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      Body-Mass Index and Mortality in a Prospective Cohort of U.S. Adults

      , , , ,
      New England Journal of Medicine
      Massachusetts Medical Society

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          Abstract

          Body-mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) is known to be associated with overall mortality. We investigated the effects of age, race, sex, smoking status, and history of disease on the relation between body-mass index and mortality. In a prospective study of more than 1 million adults in the United States (457,785 men and 588,369 women), 201,622 deaths occurred during 14 years of follow-up. We examined the relation between body-mass index and the risk of death from all causes in four subgroups categorized according to smoking status and history of disease. In healthy people who had never smoked, we further examined whether the relation varied according to race, cause of death, or age. The relative risk was used to assess the relation between mortality and body-mass index. The association between body-mass index and the risk of death was substantially modified by smoking status and the presence of disease. In healthy people who had never smoked, the nadir of the curve for body-mass index and mortality was found at a body-mass index of 23.5 to 24.9 in men and 22.0 to 23.4 in women. Among subjects with the highest body-mass indexes, white men and women had a relative risk of death of 2.58 and 2.00, respectively, as compared with those with a body-mass index of 23.5 to 24.9. Black men and women with the highest body-mass indexes had much lower risks of death (1.35 and 1.21), which did not differ significantly from 1.00. A high body-mass index was most predictive of death from cardiovascular disease, especially in men (relative risk, 2.90; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.37 to 3.56). Heavier men and women in all age groups had an increased risk of death. The risk of death from all causes, cardiovascular disease, cancer, or other diseases increases throughout the range of moderate and severe overweight for both men and women in all age groups. The risk associated with a high body-mass index is greater for whites than for blacks.

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          Most cited references30

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          Indices of relative weight and obesity

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            Body fat distribution and 5-year risk of death in older women.

            To test the hypothesis that both body mass index (expressed as the ratio of weight in kilograms per height in meters squared) and the ratio of waist circumference to hip circumference are positively associated with mortality risk in older women. Prospective cohort study with a 5-year follow-up period. General community. Random sample of 41,837 Iowa women aged 55 to 69 years. Total mortality (1504 deaths). Body mass index, an index of relative weight, was associated with mortality in a J-shaped fashion: rates were elevated in the leanest as well as in the most obese women. In contrast, waist/hip circumference ratio was strongly and positively associated with mortality in a dose-response manner. Adjusted for age, body mass index, smoking, education level, marital status, estrogen use, and alcohol use, a 0.15-unit increase in waist/hip circumference ratio (eg, a 15-cm [6-in] increase in waist measurement in a woman with 100-cm [40-in] hips) was associated with a 60% greater relative risk of death. The observed associations were not explained to any great degree by bias from weight loss prior to baseline or higher early deaths among lean participants. Waist/hip circumference ratio is a better marker than body mass index of risk of death in older women. Waist/hip circumference ratio should be measured as part of routine surveillance and risk monitoring in medical practice.
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              Body weight and mortality among women.

              The relation between body weight and overall mortality remains controversial despite considerable investigation. We examined the association between body-mass index (defined as the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) and both overall mortality and mortality from specific causes in a cohort of 115,195 U.S. women enrolled in the prospective Nurses' Health Study. These women were 30 to 55 years of age and free of known cardiovascular disease and cancer in 1976. During 16 years of follow-up, we documented 4726 deaths, of which 881 were from cardiovascular disease, 2586 from cancer, and 1259 from other causes. In analyses adjusted only for age, we observed a J-shaped relation between body-mass index and overall mortality. When women who had never smoked were examined separately, no increase in risk was observed among the leaner women, and a more direct relation between weight and mortality emerged (P for trend or = 32.0, relative risk = 2.2 (P for trend < 0.001). Among women with a body-mass index of 32.0 or higher who had never smoked, the relative risk of death from cardiovascular disease was 4.1 (95 percent confidence interval, 2.1 to 7.7), and that of death from cancer was 2.1 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.4 to 3.2), as compared with the risk among women with a body-mass index below 19.0. A weight gain of 10 kg (22 lb) or more since the age of 18 was associated with increased mortality in middle adulthood. Body weight and mortality from all causes were directly related among these middle-aged women. Lean women did not have excess mortality. The lowest mortality rate was observed among women who weighed at least 15 percent less than the U.S. average for women of similar age and among those whose weight had been stable since early adulthood.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                New England Journal of Medicine
                N Engl J Med
                Massachusetts Medical Society
                0028-4793
                1533-4406
                October 07 1999
                October 07 1999
                : 341
                : 15
                : 1097-1105
                Article
                10.1056/NEJM199910073411501
                10511607
                54755998-bf5f-42b5-b879-40f33ea6a0d9
                © 1999
                History

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