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      The continuing 2019-nCoV epidemic threat of novel coronaviruses to global health — The latest 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan, China

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          Abstract

          The city of Wuhan in China is the focus of global attention due to an outbreak of a febrile respiratory illness due to a coronavirus 2019-nCoV. In December 2019, there was an outbreak of pneumonia of unknown cause in Wuhan, Hubei province in China, with an epidemiological link to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market where there was also sale of live animals. Notification of the WHO on 31 Dec 2019 by the Chinese Health Authorities has prompted health authorities in Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan to step up border surveillance, and generated concern and fears that it could mark the emergence of a novel and serious threat to public health (WHO, 2020a, Parr, 2020). The Chinese health authorities have taken prompt public health measures including intensive surveillance, epidemiological investigations, and closure of the market on 1 Jan 2020. SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV, avian influenza, influenza and other common respiratory viruses were ruled out. The Chinese scientists were able to isolate a 2019-nCoV from a patient within a short time on 7 Jan 2020 and perform genome sequencing of the 2019-nCoV. The genetic sequence of the 2019-nCoV has become available to the WHO on 12 Jan 2020 and this has facilitated the laboratories in different countries to produce specific diagnostic PCR tests for detecting the novel infection (WHO, 2020b). The 2019-nCoV is a β CoV of group 2B with at least 70% similarity in genetic sequence to SARS-CoV and has been named 2019-nCoV by the WHO. SARS is a zoonosis caused by SARS-CoV, which first emerged in China in 2002 before spreading to 29 countries/regions in 2003 through a travel-related global outbreak with 8,098 cases with a case fatality rate of 9.6%. Nosocomial transmission of SARS-CoV was common while the primary reservoir was putatively bats, although unproven as the actual source and the intermediary source was civet cats in the wet markets in Guangdong (Hui and Zumla, 2019). MERS is a novel lethal zoonotic disease of humans endemic to the Middle East, caused by MERS-CoV. Humans are thought to acquire MERS-CoV infection though contact with camels or camel products with a case fatality rate close to 35% while nosocomial transmission is also a hallmark (Azhar et al., 2019). The recent outbreak of clusters of viral pneumonia due to a 2019-nCoV in the Wuhan market poses significant threats to international health and may be related to sale of bush meat derived from wild or captive sources at the seafood market. As of 10 Jan 2020, 41 patients have been diagnosed to have infection by the 2019-nCoV animals. The onset of illness of the 41 cases ranges from 8 December 2019 to 2 January 2020. Symptoms include fever (>90% cases), malaise, dry cough (80%), shortness of breath (20%) and respiratory distress (15%). The vital signs were stable in most of the cases while leucopenia and lymphopenia were common. Among the 41 cases, six patients have been discharged, seven patients are in critical care and one died, while the remaining patients are in stable condition. The fatal case involved a 61 year-old man with an abdominal tumour and cirrhosis who was admitted to a hospital due to respiratory failure and severe pneumonia. The diagnoses included severe pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, septic shock and multi-organ failure. The 2019-nCoV infection in Wuhan appears clinically milder than SARS or MERS overall in terms of severity, case fatality rate and transmissibility, which increases the risk of cases remaining undetected. There is currently no clear evidence of human to human transmission. At present, 739 close contacts including 419 healthcare workers are being quarantined and monitored for any development of symptoms (WHO, 2020b, Center for Health Protection and HKSAR, 2020). No new cases have been detected in Wuhan since 3 January 2020. However the first case outside China was reported on 13th January 2020 in a Chinese tourist in Thailand with no epidemiological linkage to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market. The Chinese Health Authorities have carried out very appropriate and prompt response measures including active case finding, and retrospective investigations of the current cluster of patients which have been completed; The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market has been temporarily closed to carry out investigation, environmental sanitation and disinfection; Public risk communication activities have been carried out to improve public awareness and adoption of self-protection measures. Technical guidance on novel coronavirus has been developed and will continue to be updated as additional information becomes available. However, many questions about the new coronavirus remain. While it appears to be transmitted to humans via animals, the specific animals and other reservoirs need to be identified, the transmission route, the incubation period and characteristics of the susceptible population and survival rates. At present, there is however very limited clinical information of the 2019-nCoV infection and data are missing in regard to the age range, animal source of the virus, incubation period, epidemic curve, viral kinetics, transmission route, pathogenesis, autopsy findings and any treatment response to antivirals among the severe cases. Once there is any clue to the source of animals being responsible for this outbreak, global public health authorities should examine the trading route and source of movement of animals or products taken from the wild or captive conditions from other parts to Wuhan and consider appropriate trading restrictions or other control measures to limit. The rapid identification and containment of a novel coronavirus virus in a short period of time is a re-assuring and a commendable achievement by China’s public health authorities and reflects the increasing global capacity to detect, identify, define and contain new outbreaks. The latest analysis show that the Wuhan CoV cluster with the SARS CoV.10 (Novel coronavirus - China (01): (HU) WHO, phylogenetic tree Archive Number: 20200112.6885385). This outbreak brings back memories of the novel coronavirus outbreak in China, the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in China in 2003, caused by a novel SARS-CoV-coronavirus (World Health Organization, 2019a). SARS-CoV rapidly spread from southern China in 2003 and infected more than 3000 people, killing 774 by 2004, and then disappeared – never to be seen again. However, The Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) (World Health Organization, 2019b), a lethal zoonotic pathogen that was first identified in humans in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) in 2012 continues to emerge and re-emerge through intermittent sporadic cases, community clusters and nosocomial outbreaks. Between 2012 and December 2019, a total of 2465 laboratory-confirmed cases of MERS-CoV infection, including 850 deaths (34.4% mortality) were reported from 27 countries to WHO, the majority of which were reported by KSA (2073 cases, 772 deaths. Whilst several important aspects of MERS-CoV epidemiology, virology, mode of transmission, pathogenesis, diagnosis, clinical features, have been defined, there remain many unanswered questions, including source, transmission and epidemic potential. The Wuhan outbreak is a stark reminder of the continuing threat of zoonotic diseases to global health security. More significant and better targeted investments are required for a more concerted and collaborative global effort, learning from experiences from all geographical regions, through a ‘ONE-HUMAN-ENIVRONMENTAL-ANIMAL-HEALTH’ global consortium to reduce the global threat of zoonotic diseases (Zumla et al., 2016). Sharing experience and learning from all geographical regions and across disciplines will be key to sustaining and further developing the progress being made. Author declarations All authors have a specialist interest in emerging and re-emerging pathogens. FN, RK, OD, GI, TDMc, CD and AZ are members of the Pan-African Network on Emerging and Re-emerging Infections (PANDORA-ID-NET) funded by the European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership the EU Horizon 2020 Framework Programme for Research and Innovation. AZ is a National Institutes of Health Research senior investigator. All authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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          Most cited references 3

