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      Peer Review of “COVID-19 Outcomes and Genomic Characterization of SARS-CoV-2 Isolated From Veterans in New England States: Retrospective Analysis”

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      , MA, MS 1 ,
      JMIRx Med
      JMIR Publications
      infectious disease, COVID-19, epidemiology, veteran, outcome, sequencing, genetics, virus, United States, impact, testing, severity, mortality, cohort

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          Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study

          Summary Background Since December, 2019, Wuhan, China, has experienced an outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19 have been reported but risk factors for mortality and a detailed clinical course of illness, including viral shedding, have not been well described. Methods In this retrospective, multicentre cohort study, we included all adult inpatients (≥18 years old) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from Jinyintan Hospital and Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital (Wuhan, China) who had been discharged or had died by Jan 31, 2020. Demographic, clinical, treatment, and laboratory data, including serial samples for viral RNA detection, were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between survivors and non-survivors. We used univariable and multivariable logistic regression methods to explore the risk factors associated with in-hospital death. Findings 191 patients (135 from Jinyintan Hospital and 56 from Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital) were included in this study, of whom 137 were discharged and 54 died in hospital. 91 (48%) patients had a comorbidity, with hypertension being the most common (58 [30%] patients), followed by diabetes (36 [19%] patients) and coronary heart disease (15 [8%] patients). Multivariable regression showed increasing odds of in-hospital death associated with older age (odds ratio 1·10, 95% CI 1·03–1·17, per year increase; p=0·0043), higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (5·65, 2·61–12·23; p<0·0001), and d-dimer greater than 1 μg/mL (18·42, 2·64–128·55; p=0·0033) on admission. Median duration of viral shedding was 20·0 days (IQR 17·0–24·0) in survivors, but SARS-CoV-2 was detectable until death in non-survivors. The longest observed duration of viral shedding in survivors was 37 days. Interpretation The potential risk factors of older age, high SOFA score, and d-dimer greater than 1 μg/mL could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage. Prolonged viral shedding provides the rationale for a strategy of isolation of infected patients and optimal antiviral interventions in the future. Funding Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences; National Science Grant for Distinguished Young Scholars; National Key Research and Development Program of China; The Beijing Science and Technology Project; and Major Projects of National Science and Technology on New Drug Creation and Development.
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            Disparities In Outcomes Among COVID-19 Patients In A Large Health Care System In California: Study examines disparities in access and outcomes for COVID-19 patients who are members of racial and ethnic minorities and socioeconomically disadvantaged groups.

            As the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic spreads throughout the United States, evidence is mounting that racial and ethnic minorities and socioeconomically disadvantaged groups are bearing a disproportionate burden of illness and death. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of COVID-19 patients at Sutter Health, a large integrated health system in northern California, to measure potential disparities. We used Sutter's integrated electronic health record to identify adults with suspected and confirmed COVID-19, and we used multivariable logistic regression to assess risk of hospitalization, adjusting for known risk factors, such as race/ethnicity, sex, age, health, and socioeconomic variables. We analyzed 1,052 confirmed cases of COVID-19 from the period January 1-April 8, 2020. Among our findings, we observed that compared with non-Hispanic white patients, non-Hispanic African American patients had 2.7 times the odds of hospitalization, after adjustment for age, sex, comorbidities, and income. We explore possible explanations for this, including societal factors that either result in barriers to timely access to care or create circumstances in which patients view delaying care as the most sensible option. Our study provides real-world evidence of racial and ethnic disparities in the presentation of COVID-19.
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              Characteristics and Clinical Outcomes of Adult Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19 — Georgia, March 2020

