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      Early drop in systolic blood pressure, heart rate at admission, and their effects on worsening renal function in elderly patients with acute heart failure

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          Abstract

          Background

          Regardless of patients’ baseline renal function, worsening renal function (WRF) during hospitalization is associated with poor outcomes. In individuals with acute heart failure (AHF), one predictor of WRF is an early drop in systolic blood pressure (SBP). Few studies have investigated WRF in elderly AHF patients or the influence of these patients’ heart rate (HR) at admission on the relationship between an early SBP drop SBP and the AHF.

          Methods

          We measured the SBP and HR of 245 elderly AHF inpatients (83 ± 6.0 years old, females 51%) at admission and another six times over the next 48 h. We defined ‘WRF’ as a serum creatinine increase ≥0.3 mg/dL by Day 5 post-admission. We calculated the ‘early SBP drop’ as the difference between the admission SBP value and the lowest value during the first 48 h of hospitalization.

          Results

          There were significant differences between the 36 patients with WRF and the 209 patients without WRF: early SBP drop (51 vs. 33 mmHg, p < 0.01) and HR at admission (79 vs. 90 bpm, p < 0.05), respectively. In the multiple logistic regression analysis adjusted for the confounders, higher early SBP drop ( p < 0.04) and lower HR at admission ( p < 0.01) were significantly associated with WRF. No significant association was shown for the interaction term of early SBP drop × HR at admission with WRF.

          Conclusions

          In these elderly AHF patients, exaggerated early SBP drop and lower HR at admission were significant independent predictors of WRF, and these factors were additively associated with WRF.

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          Most cited references21

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          Incidence, predictors at admission, and impact of worsening renal function among patients hospitalized with heart failure.

          The goal of this study was to determine the prevalence of worsening renal function (WRF) among hospitalized heart failure (HF) patients, clinical predictors of WRF, and hospital outcomes associated with WRF. Impaired renal function is associated with poor outcomes among chronic HF patients. Chart reviews were performed on 1,004 consecutive patients admitted for a primary diagnosis of HF from 11 geographically diverse hospitals. Cox regression model analysis was used to identify independent predictors for WRF, defined as a rise in serum creatinine of >0.3 mg/dl (26.5 micromol/l). Bivariate analysis was used to determine associations of development of WRF with outcomes (in-hospital death, in-hospital complications, and length of stay). Among 1,004 HF patients studied, WRF developed in 27%. In the majority of cases, WRF occurred within three days of admission. History of HF or diabetes mellitus, admission creatinine > or =1.5 mg/dl (132.6 micromol/l), and systolic blood pressure >160 mm Hg were independently associated with higher risk of WRF. A point score based on these characteristics and their relative risk ratios predicted those at risk for WRF. Hospital deaths (adjusted risk ratio [ARR] 7.5; 95% confidence intervals [CI] 2.9, 19.3), complications (ARR 2.1; CI 1.5, 3.0), and length of hospitalizations >10 days (ARR 3.2, CI 2.2, 4.9) were greater among patients with WRF. Worsening renal function occurs frequently among hospitalized HF patients and is associated with significantly worse outcomes. Clinical characteristics available at hospital admission can be used to identify patients at increased risk for developing WRF.
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            Worsening renal function and prognosis in heart failure: systematic review and meta-analysis.

            Renal impairment is associated with increased mortality in heart failure (HF). Recently, reports suggest that worsening renal function (WRF) is another predictor of clinical outcome in HF. The present study was designed to establish the proportion of patients with HF that exhibits (WRF) and the associated risk for mortality and hospitalization by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis. A systematic search of MEDLINE revealed 8 studies on the relationship between WRF and mortality in 18,634 patients with HF. The mortality risk associated with WRF was estimated using random-effects meta-analysis. WRF was defined as an increase in serum creatinine > or = 0.2 mg/dL or a corresponding decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate > or = 5 mL x min x 1.73 m2. Subgroup analysis included differentiation between in- and out-hospital patients, degree of WRF and time until end point occurrence. WRF developed in 4,734 (25%) patients and was associated with a higher risk for mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.45-1.82, P < .001) and hospitalization (OR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.04-1.62, P = .022). The severity of WRF was also associated with greater mortality. Patients with impaired renal function at baseline were more prone to progressive renal function loss. WRF predicts substantially higher rates of mortality and hospitalization in patients with HF.
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              Acute heart failure syndromes.

              Heart failure resulting in hospitalization represents a significant and growing health care burden. Heterogeneity characterizes this group in terms of mode of presentation, pathophysiology, and prognosis. The vast majority of patients symptomatically improve during hospitalization; however, their early post-discharge rehospitalization and mortality rates continue to be high. Worsening signs and symptoms, neurohormonal, and renal abnormalities occurring soon after discharge may contribute to these high post-discharge event rates. Currently available assessment modalities combined with recent advances in cardiovascular therapies provide present-day opportunities to improve post-discharge outcomes. Further investigation into pathophysiologic targets and novel approaches to clinical trial design are needed. Improving post-discharge outcomes is the single most important goal in the management of acute heart failure syndromes.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                nagai10m@r6.dion.ne.jp
                Journal
                BMC Cardiovasc Disord
                BMC Cardiovasc Disord
                BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
                BioMed Central (London )
                1471-2261
                10 August 2020
                10 August 2020
                2020
                : 20
                : 366
                Affiliations
                GRID grid.414157.2, ISNI 0000 0004 0377 7325, Department of Cardiology, , Hiroshima City Asa Hospital, ; 2-1-1 Kabeminami, Aaskita-ku, Hiroshima, 731-0293 Japan
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3838-1369
                Article
                1656
                10.1186/s12872-020-01656-1
                7419179
                32778073
                47175718-fec7-4c75-8e3c-f6a1f1540933
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

                History
                : 18 April 2020
                : 4 August 2020
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Cardiovascular Medicine
                early drop in systolic blood pressure,heart rate,worsening renal function,acute heart failure,elderly

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