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      The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts

      research-article
        1 , 2 , 3 , 1 , 1 , 2 , 4 , 1 , 4 , 1 , 4 , 2 , 4 , 2 , 5 , 1 , 4 , 1 , 4 , 1 , 4 , 4 , 4 , 6 , 7 , 4 , 8 , 4 , 9 , 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 , 14 , 15 , 16 , 17 , 18 , 19 , 20 , 21 , 22 , 23 , 24 , 25 , 26 , 27 , 28 , 29 , 30 , 31 , 32 , 33 , 34 , 35 , 36 , 37 , 38 , 39 , 40 , 41 , 42 , 43 , 44 , 45 , 46 , 47 , 48 , 49 , 50 , 51 , 52 , 53 , 54 , 55 , 55 , 56 , 57 , 58 , 59 , 60 , 61 , 62 , 63 , 64 , 65 , 66 , 67 , 68 , 69 , 70 , 71 , 72 , 73 , 74 , 75 , 76 , 4 , 77 , 78 , 79 , 80 , 81 , 82 , 4 , 83 , 84 , 85 , 86 , 87 , 88 , 89 , 90 , 91 , 92 , 93 , 94 , 95 , 96 , 97 , 98 , 99 , 6 , 100 , 101 , 102 , 103 , 104 , 105 , 106 , 107 , 108 , 109 , 110 , 111 , 112 , 113 , 114 , 115 , 116 , 117 , 118 , 119 , 120 , 121 , 122 , 123 , 124 , 125 , 126 , 127 , 128 , 129 , 130 , 131 , 132 , 133 , 134 , 135 , 136 , 137 , 138 , 139 , 140 , 141 , 142 , 143 , 144 , 145 , 146 , 147 , 148 , 149 , 150 , 151 , 152 , 153 , 154 , 155 , 156 , 157 , 16 , 158 , 159 , 160 , 161 , 162 , 163 , 164 , 39 , 165 , 166 , 167 , 168 , 169 , 13 , 14 , 170 , 171 , 172 , 173 , 174 , 175 , 176 , 177 , 178 , 179 , 180 , 181 , 182 , 183 , 184 , 185 , 186 , 187 , 174 , 188 , 189 , 190 , 191 , 192 , 193 , 192 , 193 ,   194 , 39 , 195 , 196 , 196 , 197 , 198 , 199 , 200 , 201 , 202 , 203 , 204 , 131 , 205 , 206 , 207 , 208 , 209 , 210 , 211 , 212 , 213 , 214 , 59 , 215 , 216 , 36 , 217 , 218 , 219 , 220 , 221 , 30 , 222 , 4 , 223 , 224 , 225 , 226 , 227 , 228 , 229 , 166 , 230 , 231 , 232 , 233 , 234 , 235 , 236 , 237 , 238 , 239 , 240 , 241 , 242 , 243 , 244 , 245 , 4 , 245 , 3 , 2 , 6 , 1 , 4
      Ecology and Evolution
      Blackwell Publishing Ltd
      Data sharing, global change, habitat destruction, land use

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          Abstract

          Biodiversity continues to decline in the face of increasing anthropogenic pressures such as habitat destruction, exploitation, pollution and introduction of alien species. Existing global databases of species’ threat status or population time series are dominated by charismatic species. The collation of datasets with broad taxonomic and biogeographic extents, and that support computation of a range of biodiversity indicators, is necessary to enable better understanding of historical declines and to project – and avert – future declines. We describe and assess a new database of more than 1.6 million samples from 78 countries representing over 28,000 species, collated from existing spatial comparisons of local-scale biodiversity exposed to different intensities and types of anthropogenic pressures, from terrestrial sites around the world. The database contains measurements taken in 208 (of 814) ecoregions, 13 (of 14) biomes, 25 (of 35) biodiversity hotspots and 16 (of 17) megadiverse countries. The database contains more than 1% of the total number of all species described, and more than 1% of the described species within many taxonomic groups – including flowering plants, gymnosperms, birds, mammals, reptiles, amphibians, beetles, lepidopterans and hymenopterans. The dataset, which is still being added to, is therefore already considerably larger and more representative than those used by previous quantitative models of biodiversity trends and responses. The database is being assembled as part of the PREDICTS project (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems – http://www.predicts.org.uk). We make site-level summary data available alongside this article. The full database will be publicly available in 2015.

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          The Measurement of Observer Agreement for Categorical Data

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            The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data.

