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      Precinct Size Matters - The Large Precinct Bias in US Presidential Elections

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          Abstract

          Examination of precinct level data in US presidential elections reveals a correlation of large precincts and increased fraction of Republican votes. The large precinct bias is analyzed with respect to voter heterogeneity and voter inconvenience as precinct size increases. The analysis shows that voter inconvenience is a significant factor in election outcomes in certain states, and may significantly disadvantage Democratic candidates.

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          Journal
          2014-10-29
          Article
          1410.8868
          681cf0c1-b95c-4698-bbba-2eede4676c2d

          http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

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          91F10 (primary), 91D10 (secondary)
          14 pages, 12 figures, 1 table
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