              SARS-CoV-2, the novel coronavirus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), was first detected in the United States during January 2020 ( 1 ). Since then, >980,000 cases have been reported in the United States, including >55,000 associated deaths as of April 28, 2020 ( 2 ). Detailed data on demographic characteristics, underlying medical conditions, and clinical outcomes for persons hospitalized with COVID-19 are needed to inform prevention strategies and community-specific intervention messages. For this report, CDC, the Georgia Department of Public Health, and eight Georgia hospitals (seven in metropolitan Atlanta and one in southern Georgia) summarized medical record–abstracted data for hospitalized adult patients with laboratory-confirmed* COVID-19 who were admitted during March 2020. Among 305 hospitalized patients with COVID-19, 61.6% were aged 0.99 Chronic kidney disease, without dialysis 32 (10.5) 2 (2.2) 12 (12.1) 18 (15.4) 0.003 24 (9.7) 8 (16.0) 0.21 Cancer 12 (3.9) 3 (3.4) 3 (3.0) 6 (5.1) 0.76 10 (4.0) 2 (4.0) >0.99 Rheumatologic or autoimmune condition 8 (2.6) 1 (1.1) 5 (5.1) 2 (1.7) 0.22 6 (2.4) 2 (4.0) 0.63 Abbreviations: BMI = body mass index; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19 = coronavirus disease 2019; IQR = interquartile range; N/A = not applicable. * Black was defined as non-Hispanic black race/ethnicity; other includes all other racial/ethnic groups. † P-values were calculated using Fisher’s exact tests for proportions. § Eight patients were excluded from race comparisons because race and ethnicity data were missing. ¶ Age ≥65 years was considered a high-risk condition. ** BMI data were missing for 13 patients. §§ Documented conditions included solid organ transplant (eight), human immunodeficiency virus infection (eight), cancer with chemotherapy receipt within the previous year (three), stem cell transplant (three), and leukemia (two); 16 patients were taking immunosuppressive medications. Among the 305 hospitalized patients, the median duration of hospitalization was 8.5 days and duration increased with age (Table 2). Intensive care unit (ICU) admission occurred among 119 (39.0%) patients and increased significantly with age group: among patients aged ≥65 years, 53.8% were admitted to an ICU (p 0.99 Vasopressor support 84 (27.5) 13 (14.6) 21 (21.2) 50 (42.7) 0.99 Outcome Discharged alive 233 (76.4) 85 (95.5) 83 (83.8) 65 (55.6) <0.001 192 (77.7) 34 (68.0) 0.15 Still hospitalized 24 (7.9) 1 (1.1) 7 (7.1) 16 (13.7) 0.002 18 (7.3) 6 (12.0) 0.26 Died** 48 (17.1) 3 (3.4) 9 (9.8) 36 (35.6) <0.001 37 (16.2) 10 (22.7) 0.28 Invasive mechanical ventilation or death** 86 (30.6) 16 (18.2) 22 (23.9) 48 (47.5) <0.001 69 (30.1) 16 (36.4) 0.48 Abbreviations: COVID-19 = coronavirus disease 2019; ICU = intensive care unit; IQR = interquartile range. * Black was defined as non-Hispanic black race/ethnicity; other includes all other racial/ethnic groups. † Eight patients were excluded from race comparisons because race and ethnicity data were missing. § P-values were calculated using Fisher’s exact tests for proportions and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test or the Kruskal-Wallis H test for medians. ¶ Continuous variables are presented as median (IQR). ** Among 281 total patients who were no longer hospitalized, 88 (31.3%) were aged 18–49 years, 92 (32.7%) were aged 50–64 years, and 101 (35.9%) were aged ≥65 years; among 273 patients with available race/ethnicity data who were no longer hospitalized, 229 (83.9%) were non-Hispanic black, and 44 (16.1) were of other race/ethnicity. Among 281 (92.1%) patients who were no longer hospitalized at the time of data abstraction, 48 (17.1%) died. Case fatality among patients aged 18–49 years, 50–64 years, and ≥65 years was 3.4%, 9.8%, and 35.6%, respectively (p<0.001). Black patients were not more likely than were nonblack patients to receive IMV, to die, or to experience the composite outcome of IMV or death (Figure 2). Among patients without high-risk conditions, 22.5% were admitted to the ICU, 15.0% received IMV, and 5.1% died while in the hospital. As of April 24, 2020, 24 (7.9%) patients remained hospitalized, including 14 (58.3%) in the ICU and nine (37.5%) on IMV. Overall, the estimated percentage of deaths among patients who received ICU care ranged from 37.0%, assuming all remaining ICU patients survived, to 48.7%, assuming all remaining ICU patients died. In an adjusted time-to-event analysis of IMV or death as a composite outcome, no significant difference was found between black and nonblack patients (HR = 0.63; 95% CI = 0.35–1.13). Discussion This report characterizing a cohort of hospitalized adults with COVID-19 in Georgia (primarily metropolitan Atlanta) found that most patients in the cohort were black, and black patients had a similar probability of receiving IMV or dying during hospitalization compared with nonblack patients. Although a larger proportion of older patients had worse outcomes (IMV or death), a considerable proportion of patients aged 18–64 years who lacked high-risk conditions received ICU-level care and died (23% and 5%, respectively). Estimated case fatality among patients who received ICU care was high (37%–49%) but comparable with that observed in a smaller case series of COVID-19 patients in the state of Washington ( 5 ). Among hospitalized patients, 26% lacked