            This paper presents a general statistical methodology for the analysis of multivariate categorical data arising from observer reliability studies. The procedure essentially involves the construction of functions of the observed proportions which are directed at the extent to which the observers agree among themselves and the construction of test statistics for hypotheses involving these functions. Tests for interobserver bias are presented in terms of first-order marginal homogeneity and measures of interobserver agreement are developed as generalized kappa-type statistics. These procedures are illustrated with a clinical diagnosis example from the epidemiological literature.
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              Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity.

              The most unique feature of Earth is the existence of life, and the most extraordinary feature of life is its diversity. Approximately 9 million types of plants, animals, protists and fungi inhabit the Earth. So, too, do 7 billion people. Two decades ago, at the first Earth Summit, the vast majority of the world's nations declared that human actions were dismantling the Earth's ecosystems, eliminating genes, species and biological traits at an alarming rate. This observation led to the question of how such loss of biological diversity will alter the functioning of ecosystems and their ability to provide society with the goods and services needed to prosper.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Ecol Evol
                Ecol Evol
                ece3
                Ecology and Evolution
                Blackwell Publishing Ltd (Oxford, UK )
                2045-7758
                2045-7758
                December 2014
                02 December 2014
                : 4
                : 24
                : 4701-4735
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum Cromwell Road, London, SW7 5BD, U.K
                [2 ]United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
                [3 ]Computational Ecology and Environmental Science, Microsoft Research 21 Station Road, Cambridge, CB1 2FB, U.K
                [4 ]Imperial College London Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst Road, Ascot, SL5 7PY, U.K
                [5 ]Frankfurt Zoological Society, Africa Regional Office PO Box 14935, Arusha, Tanzania
                [6 ]School of Life Sciences, University of Sussex Brighton, BN1 9QG, U.K
                [7 ]Center for Macroecology, Climate and Evolution, the Natural History Museum of Denmark Universitetsparken 15, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark
                [8 ]School of Biological and Ecological Sciences, University of Stirling Bridge of Allan, Stirling, FK9 4LA, U.K
                [9 ]Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield Alfred Denny Building, Western Bank, Sheffield, S10 2TN, U.K
                [10 ]School of Biological Sciences, Queen's University Belfast 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, BT9 7BL, U.K
                [11 ]Evolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp Groenenborgerlaan 171, 2020, Antwerp, Belgium
                [12 ]Nees Institute for Plant Biodiversity, University of Bonn Meckenheimer Allee 170, 53113, Bonn, Germany
                [13 ]Department of Wildlife and Range Management, FRNR, CANR, KNUST Kumasi, Ghana
                [14 ]SAVE THE FROGS! Ghana Box KS 15924, Adum-Kumasi, Ghana
                [15 ]Escuela de Biología, Universidad de Costa Rica 2060, San José, Costa Rica
                [16 ]CONICET, Lab. INIBIOMA (Universidad Nacional del Comahue-CONICET) Pasaje Gutierrez 1125, 8400, Bariloche, Rio Negro, Argentina
                [17 ]HUTAN – Kinabatangan Orang-utan Conservation Programme PO Box 17793, 88874, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia
                [18 ]Museo de Zoología, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México México D.F, Mexico
                [19 ]Colección de Tejidos, Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt Km 17 Cali-Palmira, Valle del Cauca, Colombia
                [20 ]Department of Biology, Universidad del Valle Calle 13 #100-00, Cali, Colombia
                [21 ]Biodiversity Unit, Institute of Bioscience, Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400, Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia
                [22 ]Faculty of Forestry, Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400, Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia
                [23 ]Laboratorio de Genética de la Conservación, Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas Clemente Estable Montevideo, Uruguay
                [24 ]Department of Forest and Water Management, Forest & Nature Lab, Ghent University Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090, Gontrode, Belgium
