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      Peer Review of “Risk Factors of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Global Epidemiological Study”

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      Anonymous
      JMIRx Med
      JMIR Publications

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          Risk Factors of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Global Epidemiological Study

          Background Since the first recognition of the pandemic characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and before substantial case fatality data were available worldwide, public health agencies warned the public about the increased dangers of SARS-CoV-2 to persons with a variety of underlying physical conditions, many of which are more commonly found in persons over 50 years of age or in certain ethnic groups. Objective To investigate the statistical rather than the physiological basis in support of the abovementioned warnings, this study examines correlations globally on a nation-by-nation basis between the statistical data concerning COVID-19 fatalities and the statistics of potential comorbidities that may influence the severity of infection. Methods This study considers the statistics describing the populations of the 99 countries with the greatest numbers of SARS-CoV-2 infections at the time of the data cutoff. As national compilations of direct measures of immune system strength are not publicly available, the frequency of fatalities in those countries due to a variety of serious diseases is used as a proxy for the susceptibility of those populations to those same diseases. Results The analysis produces plots and calculations of correlations and cross-correlations of COVID-19 case fatality rates and the risks of other potential cofactors. It exposes some reasons that may underlie the degree to which advanced age increases the risk of mortality of infection with SARS-CoV-2. In contrast with the strong influences of comorbidities on the seriousness of consequences of influenzas and their associated pneumonias, the correlations of the same set of risk factors with SARS-CoV-2 infection are considerably weaker. The general characteristics of the observed correlations strengthened through 3 cycles of analysis, starting in September 2020. The strongest correlations were with chronic kidney disease and coronary disease (approximately 0.28 and 0.20, respectively). Conclusions This study confirms early clinical observations that infection with SARS-CoV-2 presents an increased risk to persons over the age of 65 years. It does not support the suggestions presented by government agencies early in the pandemic that the risks are much greater for persons with certain common potential comorbidities.

            Author and article information

            Journal
            JMIRx Med
            JMIRx Med
            JMIRxMed
            JMIRx Med
            JMIR Publications (Toronto, Canada )
            2563-6316
            Jul-Sep 2021
            26 August 2021
            26 August 2021
            : 2
            : 3
            : e31926
            Article
            v2i3e31926
            10.2196/31926
            10414390
            59168249-d0e6-441b-9114-3bf4714e33c7
            © Anonymous. Originally published in JMIRx Med (https://med.jmirx.org), 26.08.2021.

            This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in JMIRx Med, is properly cited. The complete bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on https://med.jmirx.org/, as well as this copyright and license information must be included.

            History
            : 9 July 2021
            : 9 July 2021
            Categories
            Peer-Review Report
            Peer-Review Report

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