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      Does the recent freshening trend in the North Atlantic indicate a weakening thermohaline circulation? : DEEP NORTH ATLANTIC FRESHENING AND THC

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      Geophysical Research Letters
      American Geophysical Union (AGU)

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          Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle.

          What can we say about changes in the hydrologic cycle on 50-year timescales when we cannot predict rainfall next week? Eventually, perhaps, a great deal: the overall climate response to increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases may prove much simpler and more predictable than the chaos of short-term weather. Quantifying the diversity of possible responses is essential for any objective, probability-based climate forecast, and this task will require a new generation of climate modelling experiments, systematically exploring the range of model behaviour that is consistent with observations. It will be substantially harder to quantify the range of possible changes in the hydrologic cycle than in global-mean temperature, both because the observations are less complete and because the physical constraints are weaker.
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            The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments

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              Long-term coordinated changes in the convective activity of the North Atlantic

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Geophysical Research Letters
                Geophys. Res. Lett.
                American Geophysical Union (AGU)
                00948276
                January 2004
                January 2004
                : 31
                : 2
                Article
                10.1029/2003GL018584
                6949eaf5-5542-40f3-a478-857c7b9e8a40
                © 2004

                http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1.1

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