                [25 ]Terrestrial Ecology Unit Department of Biology, Ghent University K. L. Ledeganckstraat 35, 9000, Gent, Belgium
                [26 ]MTA Centre for Ecological Research Alkotmány u. 2-4, 2163, Vácrátót, Hungary
                [27 ]University of Washington 1900 Commerce Street, Tacoma, Washington, 98402, U.K
                [28 ]Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University Lancaster, LA1 4YQ, U.K
                [29 ]MCT/Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi Belém, Pará, Brazil
                [30 ]Agroecology, Georg-August University Grisebachstrasse 6, 37077, Göttingen, Germany
                [31 ]University of Birmingham Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, U.K
                [32 ]Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta CW 405 – Biological Sciences Centre, Edmonton, AB, T6G 2E9, Canada
                [33 ]EDP Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO/InBio, Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos, Universidade do Porto Campus Agrário de Vairão, 4485-601, Vairão, Portugal
                [34 ]The Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, The Swedish Biodiversity Centre SE 750 07, Uppsala, Sweden
                [35 ]University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences Crew Building, King's Buildings, West Mains Road, Edinburgh, EH9 3JN, U.K
                [36 ]Durrell Institute of Conservation and Ecology (DICE), School of Anthropology and Conservation, University of Kent Canterbury, CT2 7NR, U.K
                [37 ]Iwokrama International Centre for Rainforest Conservation and Development 77 High Street, Georgetown, Guyana
                [38 ]Department of Animal Ecology, Philipps-University Marburg Karl-von-Frisch Strasse 8, 35032, Marburg, Germany
                [39 ]Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F), Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung Senckenberganlage 25, 60325, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
                [40 ]Institute for Ecology, Evolution & Diversity, Biologicum, Goethe University Frankfurt Max von Laue St. 13, D 60439, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
                [41 ]CBS-KNAW Fungal Biodiversity Centre Utrecht, The Netherlands
                [42 ]Environment Canada, Science & Technology Branch, Carleton University 1125 Colonel By Drive, Raven Road, Ottawa, ON, K1A 0H3, Canada
                [43 ]Unité Mixte de Recherche Contrôle des Maladies Animales Exotiques et Emergentes, Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (CIRAD) 34398, Montpellier, France
                [44 ]Unité Mixte de Recherche 1309 Contrôle des Maladies Animales Exotiques et Emergentes, Institut national de la recherche agronomique (INRA) 34398, Montpellier, France
                [45 ]School of Science and the Environment, Manchester Metropolitan University Chester Street, Manchester, M1 5GD, U.K
                [46 ]University of Évora – ICAAMA, Apartado 94 7002-554, Évora, Portugal
                [47 ]Southern Swedish Forest Research Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Box 49, 230 53, Alnarp, Sweden
                [48 ]Department of Entomology, Purdue University 901 W. State Street, West Lafayette, 47907, Indiana, Portugal
                [49 ]Centro de Ecologia Funcional, Departamento de Ciências da Vida, Universidade de Coimbra Calçada Martim de Freitas, 3000-456, Coimbra, Portugal
                [50 ]Escritório Central do LBA, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisa da Amazônia Av. André Araújo, 2936, Campus II, Aleixo, CEP 69060-001, Manaus, AM, Brazil
                [51 ]Department of Botany, School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College Dublin College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland
                [52 ]Departamento de Zoologia, Instituto de Biociências, Universidade de São Paulo São Paulo, SP, 05508-090, Brazil
                [53 ]Department of Ecology and Animal Biology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Vigo 36310, Vigo, Spain
                [54 ]Department of Entomology, University of Illinois Urbana, Illinois, 61801, Brazil
                [55 ]Museu de Zoologia da Universidade de São Paulo Av. Nazaré 481, 04263-000, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
                [56 ]Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia Av. André Araújo, 2.936, Petrópolis, CEP 69067-375, Manaus, AM, Brazil
                [57 ]Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra Calçada Martim de Freitas, 3000-456, Coimbra, Portugal
                [58 ]Instituto de Biotecnologia y Ecologia Aplicada (INBIOTECA), Universidad Veracruzana Av. de las Culturas Veracruzanas, 101, Col. Emiliano Zapata, CP 91090, Xalapa, Veracruz, Mexico
                [59 ]Centro Agronómico Tropical de Investigación y Enseñanza (CATIE), Tropical Agricultural Research and Higher Education Center 7170, Cartago, Turrialba, 30501, Costa Rica
