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      Big data show idiosyncratic patterns and rates of geomorphic river mobility

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          Abstract

          Big data present unprecedented opportunities to test long-standing theories regarding patterns and rates of geomorphic river adjustments. Here, we use locational probabilities derived from Landsat imagery (1988-2019) to quantify the dynamics of 600 km 2 of riverbed in 10 Philippine catchments. Analysis of lateral adjustments reveals spatially non-uniform variability in along-valley patterns of geomorphic river mobility, with zones of relative stability interspersed with zones of relative instability. Hotspots of mobility vary in magnitude, size and location between catchments. We could not identify monotonic relationships between local factors (active channel width, valley floor width and confinement ratio) and mobility. No relation between the channel pattern type and rates of adjustment was evident. We contend that satellite-derived locational probabilities provide a spatially continuous dynamic metric that can help unravel and contextualise forms and rates of geomorphic river adjustment, thereby helping to derive insights into idiosyncrasies of river behaviour in dynamic landscapes.

          Abstract

          In this study, satellite-derived locational probabilities are analysed to unravel records of river adjustment in the Philippines. The data show spatially non-uniform variability in along-valley patterns of geomorphic river mobility.

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          Most cited references73

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          Google Earth Engine: Planetary-scale geospatial analysis for everyone

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            Modification of normalised difference water index (NDWI) to enhance open water features in remotely sensed imagery

            Hanqiu Xu (2006)
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              Deep learning and process understanding for data-driven Earth system science

              Machine learning approaches are increasingly used to extract patterns and insights from the ever-increasing stream of geospatial data, but current approaches may not be optimal when system behaviour is dominated by spatial or temporal context. Here, rather than amending classical machine learning, we argue that these contextual cues should be used as part of deep learning (an approach that is able to extract spatio-temporal features automatically) to gain further process understanding of Earth system science problems, improving the predictive ability of seasonal forecasting and modelling of long-range spatial connections across multiple timescales, for example. The next step will be a hybrid modelling approach, coupling physical process models with the versatility of data-driven machine learning.

                Author and article information

                Contributors
                richard.boothroyd@glasgow.ac.uk
                Journal
                Nat Commun
                Nat Commun
                Nature Communications
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2041-1723
                5 April 2025
                5 April 2025
                2025
                : 16
                : 3263
                Affiliations
                [1 ]School of Geographical and Earth Sciences, University of Glasgow, ( https://ror.org/00vtgdb53) Glasgow, UK
                [2 ]Department of Geography and Planning, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, ( https://ror.org/04xs57h96) Liverpool, UK
                [3 ]Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Brunel University London, ( https://ror.org/00dn4t376) Uxbridge, UK
                [4 ]School of Environment, University of Auckland, ( https://ror.org/03b94tp07) Auckland, New Zealand
                [5 ]National Institute of Geological Sciences, University of the Philippines, ( https://ror.org/03tbh6y23) Diliman, Philippines
                [6 ]Department of Geography and Regional Research, University of Vienna, ( https://ror.org/03prydq77) Vienna, Austria
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9742-4229
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6067-1947
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1310-1105
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2725-4767
                Article
                58427
                10.1038/s41467-025-58427-9
                11972300
                40188197
                60ba3569-630d-4049-8a15-2d4355daa40e
                © The Author(s) 2025

                Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 16 December 2021
                : 21 March 2025
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef https://doi.org/10.13039/501100000270, RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC);
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award ID: NE/S003312/
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
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                Custom metadata
                © Springer Nature Limited 2025

                Uncategorized
                hydrology,geography
                Uncategorized
                hydrology, geography

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