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      Improving Fishing Pattern Detection from Satellite AIS Using Data Mining and Machine Learning

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          Abstract

          A key challenge in contemporary ecology and conservation is the accurate tracking of the spatial distribution of various human impacts, such as fishing. While coastal fisheries in national waters are closely monitored in some countries, existing maps of fishing effort elsewhere are fraught with uncertainty, especially in remote areas and the High Seas. Better understanding of the behavior of the global fishing fleets is required in order to prioritize and enforce fisheries management and conservation measures worldwide. Satellite-based Automatic Information Systems (S-AIS) are now commonly installed on most ocean-going vessels and have been proposed as a novel tool to explore the movements of fishing fleets in near real time. Here we present approaches to identify fishing activity from S-AIS data for three dominant fishing gear types: trawl, longline and purse seine. Using a large dataset containing worldwide fishing vessel tracks from 2011–2015, we developed three methods to detect and map fishing activities: for trawlers we produced a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) using vessel speed as observation variable. For longliners we have designed a Data Mining (DM) approach using an algorithm inspired from studies on animal movement. For purse seiners a multi-layered filtering strategy based on vessel speed and operation time was implemented. Validation against expert-labeled datasets showed average detection accuracies of 83% for trawler and longliner, and 97% for purse seiner. Our study represents the first comprehensive approach to detect and identify potential fishing behavior for three major gear types operating on a global scale. We hope that this work will enable new efforts to assess the spatial and temporal distribution of global fishing effort and make global fisheries activities transparent to ocean scientists, managers and the public.

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          Diagnostic tests 2: Predictive values.

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            Evaluating Random Forests for Survival Analysis using Prediction Error Curves.

            Prediction error curves are increasingly used to assess and compare predictions in survival analysis. This article surveys the R package pec which provides a set of functions for efficient computation of prediction error curves. The software implements inverse probability of censoring weights to deal with right censored data and several variants of cross-validation to deal with the apparent error problem. In principle, all kinds of prediction models can be assessed, and the package readily supports most traditional regression modeling strategies, like Cox regression or additive hazard regression, as well as state of the art machine learning methods such as random forests, a nonparametric method which provides promising alternatives to traditional strategies in low and high-dimensional settings. We show how the functionality of pec can be extended to yet unsupported prediction models. As an example, we implement support for random forest prediction models based on the R-packages randomSurvivalForest and party. Using data of the Copenhagen Stroke Study we use pec to compare random forests to a Cox regression model derived from stepwise variable selection. Reproducible results on the user level are given for publicly available data from the German breast cancer study group.
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              USING FIRST-PASSAGE TIME IN THE ANALYSIS OF AREA-RESTRICTED SEARCH AND HABITAT SELECTION

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                2016
                1 July 2016
                : 11
                : 7
                : e0158248
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Big Data Analytics Institute, Faculty of Computer Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
                [2 ]Biology Department, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
                [3 ]Institute of Computer Science, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland
                Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, GREECE
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Conceived and designed the experiments: ENS KB SM BW. Performed the experiments: ENS KB. Analyzed the data: ENS KB. Wrote the paper: ENS KB SM BW.

                Article
                PONE-D-16-06059
                10.1371/journal.pone.0158248
                4930218
                27367425
                4b899679-b68f-4198-97ca-589741126b77
                © 2016 de Souza et al

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 11 February 2016
                : 12 June 2016
                Page count
                Figures: 9, Tables: 3, Pages: 20
                Funding
                This work was partly funded by the NSERC CREATE Transatlantic Ocean System Science and Technology (TOSST) and the National Science and Engineering Council of Canada. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
                Categories
                Research Article
                Physical sciences
                Mathematics
                Probability theory
                Markov models
                Hidden Markov models
                Physical Sciences
                Mathematics
                Applied Mathematics
                Algorithms
                Research and Analysis Methods
                Simulation and Modeling
                Algorithms
                Research and analysis methods
                Mathematical and statistical techniques
                Statistical methods
                Monte Carlo method
                Physical sciences
                Mathematics
                Statistics (mathematics)
                Statistical methods
                Monte Carlo method
                Physical Sciences
                Mathematics
                Applied Mathematics
                Algorithms
                Machine Learning Algorithms
                Research and Analysis Methods
                Simulation and Modeling
                Algorithms
                Machine Learning Algorithms
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Neuroscience
                Cognitive Science
                Artificial Intelligence
                Machine Learning
                Machine Learning Algorithms
                Computer and Information Sciences
                Artificial Intelligence
                Machine Learning
                Machine Learning Algorithms
                Computer and Information Sciences
                Information Technology
                Data Mining
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Agriculture
                Fisheries
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Behavior
                Animal Behavior
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Zoology
                Animal Behavior
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Ecology
                Marine Ecology
                Ecology and Environmental Sciences
                Ecology
                Marine Ecology
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Marine Biology
                Marine Ecology
                Earth Sciences
                Marine and Aquatic Sciences
                Marine Biology
                Marine Ecology
                Custom metadata
                Raw S-AIS data can be obtained commercially from provider exactEarth through their website ( http://www.exactearth.com/products/exactais).

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                Uncategorized

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