                [60 ]Department of Quantitative Methods and Information Systems, Faculty of Agronomy, University of Buenos Aires Av. San Martín 4453, Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina, C.P. 1417, Argentina
                [61 ]Normandie Univ., EA 1293 ECODIV-Rouen, SFR SCALE, UFR Sciences et Techniques 76821, Mont Saint Aignan Cedex, France
                [62 ]University of Aberdeen Aberdeen, AB24 2TZ, U.K
                [63 ]Department of Biology, CESAM, Universidade de Aveiro Campus Universitário de Santiago, 3810-193, Aveiro, Portugal
                [64 ]Sustainability Research Institute, University of East London 4-6 University Way, London, E16 2RD, U.K
                [65 ]Department of Biology, University of Naples “Federico II” Naples, Italy
                [66 ]Programa de Pós-graduação em Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina Florianópolis, Santa Catarina, CEP 88040-900, Brazil
                [67 ]British Trust for Ornithology, University of Stirling Stirling, FK9 4LA, U.K
                [68 ]Thünen Institute of Biodiversity Bundesallee 50, 38116, Braunschweig, Germany
                [69 ]CNRS, Écologie des Forêts de Guyane (UMR-CNRS 8172) BP 316, 97379, Kourou cedex, France
                [70 ]Université de Toulouse, UPS, INP, Laboratoire Écologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement (Ecolab) 118 route de Narbonne, 31062, Toulouse, France
                [71 ]Department of Landscape Ecology, Institute for Nature and Resource Conservation, Kiel University Olshausenstrasse 75, 24098, Kiel, Germany
                [72 ]Department of Biology, Nature Conservation, University Marburg Marburg, Germany
                [73 ]Institute of Integrative Biology ETH Zurich, Switzerland
                [74 ]Programa de Biología, Universidad del Atlántico Km 7 vía Puerto Colombia, Atlántico, Colombia
                [75 ]Biometry and Environmental System Analysis, University of Freiburg Tennenbacher Strasse 4, 79106, Freiburg, Germany
                [76 ]INRA, UMR1213 Herbivores 63122, Saint-Genès-Champanelle, France
                [77 ]Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London Nuffield Building, Regents Park, London, NW1 4RY, U.K
                [78 ]Department of Ecology and Environmental Science, Umeå University 901 87, Umeå, Sweden
                [79 ]Wildlife, Fish and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences 901 83, Umeå, Sweden
                [80 ]MTA-ELTE-MTM Ecology Research Group, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, c/o Biological Institute, Eötvös Lóránd University Pázmány Péter sétány 1/C., 1117, Budapest, Hungary
                [81 ]University of Koblenz-Landau, Institute for Environmental Sciences Fortstr. 7, 76829, Landau, Germany
                [82 ]Department of Ecology – Conservation Ecology, Faculty of Biology, Philipps-Universität Marburg Karl-von-Frisch-Street 8, 35032, Marburg, Germany
                [83 ]Faculty of Science, University of South Bohemia and Institute of Entomology, Biology Centre of Academy of Sciences Czech Republic Branišovská 31, 370 05, České Budějovice, Czech Republic
                [84 ]Institute for Tropical Biology and Conservation, Universiti Malaysia Sabah 88999, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia
                [85 ]Dipartimento di Scienze Veterinarie, Università di Pisa Viale delle Piagge, n°2, 56124, Pisa, Italy
                [86 ]The Southern Swedish Forest Research Centre, The Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences PO Box 49, 23453, Alnarp, Sweden
                [87 ]Laboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine (LECA), Université Grenoble Alpes F-38000, Grenoble, France
                [88 ]Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Animal, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco Recife, PE 50670-901, Brazil
                [89 ]Department of Plant Sciences, University of California Davis, California, 95616, Canada
                [90 ]Department of Natural Resource Sciences, Thompson Rivers University 900 McGill Road, Kamloops, BC, V2C 0C8, Canada
                [91 ]IDEA Consultants Inc Okinawa Branch Office, Aja 2-6-19, Naha, Okinawa, 900-0003, Japan
                [92 ]Carl Zeiss Microscopy GmbH Königsallee 9 – 21, 37081, Göttingen, Germany
                [93 ]University of Hamburg, Biocentre Grindel Martin-Luther-King Platz 3, 20146, Hamburg, Germany
                [94 ]Seed Consulting Services 106 Gilles Street, Adelaide, 5000, SA, Australia
                [95 ]School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, The University of Queensland St Lucia, 4072, Qld, Australia
                [96 ]Ecologia Aplicada/Applied Ecology, Universidade Sagrado Coração (USC) Rua Irmã Arminda, 10-50, Jardim Brasil, Bauru, São Paulo, Brazil
                [97 ]DISTAV, University of Genova Corso Dogali 1M, 16136, Genova, Italy