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          The Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS)

          The Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) is a novel lethal zoonotic disease of humans caused by the MERS coronavirus (MERS-CoV). Although MERS is endemic to the Middle East, travelers have exported MERS-CoV on return to their home countries. Clinical manifestations range from mild to severe acute respiratory disease and death. The elderly, immunocompromised, and those with chronic comorbid liver, lung, and hepatic conditions have a high mortality rate. There is no specific treatment. Person-to-person spread causes hospital and household outbreaks, and thus improved compliance with internationally recommended infection control protocols and rapid implementation of infection control measures are required.
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            Taking forward a ‘One Health’ approach for turning the tide against the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus and other zoonotic pathogens with epidemic potential

            Highlights • The appearance, disappearance, and re-emergence of pathogens of humans with epidemic potential and high mortality rates have threatened global health security for centuries. • Global public health authorities should have been better prepared for the recent Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic in West Africa. • The current Zika virus outbreak is diverting the attention of public authorities and governments from other important infectious diseases that continue to threaten global public health security; one such disease lurking in the background is the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). • The emergence of the MERS coronavirus (MERS-CoV) in 2012 was the second time (after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV)) that a new coronavirus, highly pathogenic for humans, emerged in the 21st century. Whilst most MERS cases have been reported from the Middle East, MERS cases have been reported from 27 countries in all continents. • MERS-CoV has been found in camel populations of Eastern Africa and the Middle East, and with millions of pilgrims visiting Saudi Arabia and returning home every year, the movement of MERS-CoV to new locations presents a real threat to global health security. • With animal, human, and environmental factors playing a critical role in its evolution, MERS-CoV represents a classical zoonosis. • A serious and more collaborative and coordinated MERS-CoV response plan is required to better define MERS-CoV epidemiology, transmission dynamics, molecular evolution, optimal treatment and prevention measures, and development of vaccines for humans and camels. • The ‘One Health’ concept focuses on the relationship and interconnectedness between humans, animals, and the environment, and recognizes that the health and wellbeing of humans is intimately connected to the health of animals and their environment (and vice versa). • A ‘One Health’ approach is ideally suited to the MERS-CoV situation and requires close cooperation between those who provide human health, animal health, and promote environmental and ecosystems health. • Critical to the establishment of a ‘One Health’ platform is the creation of a multidisciplinary team with a range of expertise to learn more about zoonotic spread between animals, humans, and the environment, and to monitor, respond to, and prevent major outbreaks conductive sociopolitical and economic framework for action. • The persistence of MERS-CoV 4 years since its first discovery has created major opportunities for Saudi Arabia or one of the other Middle Eastern countries to take leadership of the ‘One Health’ approach to tackling new emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases with epidemic potential in their region. • Parallel initiatives across Africa and the tropics could be harmonized to create regional networks that can serve as a repository for expert ‘One Health’ advice on safe and sustainable agricultural systems, especially for livestock, in support of human development.
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              Pneumonia in China: lack of information raises concerns among Hong Kong health workers

               J Parr,  J. PARR (2020)
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Int J Infect Dis
                Int. J. Infect. Dis
                International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases.
                1201-9712
                1878-3511
                14 January 2020
                February 2020
                14 January 2020
                : 91
                : 264-266
                Affiliations
                Department of Medicine & Therapeutics, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
                Special Infectious Agents Unit, King Fahd Medical Research Center and, Department of Medical Laboratory Technology, Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
                Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
                Fondation Congolaise pour la Recherche Médicale, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo
                The Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, UK
                Chatham House Centre on Global Health Security, Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, UK
                Lazzaro Spallanzani, National Institute for Infectious Diseases - IRCCS, Rome, Italy
                Center for Clinical Microbiology, Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, United Kingdom
                [a ]Research CentreKing Saud Medical City, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
                [b ]College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
                [c ]Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
                [a ]Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany
                [b ]Berlin Institute of Health, Institute of Virology, Berlin, Germany
                [c ]German Centre for Infection Research, associated partner Charité, Berlin, Germany
                Center for Clinical Microbiology, Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, and NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, UCL Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
                [a ]Directorate General for Disease Surveillance and Control, Ministry of Health, Muscat, Oman
                [b ]Institute for Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Science, University of Aarhus, Aarhus, Denmark
                Author notes
                [* ]Corresponding author. dschui@ 123456cuhk.edu.hk
                Article
                S1201-9712(20)30011-4
                10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.009
                7128332
                31953166
                © 2020 Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases.

                Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

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                Infectious disease & Microbiology

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