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      Use of HAS-BLED Score in an Anticoagulation Outpatient Clinic of a Tertiary Hospital Translated title: Uso do Escore HAS-BLED em um Ambulatório de Anticoagulação de um Hospital Terciário

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          Abstract

          Abstract Background: HAS-BLED score was developed to assess 1-year major bleeding risk in patients anticoagulated with vitamin K antagonists (VKA) due to atrial fibrillation (AF). Objective: Of this study was to assess the ability of HAS-BLED score and its components to predict major bleeding in patients treated in an anticoagulation outpatient clinic of a tertiary hospital. Methods: A retrospective cohort study on AF patients treated with VKA was conducted. Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the ability of individual score components to predict major bleeding. The significance level adopted in all tests was 5%. Results: We studied 263 patients with a mean age of 71.1 ± 10.5 years over a period of 237.6 patients-year. Median HAS-BLED score was 2 (1-3). The overall incidence of major bleeding was 5.7%, and it was higher among high-risk HAS-BLED score patients than in low risk patients (9.6 vs. 3.1%; p = 0.052). Area under the ROC curve was 0.70 (p = 0.01). Cut-off point ≥ 3 showed sensibility of 66.7%, specificity of 62.1%, positive predictive value of 9.6% and negative predictive value of 96.9%. Major bleeding-free survival was lower in high-risk group (p = 0.017). In multivariate analysis, concurrent antiplatelet use was the only independent predictor of major bleeding among score components (OR 5.13, 95%CI: 1.55-17.0; p = 0.007). Conclusion: HAS-BLED score was able to predict major bleeding in this cohort of AF patients. Among score components, special attention should be given for concomitant antiplatelet use, which was independently associated to this outcome. Antiplatelets in AF patients under VKA anticoagulation should be used in selected patients with favorable risk-benefit assessment.

          Translated abstract

          Resumo Fundamento: O escore HAS-BLED foi desenvolvido para avaliar o risco em um ano de sangramento maior em pacientes com fibrilação atrial (FA) anticoagulados com antagonistas da vitamina K (AVK). Objetivo: O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar a capacidade do escore HAS-BLED e de seus componentes em predizer sangramento maior em pacientes atendidos em um ambulatório de anticoagulação de um hospital terciário. Métodos: Foi realizado um estudo coorte retrospectivo com pacientes com FA tratados com AVK. Análise de regressão logística foi realizada para avaliar a capacidade de cada componente do escore em predizer sangramento maior. O nível de significância adotado em todos os testes foi de 5%. Resultados: Foram estudados 263 pacientes com média de idade de 71,1 ± 10,5 anos ao longo de um período de tratamento de 237,6 pacientes-ano. A mediana do escore HAS-BLED foi de 2 (1-3). A incidência de sangramento maior foi de 5,7%, sendo mais elevada nos pacientes de alto risco que nos pacientes de baixo risco (9,6 vs. 3,1%; p = 0,052). A área sob a curva ROC foi de 0,70 (p = 0,01). Um ponto de corte ≥ 3 mostrou sensibilidade de 66,7%, especificidade de 62,1%, valor preditivo positivo de 9,6% e valor preditivo negativo de 96,9%. Sobrevida livre de sangramento maior foi menor no grupo de alto risco (p = 0,017). Na análise multivariada, o único preditor independente de sangramento maior entre os componentes do escore foi o uso concomitante de antiplaquetários (OR 5,13, IC95%: 1,55-17,0; p = 0,007). Conclusão: O escore HAS-BLED foi capaz de prever sangramento maior na população de pacientes com FA estudada. Entre os componentes do escore, atenção especial deve ser dada para o uso concomitante de antiplaquetários, que mostrou associação independente. Em pacientes com FA em uso de AVK como terapia anticoagulante, o uso de antiplaquetários deve ser realizado somente naqueles pacientes com avaliação risco-benefício favorável.

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          Atrial fibrillation and risks of cardiovascular disease, renal disease, and death: systematic review and meta-analysis.

          To quantify the association between atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular disease, renal disease, and death.
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            Prediction of the risk of bleeding during anticoagulant treatment for venous thromboembolism.