                [98 ]Dipartimento di Biologia, Università di Napoli Federico II Campus Monte S. Angelo, Via Cinthia 4, 80126, Napoli, Italy
                [99 ]Universidade Federal de Pelotas (UFPel) PO Box 354, CEP 96010-900, Pelotas, RS, Brazil
                [100 ]Astron Environmental Services 129 Royal Street, East Perth, WA, 6004, Australia
                [101 ]Department of Environment and Agriculture, Curtin University Kent Street, Bentley, WA, 6102, Australia
                [102 ]Mount Holyoke College, Department of Biological Sciences South Hadley, Massachusetts, 01075, U.K
                [103 ]School of Biological Science, University of Plymouth Drake's Circus, Plymouth, PL4 8AA, U.K
                [104 ]351 False Bay Drive, Friday Harbor, Washington, 98250, Malaysia
                [105 ]International University of Malaya-Wales Jalan Tun Ismail, 50480, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
                [106 ]Coordenação de Botânica, Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi Caixa Postal 399, CEP 66040-170, Belém, Pará, Brazil
                [107 ]School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia Norwich Research Park, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K
                [108 ]Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Laurentian Forestry Centre 1055 du P.E.P.S., PO Box 10380, Québec, QC, G1V 4C7, Canada
                [109 ]Animal & Environmental Research Group, Department of Life Sciences, Anglia Ruskin University East Road, Cambridge, CB1 1PT, U.K
                [110 ]University of Tromsø, Department of Arctic and Marine Biology 9037, Tromsø, Norway
                [111 ]Universidad Nacional Experimental de Guayana Apdo. Postal 8050, Puerto Ordaz, 8015, Estado Bolívar, Venezuela
                [112 ]Agroscope Reckenholzstr. 191, 8046, Zurich, Switzerland
                [113 ]Corporación Sentido Natural Carrera 70H No. 122 – 98, Apartamento 101, Bogotá, Colombia
                [114 ]Escuela de Ingeniería Forestal, Tecnológico de Costa Rica Apartado, 159-7050, Cartago, Costa Rica
                [115 ]Asociación para la Conservación y el Estudio de la Biodiversidad (ACEBIO) Casa 15, Barrio Los Abogados, Zapote, San José, Costa Rica
                [116 ]International Rice Research Institute DAPO Box 7777, Metro Manila, The Philippines
                [117 ]University of Debrecen, Department of Ecology PO Box 71, 4010, Debrecen, Hungary
                [118 ]Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University 106 91, Stockholm, Sweden
                [119 ]Instituto de Investigaciones y Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt Bogotá, Colombia
                [120 ]Hiroshima University, Graduate School of Education 1-1-1, Kagamiyama, Higashi-Hiroshima, 739-8524, Japan
                [121 ]Scarab Research Group, University of Pretoria Pretoria, South Africa
                [122 ]Centro de Investigaciones en Ecosistemas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México A.P. 27-3 Santa María de Guido, Morelia, Michoacán,, México C.P. 58090, Mexico
                [123 ]Department of Animal Ecology, Justus-Liebig University Heinrich-Buff-Ring 26-32, 35392, Giessen, Germany
                [124 ]Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Ecology Box 7044, 750 07, Uppsala, Sweden
                [125 ]Yukon Department of Environment P.O. Box 2703, Whitehorse, YT, Y1A 2C6, Canada
                [126 ]Nature Conservation Foundation Mysore, India
                [127 ]Department of Environmental & Natural Resources Management, University of Patras Seferi 2, 30100, Agrinio, Greece
                [128 ]Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science (TESS) and School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University Cairns, Qld, Australia
                [129 ]School of Science and Technology, Pacific Adventist University Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea
                [130 ]Institute of Systematic Botany, University of Zurich Zollikerstrasse 107, 8008, Zurich, Switzerland
                [131 ]Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Bern Baltzerstrasse 6, 3012, Bern, Switzerland
                [132 ]Institute of Ecology, University of Bremen FB2, Leobener Str., 28359, Bremen, Germany
                [133 ]MTA-ELTE-MTM Ecology Research Group Pázmány Péter s. 1/c, Budapest, 1117, Hungary, Germany
                [134 ]Field Station Fabrikschleichach, Biocenter, University of Würzburg Glasshüttenstr. 5, 96181, Rauhenebrach, Germany
                [135 ]Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL Zürcherstrasse 11, 8903, Birmensdorf, Switzerland
                [136 ]Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria EEA Bariloche, 8400, Bariloche, Argentina
                [137 ]INRA, UR 406 Abeilles et Environnement F-84914, Avignon, France
                [138 ]Department of Biology, San Francisco State University 1600 Holloway Ave, San Francisco, California, 94132
