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      Spatial Patterns of Precipitation Change in CMIP5: Why the Rich Do Not Get Richer in the Tropics

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      Journal: Journal of Climate
      Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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          Global Warming and the Weakening of the Tropical Circulation

          Gabriel A Vecchi, Brian J Soden (2007)
          Article 0 comments Cited 594 times – based on 0 reviews     Review now
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            Global Warming Pattern Formation: Sea Surface Temperature and Rainfall*

            Shang-Ping Xie, Clara Deser, Gabriel A Vecchi … (2010)
            Article 0 comments Cited 466 times – based on 0 reviews     Review now
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              Weakening of tropical Pacific atmospheric circulation due to anthropogenic forcing.

              Gabriel A Vecchi, Brian J Soden, Andrew Wittenberg … (2006)
              Since the mid-nineteenth century the Earth's surface has warmed, and models indicate that human activities have caused part of the warming by altering the radiative balance of the atmosphere. Simple theories suggest that global warming will reduce the strength of the mean tropical atmospheric circulation. An important aspect of this tropical circulation is a large-scale zonal (east-west) overturning of air across the equatorial Pacific Ocean--driven by convection to the west and subsidence to the east--known as the Walker circulation. Here we explore changes in tropical Pacific circulation since the mid-nineteenth century using observations and a suite of global climate model experiments. Observed Indo-Pacific sea level pressure reveals a weakening of the Walker circulation. The size of this trend is consistent with theoretical predictions, is accurately reproduced by climate model simulations and, within the climate models, is largely due to anthropogenic forcing. The climate model indicates that the weakened surface winds have altered the thermal structure and circulation of the tropical Pacific Ocean. These results support model projections of further weakening of tropical atmospheric circulation during the twenty-first century.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Title: Journal of Climate
                Abbreviated Title: J. Climate
                Publisher: American Meteorological Society
                ISSN (Print): 0894-8755
                ISSN (Electronic): 1520-0442
                Publication date Created: June 2013
                Publication date (Print): June 2013
                Volume: 26
                Issue: 11
                Pages: 3803-3822
                Article
                DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00543.1
                SO-VID: 5a8d777f-e4f1-4158-86fd-509a5cc74ce0
                Copyright © © 2013
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