            To construct and validate the bleeding risk prediction score, which is based on variables identified in the literature that can be easily obtained before the institution of anticoagulant therapy, in a large independent cohort of patients who were treated with anticoagulant therapy for established venous thromboembolism to allow for quantitative assessment of the risks and benefits of the therapy and to adapt the patient's management accordingly. We constructed a bleeding risk prediction score, based on variables and their odds ratios identified in the literature, which can be easily obtained before the institution of anticoagulant therapy (score = [ 1.6 X age] + [1.3 x sex] + [2.2 X malignancy]). Subsequently, we evaluated the score in a test group of 241 patients treated with anticoagulant therapy for venous thromboembolism to determine the optimal cutoff points for the prediction of hemorrhagic complications, using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. We then validated this score in an independent cohort of 780 patients. A score of 3 or more points, 1 to 3 points, or 0 points represented a high, intermediate, or low bleeding risk, respectively. The score in about one fifth of the patients in the test group was classified as predicting high risk for bleeding complications. The risk of all bleeding complications was 26% in this group and the risk of major bleeding complications was 14%. The area under the curve was 0.75 (95% confidence interval, 0.64-0.84) and 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.66-0.98) for all bleeding complications and major bleeding complications, respectively. When validated, there was a moderate loss of predictive power of the score, but the categorization of the patients by the score remained clinically useful; 20% of the patients were classified as high risk, and the bleeding rate was 17% for all bleeding complications and 7% for major bleeding complications compared with 4% and 1%, respectively, in those categorized as low risk. With the use of 3 easily obtainable, clinical variables in a prediction model, it is possible to identify a subgroup of patients at the start of anticoagulant therapy who have a high risk of developing hemorrhagic complications. Further studies should address whether additional measures to prevent bleeding decrease the bleeding incidence without compromising efficacy.
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              Rates of hemorrhage during warfarin therapy for atrial fibrillation.

              Although warfarin has been extensively studied in clinical trials, little is known about rates of hemorrhage attributable to its use in routine clinical practice. Our objective was to examine incident hemorrhagic events in a large population-based cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation who were starting treatment with warfarin. We conducted a population-based cohort study involving residents of Ontario (age ≥ 66 yr) with atrial fibrillation who started taking warfarin between Apr. 1, 1997, and Mar. 31, 2008. We defined a major hemorrhage as any visit to hospital for hemorrage. We determined crude rates of hemorrhage during warfarin treatment, overall and stratified by CHADS(2) score (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 yr, diabetes mellitus and prior stroke, transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism). We included 125 195 patients with atrial fibrillation who started treatment with warfarin during the study period. Overall, the rate of hemorrhage was 3.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.8%-3.9%) per person-year. The risk of major hemorrhage was highest during the first 30 days of treatment. During this period, rates of hemorrhage were 11.8% (95% CI 11.1%-12.5%) per person-year in all patients and 16.7% (95% CI 14.3%-19.4%) per person-year among patients with a CHADS(2) scores of 4 or greater. Over the 5-year follow-up, 10 840 patients (8.7%) visited the hospital for hemorrhage; of these patients, 1963 (18.1%) died in hospital or within 7 days of being discharged. In this large cohort of older patients with atrial fibrillation, we found that rates of hemorrhage are highest within the first 30 days of warfarin therapy. These rates are considerably higher than the rates of 1%-3% reported in randomized controlled trials of warfarin therapy. Our study provides timely estimates of warfarin-related adverse events that may be useful to clinicians, patients and policy-makers as new options for treatment become available.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: ND
                Role: ND
                Role: ND
                Role: ND
                Role: ND
                Role: ND
                Role: ND
                Role: ND
                Journal
                ijcs
                International Journal of Cardiovascular Sciences
                Int. J. Cardiovasc. Sci.
                Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia (Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil )
                2359-4802
                2359-5647
                September 2017
                : 30
                : 6
                : 517-525
                Affiliations
                [1] Porto Alegre RS orgnameHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre Brazil
                Article
                S2359-56472017000600517
                10.5935/2359-4802.20170081
                678795f3-27bf-470a-9700-79eaa584587f

                This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

                History
                : 11 February 2017
                : 05 June 2017
                Page count
                Figures: 0, Tables: 0, Equations: 0, References: 29, Pages: 9
                Product

                SciELO Brazil


                Hospital,Hemorrhage,Outpatient Clinics,Fibrilação Atrial,Hemorragia,Ambulatório Hospitalar,Atrial Fibrillation

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