Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

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Paradox of enrichment: destabilization of exploitation ecosystems in ecological time.

M Rosenzweig (1971)

Six reasonable models of trophic exploitation in a two-species ecosystem whose exploiters compete only by depleting each other's resource supply are presented. In each case, increasing the supply of limiting nutrients or energy tends to destroy the steady state. Thus man must be very careful in attempting to enrich an ecosystem in order to increase its food yield. There is a real chance that such activity may result in decimation of the food species that are wanted in greater abundance.

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Handbook of Stochastic Methods

Crispin W. Gardiner (2004)

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Early warnings of regime shifts: a whole-ecosystem experiment.

S. R. Carpenter, J. J. Cole, M. L. Pace … (2011)

Catastrophic ecological regime shifts may be announced in advance by statistical early warning signals such as slowing return rates from perturbation and rising variance. The theoretical background for these indicators is rich, but real-world tests are rare, especially for whole ecosystems. We tested the hypothesis that these statistics would be early warning signals for an experimentally induced regime shift in an aquatic food web. We gradually added top predators to a lake over 3 years to destabilize its food web. An adjacent lake was monitored simultaneously as a reference ecosystem. Warning signals of a regime shift were evident in the manipulated lake during reorganization of the food web more than a year before the food web transition was complete, corroborating theory for leading indicators of ecological regime shifts.

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Author and article information

Journal

Title: Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics

Abbreviated Title: Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst.

Publisher: Annual Reviews

ISSN (Print): 1543-592X

ISSN (Electronic): 1545-2069

Publication date Created: December 04 2015

Publication date (Print): December 04 2015

Volume: 46

Issue: 1

Pages: 145-167

Article

DOI: 10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-112414-054242

SO-VID: 6bdd8424-79a5-4682-8643-c457e5e90827

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Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

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Most cited references 88

Paradox of enrichment: destabilization of exploitation ecosystems in ecological time.

Handbook of Stochastic Methods

Early warnings of regime shifts: a whole-ecosystem experiment.

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Cited by 126

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