high-risk factors for severe COVID-19, and few patients (7%) lived in institutional settings before admission, suggesting that SARS-CoV-2 infection can cause significant morbidity in relatively young persons without severe underlying medical conditions. Community mitigation recommendations (e.g., social distancing) should be widely instituted, not only to protect older adults and those with underlying medical conditions, but also to prevent the spread of SARS-CoV-2 among persons in the general population who might not consider themselves to be at risk for severe illness ( 6 ). The proportion of hospitalized patients who were black was higher than expected based on overall hospitalizations. At four affiliated hospitals, which accounted for 67% of patients in the cohort, 80% of cohort patients were black compared with 47% of hospitalized patients overall during March 2020 (D. Murphy, personal communication, April 7, 2020). Similarly, COVID-NET, which conducts population-based surveillance for laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated hospitalizations across 14 sites nationwide, ¶ found that black persons were disproportionately represented among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 ( 7 ). It is important to continue ongoing efforts to understand why black persons are disproportionately hospitalized for COVID-19, including the role of social and economic factors (including occupational exposures) in SARS-CoV-2 acquisition risk. It is critical that public health officials ensure that prevention activities prioritize communities and racial groups most affected by COVID-19. The findings in this report are subject to at least three limitations. First, the data are from a convenience sample of hospitalized adult patients in metropolitan Atlanta and southern Georgia, and data collection for this assessment was limited by the intention to conduct the investigation quickly. These patients do not necessarily represent all hospitalized patients with COVID-19 at those hospitals, or within Georgia. Second, patients were not tracked after discharge in this investigation. Finally, race and ethnicity were abstracted from medical records, and methods for recording these categories might have differed across hospitals, which could result in misclassification. This report provides valuable clinical data on a large cohort of hospitalized patients. Although frequency of IMV and fatality did not differ by race, black patients were disproportionately represented among hospitalized patients, reflecting greater severity of COVID-19 among this population. Public officials should consider racial differences among patients affected by COVID-19 when planning prevention activities. Approximately one quarter of patients had no high-risk conditions, and 5% of these patients died, suggesting that all adults, regardless of underlying conditions or age, are at risk for serious COVID-19–associated illness. Summary What is already known about this topic? Older adults and persons with underlying medical conditions are at higher risk for severe COVID-19. Non-Hispanic black patients are overrepresented among hospitalized U.S. COVID-19 patients. What is added by this report? In a cohort of 305 hospitalized adults with COVID-19 in Georgia (primarily metropolitan Atlanta), black patients were overrepresented, and their clinical outcomes were similar to those of nonblack patients. One in four hospitalized patients had no recognized risk factors for severe COVID-19. What are the implications for public health practice? Prevention activities should prioritize communities and racial groups most affected by severe COVID-19. Increased awareness of the risk for serious illness among all adults, regardless of underlying medical conditions or age, is needed.

                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                JMIRx Med
                JMIRx Med
                JMIRxMed
                JMIRx Med
                JMIR Publications (Toronto, Canada )
                2563-6316
                Oct-Dec 2021
                17 December 2021
                17 December 2021
                : 2
                : 4
                : e35517
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Center for Reproductive Health Sciences Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology Washington University School of Medicine St.Louis, MO United States
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2055-7618
                Article
                v2i4e35517
                10.2196/35517
                10414470
                53813ea7-0265-4ef3-aeed-8c786dd8208d
                ©Lei Guo. Originally published in JMIRx Med (https://med.jmirx.org), 17.12.2021.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in JMIRx Med, is properly cited. The complete bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on https://med.jmirx.org/, as well as this copyright and license information must be included.

                History
                : 7 December 2021
                : 7 December 2021
                Categories
                Peer-Review Report
                Peer-Review Report

                infectious disease,covid-19,epidemiology,veteran,outcome,sequencing,genetics,virus,united states,impact,testing,severity,mortality,cohort

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