padi (L.), and to detect them in extracts of coccinellid and chrysopid predators. We devised a protocol for deriving half-lives of detectability for the DNA of a single aphid consumed by predators maintained under simulated field dietary and temperature conditions. Using this protocol and primers that amplify a 198-bp fragment, we determined statistically different half-lives of detectability for a single R. maidis of 3.95 h in Chrysoperla plorabunda (Fitch) and 8. 78 h in Hippodamia convergens Guerin. The detectability half-life for a 339-bp R. maidis fragment was statistically longer in C. plorabunda but not in H. convergens. The sensitivity of the assay for the 198-bp fragment is 10-7 aphid equivalents. For species-specific predator gut analysis, PCR is superior to monoclonal antibody technology, giving comparable detectability half-lives with lower expense, much shorter development times, and greater certainty of a successful outcome.
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              Confidence Intervals for a Normal Coefficient of Variation

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                J Insect Sci
                Journal of Insect Science
                University of Arizona Library
                1536-2442
                2003
                30 October 2003
                : 3
                : 34
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Statistics, 301 MSCS Building, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK 74078-1056
                [2 ]U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, Insect Biocontrol Lab, Bldg. 011A, Rm. 214, BARC-West, 10300, Baltimore Avenue, Beltsville, MD 20705
                [3 ]Office of Research and Methodology, National Center for Health Statistics, 3311 Toledo Road, Room 3209, Hyattsville, MD 20782, mpayton@ 123456okstate.edu
                Article
                10.1093/jis/3.1.34
                524673
                15841249
                467813c8-f616-4b39-9fc7-224c8c87e41a
                Copyright © 2003. Open access; copyright is maintained by the authors.
                History
                : 20 June 2003
                : 2 October 2003
                Categories
                Articles

                Entomology
                ld50,probit analysis,confidence intervals,lethal dose,standard error intervals,predator gut analysis,detectability half-life,effective dose

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