                [139 ]Laboratoire de diagnostic en phytoprotection, Ministère de l'agriculture, des pêcheries et de l'alimentation du Québec 2700 rue Einstein, QC, G1P 3W8, Canada
                [140 ]Purchase College (State University of New York) 735 Anderson Hill Road, Purchase, New York, 10577, U.K
                [141 ]The James Hutton Institute Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen,, AB15 8QH, U.K
                [142 ]Universidad de Antioquia Calle 67 No. 53 – 108, Medellín, Colombia
                [143 ]International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA) P.O. Box 950764, Amman, 11195, Jordan
                [144 ]Aarhus University, Department of Agroecology, Flakkebjerg Research Centre Forsøgsvej 1, 4200, Slagelse, Denmark
                [145 ]Castilla La Mancha University, School of Advanced Agricultural Engineering, Department of Agroforestry Technology and Science and Genetics Campus Universitario s/n, C.P. 02071, Albacete, Spain
                [146 ]Universidad Autónoma de Nayarit, Unidad Académica de Turismo, Coordinación de Investigación y Posgrado Ciudad de la Cultura Amado Nervo s/n, C.P. 63155, Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
                [147 ]Graduate School of Agricultural Science, Kobe University Kobe, 657-8501, Japan
                [148 ]Hortobágy National Park Directorate, 4002, Debrecen, P.O.Box 216, Hungary
                [149 ]Fauna & Flora International Philippines #8 Foggy Heights Subdivision San Jose, Tagaytay City, 4120, Philippines
                [150 ]De La Salle University-Dasmariñas West Ave, Dasmariñas, 4115, Philippines
                [151 ]Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Madison 550 North Park Street, Madison, Wisconsin, 53706, U.K
                [152 ]Marshall Agroecology Ltd, 2 Nut Tree Cottages, Barton, Winscombe,, BS25 1DU, U.K
                [153 ]Escuela de Posgrados, Facultad de Agronomía, Doctorado en Agroecología, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Cra 30 No. 45-03, Ciudad Universitaria Bogotá, Colombia
                [154 ]The University of Queensland, School of Biological Sciences Brisbane, Qld, 4120, Australia
                [155 ]Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Ecology Grimsö Wildlife Research Station, 730 91, Riddarhyttan, Sweden
                [156 ]Rainforest Alliance 233 Broadway, 28th Floor, New York City, New York, 10279, Kenya
                [157 ]Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences N-407 Turner Hall, MC-047, 1102 South Goodwin Ave., Urbana, Illinois, 61801, Kenya
                [158 ]National Museums of Kenya, Botany Department P.O. Box 40658, 00100, Nairobi, Kenya
                [159 ]Department of Zoology, National Museums of Kenya P.O. Box 40658, 00100, Nairobi, Kenya
                [160 ]WWF 1250 24th Street NW, Washington, District of Columbia, 20037, China
                [161 ]Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden CAS, Menglun, Mengla, Yunnan, 666303, China
                [162 ]Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute Matsunosato 1, Tsukuba Ibaraki, 305–8687, Japan
                [163 ]Laboratorio de Investigaciones en Abejas, Departamento de Biología, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Bogotá, Colombia
                [164 ]El Colegio de la Frontera Sur, Carretera Panamericana y Periférico Sur S/N. 29290, Chiapas, Mexico
                [165 ]Department of Biosciences and Department of Environmental Sciences, Urban Ecology Research Group, University of Helsinki Viikinkaari 2a, P.O. Box 65, FI-00014, Helsinki, Finland
                [166 ]School of Biology, The University of Nottingham University Park, Nottingham, NG7 2RD, U.K
                [167 ]Laboratorio de Zoología y Ecología Acuática – LAZOEA, Universidad de Los Andes Bogotá, Colombia
                [168 ]BIO-Diverse Ließemer Str. 32 a, 53179 Bonn, Germany
                [169 ]Oxford University Centre for the Environment, University of Oxford South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY, U.K
                [170 ]Department of Wildlife and Range Management, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology Kumasi, Ghana
                [171 ]Forestry Research Institute of Ghana Kumasi, Ghana
                [172 ]Department of Animal & Environmental Biology, University of Benin Benin City, Nigeria
                [173 ]The Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB), The Lodge Sandy, Bedfordshire,, SG19 2DL, U.K
                [174 ]Laboratorio Ecotono, CONICET–INIBIOMA, Universidad Nacional del Comahue Quintral 1250, Bariloche, 8400, Argentina
                [175 ]Departamento de Biologia, Faculdade de Filosofia Ciências e Letras de Ribeirão Preto, Universidade de São Paulo Avenida. Bandeirantes, 3900 – CEP 14040-901 – Bairro Monte Alegre, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil
