Global patterns and trends in stomach cancer incidence: Age, period and birth cohort analysis : Global variations in stomach cancer incidence

We previously estimated that 660,000 cases of cancer in the year 2008 were attributable to the bacterium Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori), corresponding to 5.2% of the 12.7 million total cancer cases that occurred worldwide. In recent years, evidence has accumulated that immunoblot (western blot) is more sensitive for detection of anti-H. pylori antibodies than ELISA, the detection method used in our previous analysis. The purpose of this short report is to update the attributable fraction (AF) estimate for H. pylori after briefly reviewing new evidence, and to reassess the global burden of cancer attributable to H. pylori. We therefore reviewed the literature for studies comparing the risk of developing non-cardia gastric cancer (NCGC) in cases and controls, using both ELISA and multiple antigen immunoblot for detection of H. pylori. The results from prospective studies were combined, and the new pooled estimates were applied to the calculation of the AF for H. pylori in NCGC, then to the burden of infection-related cancers worldwide. Using the immunoblot-based data, the worldwide AF for H. pylori in NCGC increased from 74.7% to 89.0%. This implies approximately 120,000 additional cases of NCGC attributable to H. pylori infection for a total of around 780,000 cases (6.2% instead of 5.2% of all cancers). These updated estimates reinforce the role of H. pylori as a major cause of cancer.

We conducted a systematic review of studies addressing the relation between cigarette smoking and gastric cancer to estimate the magnitude of the association for different levels of exposure and cancer locations. Published cohort, case-cohort, and nested case-control studies were identified through PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science searches, from inception to July 2007. Relative risk (RR) estimates referring to the comparison of two categories of exposure (e.g., current smokers vs. never smokers) were combined using a random effects model. Generalized least squares regression was used for trend estimation. Heterogeneity was quantified using the I (2) statistic. Forty-two articles were considered for the systematic review. Comparing current smokers with never smokers: the summary RR estimates were 1.62 in males (95% CI: 1.50-1.75; I (2) = 46.0%; 18 studies) and 1.20 in females (95% CI: 1.01-1.43; I (2) = 49.8%; nine studies); the RR increased from 1.3 for the lowest consumptions to 1.7 for the smoking of approximately 30 cigarettes per day in the trend estimation analysis; smoking was significantly associated with both cardia (RR = 1.87; 95% CI: 1.31-2.67; I (2) = 73.2%; nine studies) and non-cardia (RR = 1.60; 95% CI: 1.41-1.80; I (2) = 18.9%; nine studies) cancers. Our study provides solid evidence to classify smoking as the most important behavioral risk factor for gastric cancer.

The relationship between excess body weight and gastric cancer risk has not been well studied to date. We therefore carried out a systematic review and meta-analysis of published cohort studies to evaluate the association between excess body weight and gastric cancer risk. An electronic search of the MEDLINE, PubMed, EMBASE and Academic Search Premier (EBSCO) databases, which contain articles published from 1950 onwards, was conducted in order to select studies for this meta-analysis. Ten studies with a total number of 9492 gastric cancer cases and a studied population of 3,097,794 were identified. Overall, excess body weight [body mass index (BMI)25] was associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer [odds ratio (OR)=1.22; 95% confidence intervals (CIs)=1.06-1.41]. Specifically, a stratified analysis showed that excess body weight was associated with an increased risk of cardia gastric cancer [overweight and obese (BMI 25), OR=1.55, 95% CIs=1.31-1.84] and gastric cancer among non-Asians (overweight and obese, OR=1.24, 95% CIs=1.14-1.36); however, the stratified analysis also showed that there was no statistically significant link between excess body weight and gastric cancer in the following subgroups: males (overweight and obese, OR=1.22, 95% CIs=0.96-1.55), females (overweight and obese, OR=1.13, 95% CIs=0.65-1.94), non-cardia gastric cancer (overweight and obese, OR=1.18, 95% CIs=0.96-1.45) and Asians (overweight and obese, OR=1.17, 95% CIs=0.88-1.56). The combined results of this meta-analysis, however, do indicate that overweight and obesity are associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer. The strength of the association also increases with increasing BMI.