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      Machine‐learning‐based detection of adaptive divergence of the stream mayfly Ephemera strigata populations

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          Abstract

          Adaptive divergence is a key mechanism shaping the genetic variation of natural populations. A central question linking ecology with evolutionary biology is how spatial environmental heterogeneity can lead to adaptive divergence among local populations within a species. In this study, using a genome scan approach to detect candidate loci under selection, we examined adaptive divergence of the stream mayfly Ephemera strigata in the Natori River Basin in northeastern Japan. We applied a new machine‐learning method (i.e., random forest) besides traditional distance‐based redundancy analysis (dbRDA) to examine relationships between environmental factors and adaptive divergence at non‐neutral loci. Spatial autocorrelation analysis based on neutral loci was employed to examine the dispersal ability of this species. We conclude the following: (a) E. strigata show altitudinal adaptive divergence among the populations in the Natori River Basin; (b) random forest showed higher resolution for detecting adaptive divergence than traditional statistical analysis; and (c) separating all markers into neutral and non‐neutral loci could provide full insight into parameters such as genetic diversity, local adaptation, and dispersal ability.

          Abstract

          In this study, using a genome scan approach to detect candidate loci under selection, we detected altitudinal adaptive divergence among the populations of the stream mayfly Ephemera strigata in the Natori River Basin in northeastern Japan. The applied machine‐learning method (i.e., random forest) showed high higher resolution for detecting adaptive divergence than traditional statistical analysis.

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          Most cited references51

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          Newer Classification and Regression Tree Techniques: Bagging and Random Forests for Ecological Prediction

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            Adaptation to natural flow regimes.

            Floods and droughts are important features of most running water ecosystems, but the alteration of natural flow regimes by recent human activities, such as dam building, raises questions related to both evolution and conservation. Among organisms inhabiting running waters, what adaptations exist for surviving floods and droughts? How will the alteration of the frequency, timing and duration of flow extremes affect flood- and drought-adapted organisms? How rapidly can populations evolve in response to altered flow regimes? Here, we identify three modes of adaptation (life history, behavioral and morphological) that plants and animals use to survive floods and/or droughts. The mode of adaptation that an organism has determines its vulnerability to different kinds of flow regime alteration. The rate of evolution in response to flow regime alteration remains an open question. Because humans have now altered the flow regimes of most rivers and many streams, understanding the link between fitness and flow regime is crucial for the effective management and restoration of running water ecosystems.
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              Divergent selection and heterogeneous genomic divergence.

              Levels of genetic differentiation between populations can be highly variable across the genome, with divergent selection contributing to such heterogeneous genomic divergence. For example, loci under divergent selection and those tightly physically linked to them may exhibit stronger differentiation than neutral regions with weak or no linkage to such loci. Divergent selection can also increase genome-wide neutral differentiation by reducing gene flow (e.g. by causing ecological speciation), thus promoting divergence via the stochastic effects of genetic drift. These consequences of divergent selection are being reported in recently accumulating studies that identify: (i) 'outlier loci' with higher levels of divergence than expected under neutrality, and (ii) a positive association between the degree of adaptive phenotypic divergence and levels of molecular genetic differentiation across population pairs ['isolation by adaptation' (IBA)]. The latter pattern arises because as adaptive divergence increases, gene flow is reduced (thereby promoting drift) and genetic hitchhiking increased. Here, we review and integrate these previously disconnected concepts and literatures. We find that studies generally report 5-10% of loci to be outliers. These selected regions were often dispersed across the genome, commonly exhibited replicated divergence across different population pairs, and could sometimes be associated with specific ecological variables. IBA was not infrequently observed, even at neutral loci putatively unlinked to those under divergent selection. Overall, we conclude that divergent selection makes diverse contributions to heterogeneous genomic divergence. Nonetheless, the number, size, and distribution of genomic regions affected by selection varied substantially among studies, leading us to discuss the potential role of divergent selection in the growth of regions of differentiation (i.e. genomic islands of divergence), a topic in need of future investigation.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                watanabe.kozo.mj@ehime-u.ac.jp
                Journal
                Ecol Evol
                Ecol Evol
                10.1002/(ISSN)2045-7758
                ECE3
                Ecology and Evolution
                John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
                2045-7758
                15 June 2020
                July 2020
                : 10
                : 13 ( doiID: 10.1002/ece3.v10.13 )
                : 6677-6687
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Insititute of Environmental and Ecology Shandong Normal University Jinan China
                [ 2 ] Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Ehime University Matsuyama Japan
                [ 3 ] Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Yamanashi Yamanashi Japan
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence

                Kozo Watanabe, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ehime University, Bunkyo‐cho 3, Matsuyama, 790‐8577, Japan.

                Email: watanabe.kozo.mj@ 123456ehime-u.ac.jp

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5455-6969
                Article
                ECE36398
                10.1002/ece3.6398
                7381564
                62976025-2226-43e6-8d8e-0c70db1b8673
                © 2020 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 05 November 2019
                : 21 April 2020
                : 30 April 2020
                Page count
                Figures: 6, Tables: 2, Pages: 11, Words: 8622
                Funding
                Funded by: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science , open-funder-registry 10.13039/501100001691;
                Award ID: 16H04437
                Award ID: 16K18174
                Award ID: 17H01666
                Categories
                Original Research
                Original Research
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                July 2020
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_JATSPMC version:5.8.5 mode:remove_FC converted:25.07.2020

                Evolutionary Biology
                adaptive divergence,altitude,aquatic insect,local adaptation,random forest,structure

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