                [176 ]Laboratorio de Investigaciones en Abejas-LABUN, Departamento de Biología, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Carrera 45 N° 26-85, Edificio Uriel Gutiérrez, Bogotá, DC, Colombia, Argentina
                [177 ]Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal (CONICET-UNC) and Centro de Zoología Aplicada (UNC) Rondeau 798 X5000AVP, Córdoba, Argentina
                [178 ]School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K
                [179 ]Lund University, Department of Biology/Biodiversity Ecology Building, 223 62, Lund, Sweden
                [180 ]Laboratory of Biogeography & Ecology, Department of Geography, University of the Aegean 81100, Mytilene, Greece
                [181 ]Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, U.K
                [182 ]Department of Biology, Western Kentucky University 1906 College Heights Blvd., Bowling Green, Kentucky, 42101, Ireland
                [183 ]Entomology, Cornell University 4126 Comstock Hall, Ithaca, New York, 14850, Ireland
                [184 ]School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College Dublin College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland
                [185 ]Center for Environmental Sciences and Engineering & Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut 3107 Horsebarn Hill Road, Storrs, Connecticut, 06269-4210, Portugal
                [186 ]IN+, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa Av. Rovisco Pais 1, 1049-001, Lisboa, Portugal
                [187 ]CRA-ABP, Consiglio per la Ricerca e la sperimentazione in Agricoltura, Centro di ricerca per l'agrobiologia e la pedologia Via Lanciola 12/A, 50125 – Cascine del Riccio, Firenze, Italy
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                [189 ]Department of Forest Ecosystems and Society, Oregon State University Corvallis, Oregon, 97331, Brazil
                [190 ]Universidade Federal de Sergipe, Cidade Universitária Prof. José Aloísio de Campos Jardim Rosa Elze, São Cristóvão, Brazil
                [191 ]Centro de Ciências Biológicas e da Saúde, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul P.O Box 549, 79070-900, Campo Grande, Brazil
                [192 ]165 Braid Road, Edinburgh, EH10 6JE, U.K
                [193 ]Associate Scientist, Luquillo LTER, Institute for Tropical Ecosystem Studies, College of Natural Sciences, University of Puerto Rico at Rio Piedras P.O. Box 70377, San Juan, Puerto Rico, 00936-8377, Argentina
                [194 ]PROPLAME-PRHIDEB-CONICET, Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biología Experimental, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Ciudad Universitaria PB II, 4to piso, (CP1428EHA), Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
                [195 ]ECT Oekotoxikologie GmbH Böttgerstr. 2-14, 65439, Flörsheim, Germany
                [196 ]Universidad de Ciencias Aplicadas y Ambientales U.D.C.A. Cl 222 No. 55-37, Bogotá, Colombia
                [197 ]School of Biological and Chemical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London Mile End Road, London, E3 5GN, U.K
                [198 ]Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia Charlottesville, Virginia, 22904-4123, Canada
                [199 ]Blandy Experimental Farm 400 Blandy Farm Lane, Boyce, Virginia, 22620, Canada
                [200 ]Département des sciences biologiques, Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM) Case postale 8888, Succursale Centre-ville, Montréal, QC, H3C 3P8, Canada
                [201 ]School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham Birmingham, B15 2TT, U.K
                [202 ]Institute of Silviculture and Forest Protection, University of West Hungary Bajcsy-Zsilinszky u. 4., 9400, Sopron, Hungary
                [203 ]Red de Ecología Funcional, Instituto de Ecología A.C. Carretera Antigua a Coatepec N° 351 El Haya, CP, 91070, Xalapa, Veracruz, Mexico
                [204 ]Stockholm University, Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences SE, 106 91, Stockholm, Sweden
                [205 ]Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ Theodor-Lieser-Strasse 4, 06120, Halle, Germany
                [206 ]Lawrence University 711 E. Boldt Way, Appleton, Wisconsin, 54911, India
                [207 ]School of Human Ecology, Dr. B.R. Ambedkar University Lothian Road, Delhi, 110006, India
                [208 ]Department of Ecology and Natural Resource Management (INA), Norwegian University of Life Sciences (NMBU) Box 5003, 1432, Ås, Norway
                [209 ]Center for International Forestry Research Bogor, 16000, Indonesia
                [210 ]Universidade Federal do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas Rua Augusto Correa, 01, Belém, 66075-110, Pará, Brazil
                [211 ]Department of Zoology, University of Oxford South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3PS, U.K
