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      Timing of Sexual Intercourse in Relation to Ovulation — Effects on the Probability of Conception, Survival of the Pregnancy, and Sex of the Baby

      , ,
      New England Journal of Medicine
      Massachusetts Medical Society

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          Abstract

          The timing of sexual intercourse in relation to ovulation strongly influences the chance of conception, although the actual number of fertile days in a woman's menstrual cycle is uncertain. The timing of intercourse may also be associated with the sex of the baby. We recruited 221 healthy women who were planning to become pregnant. At the same time the women stopped using birth-control methods, they began collecting daily urine specimens and keeping daily records of whether they had sexual intercourse. We measured estrogen and progesterone metabolites in urine to estimate the day of ovulation. In a total of 625 menstrual cycles for which the dates of ovulation could be estimated, 192 pregnancies were initiated, as indicated by increases in the urinary concentration of human chorionic gonadotropin around the expected time of implantation. Two thirds (n = 129) ended in live births. Conception occurred only when intercourse took place during a six-day period that ended on the estimated day of ovulation. The probability of conception ranged from 0.10 when intercourse occurred five days before ovulation to 0.33 when it occurred on the day of ovulation itself. There was no evident relation between the age of sperm and the viability of the conceptus, although only 6 percent of the pregnancies could be firmly attributed to sperm that were three or more days old. Cycles producing male and female babies had similar patterns of intercourse in relation to ovulation. Among healthy women trying to conceive, nearly all pregnancies can be attributed to intercourse during a six-day period ending on the day of ovulation. For practical purposes, the timing of sexual intercourse in relation to ovulation has no influence on the sex of the baby.

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          Incidence of early loss of pregnancy.

          We studied the risk of early loss of pregnancy by collecting daily urine specimens from 221 healthy women who were attempting to conceive. Urinary concentrations of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) were measured for a total of 707 menstrual cycles with use of an immunoradiometric assay that is able to detect hCG levels as low as 0.01 ng per milliliter, with virtually 100 percent specificity for hCG in the presence of luteinizing hormone. Our criterion for early pregnancy--an hCG level above 0.025 ng per milliliter on three consecutive days--was determined after we compared the hCG levels in the study group with the levels in a comparable group of 28 women who had undergone sterilization by tubal ligation. We identified 198 pregnancies by an increase in the hCG level near the expected time of implantation. Of these, 22 percent ended before pregnancy was detected clinically. Most of these early pregnancy losses would not have been detectable by the less sensitive assays for hCG used in earlier studies. The total rate of pregnancy loss after implantation, including clinically recognized spontaneous abortions, was 31 percent. Most of the 40 women with unrecognized early pregnancy losses had normal fertility, since 95 percent of them subsequently became clinically pregnant within two years.
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            Application of a method for estimating day of ovulation using urinary estrogen and progesterone metabolites.

            Longitudinal epidemiologic studies of menstrual and reproductive function are more informative if one can identify day of ovulation. We previously developed a method for estimating day of ovulation that is feasible for epidemiologic studies. The method relies on the relative concentrations of estrogen and progesterone metabolites in daily first-morning urine specimens and does not require creatinine adjustment. This paper describes results of applying this method to a large study with 724 menstrual cycles from 217 women. The method estimated a credible day of ovulation in 88% of cycles. Missing data accounted for most of the failures. When we excluded anovulatory cycles (1%) and cycles with missing data, the method estimated a day of ovulation in 97% of cycles. Variance in luteal phase length was small for our sample, suggesting that this method of identifying a day of ovulation introduces no more measurement error than when day of ovulation is determined by plasma luteinizing hormone (LH), the standard clinical method.
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              Using the ratio of urinary oestrogen and progesterone metabolites to estimate day of ovulation.

              We have developed a method of estimating day of ovulation using urinary ovarian hormone data. The method identifies a day of luteal transition that occurs at the shift from production of follicular oestrogen to luteal progesterone. The algorithm for identifying this shift was evaluated and judged better than specified alternatives in that it resulted in (1) a high concordance between the day of luteal transition and peaks in urinary luteinizing hormone (LH) for cycles with well-defined peaks, (2) a low variance in the length of the luteal phase of the menstrual cycle, which presumably reflects a low measurement error in estimating day of ovulation, and (3) a high proportion of cycles for which an approximate day of ovulation could be determined. To validate the new algorithm, it was applied to an independent data set. The algorithm identified a day of luteal transition in 88 per cent of these cycles, and the identified day occurred within two days of the urinary LH peak for all the cycles with clear LH peaks. Determination of the day of luteal transition to estimate ovulation requires only first-morning urine specimens, requires no correction for day-to-day variations in urine concentration, and can be applied to a mid-cycle window of data.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                New England Journal of Medicine
                N Engl J Med
                Massachusetts Medical Society
                0028-4793
                1533-4406
                December 07 1995
                December 07 1995
                : 333
                : 23
                : 1517-1521
                Article
                10.1056/NEJM199512073332301
                7477165
                6445d3fc-a5aa-4e96-8fc5-d7d5f4de246a
                © 1995
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