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                [217 ]Kadoorie Conservation China, Kadoorie Farm and Botanic Garden Lam Kam Road, Tai Po, New Territories, Hong Kong SAR, China
                [218 ]Department of Resource Management and Geography, The University of Melbourne 500 Yarra Boulevard, Richmond, VIC, 3121, Australia
                [219 ]Northwestern University Program in Plant Biology and Conservation 2205 Tech Drive, O.T. Hogan Hall, Room 2-144, Evanston, Illinois, 60208, Hungary
                [220 ]Chicago Botanic Garden 1000 Lake Cook Road, Glencoe, Illinois, 60022, Hungary
                [221 ]MTA-DE Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Research Group Egyetem ter 1, Debrecen, 4032, Hungary
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                [225 ]Institute of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Research, Bulgarian Academy of Science 23 Akademik Georgi Bonchev str., Block 23, 1113, Sofia, Bulgaria
                [226 ]Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Division Forest, Nature and Landscape, KU Leuven Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001, Leuven, Belgium
                [227 ]Departamento de Ciencias Químico-Biológicas, Universidad de las Américas Puebla 72810, Cholula, Puebla, Mexico
                [228 ]Universidad de Santiago de Chile Avenida Alameda Libertador Bernardo O'Higgins 3363, Estación Central, Santiago, Chile
                [229 ]Spotvogellaan 68, 2566 PN, The Hague, The Netherlands
                [230 ]Dillon Consulting Limited 137 Chain Lake Drive, Halifax, NS, B3S 1B3, Canada
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                [232 ]University of Florida 3205 College Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, 33314, Australia
                [233 ]The Environment Institute and School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Adelaide SA, 5005, Australia
                [234 ]Institute of Experimental Ecology, University of Ulm Albert-Einstein-Allee 11, 89069, Ulm, Germany
                [235 ]Behavioural Ecology and Biocontrol, Department of Biology, National University of Ireland Maynooth, Co. Kildare, Ireland
                [236 ]Center for Environmental Sciences & Engineering, University of Connecticut 3107 Horsebarn Hill Road, Storrs, Connecticut, 06269-4210, Australia
                [237 ]Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut 3107 Horsebarn Hill Road, Storrs, Connecticut, 06269-4210, Australia
                [238 ]Charles Darwin University 7 Ellengowan Dr, Brinkin, NT, 0810, Australia
                [239 ]University of Amsterdam, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED) P.O. Box 94248, 1090 GE, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
                [240 ]NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Crowmarsh Gifford Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, U.K
                [241 ]University of East Anglia Norwich Research Park, Norwich, Norfolk,, NR4 7TJ, U.K
                [242 ]Kunming Institute of Zoology Kunming, Yunnan,, 650023, China
                [243 ]Institute of Animal Ecology, Justus-Liebig-University Heinrich-Buff-Ring 26, 35392, Giessen, Germany
                [244 ]A. N. Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution Leninsky Prospekt 33, 119071, Moscow, Russia
                [245 ]Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT, U.K
                Author notes
                Lawrence Hudson, Natural History Museum, Cromwell Road, London, SW7 5BD, U.K. Tel: +44 (0)20 7942 5819; Fax: +44 (0)20 7942 5175; E-mail: l.hudson@ 123456nhm.ac.uk and Tim Newbold, UNEP World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K. Tel: +44 (0)1223 277 314; Fax: +44 (0)1223 277 136; E-mail: tim.newbold@ 123456unep-wcmc.org

                Funding Information The PREDICTS project was supported by the U.K. Natural Environment Research Council (Grant Number NE/J011193/1) and is a contribution from the Imperial College Grand Challenges in Ecosystems and the Environment initiative. Adriana De Palma was supported by the U.K. Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (Grant Number BB/F017324/1). Helen Philips was supported by a Hans Rausing PhD Scholarship.

                [*]

                These authors contributed equally to this paper.

                Article
                10.1002/ece3.1303
                4278822
                25558364
                5f91e1f4-57ec-41c3-945d-623118d280eb
                © 2014 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 11 August 2014
                : 30 September 2014
                : 30 September 2014
                Categories
                Original Research

                Evolutionary Biology
                data sharing,global change,habitat destruction,land use
                Evolutionary Biology
                data sharing, global change, habitat destruction, land use

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