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      Stroke: a global response is needed

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          Abstract

          Worldwide, cerebrovascular accidents (stroke) are the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability. 1 Stroke, the sudden death of some brain cells due to lack of oxygen when the blood flow to the brain is lost by blockage or rupture of an artery to the brain, is also a leading cause of dementia and depression. 2 Globally, 70% of strokes and 87% of both stroke-related deaths and disability-adjusted life years occur in low- and middle-income countries. 3 – 5 Over the last four decades, the stroke incidence in low- and middle-income countries has more than doubled. During these decades stroke incidence has declined by 42% in high-income countries. 3 On average, stroke occurs 15 years earlier in – and causes more deaths of – people living in low- and middle-income countries, when compared to those in high-income countries. 2 Strokes mainly affect individuals at the peak of their productive life. Despite its enormous impact on countries’ socio-economic development, this growing crisis has received very little attention to date. The risk factors for stroke are similar to those for coronary heart disease and other vascular diseases. Effective prevention strategies include targeting the key modifiable factors: hypertension, elevated lipids and diabetes. Risks due to lifestyle factors can also be addressed: smoking, low physical activity levels, unhealthy diet and abdominal obesity. 6 Combinations of such prevention strategies have proved effective in reducing stroke mortality even in some low-income settings. 7 , 8 Furthermore, as most guidelines are based on high-income country data, uncertainty remains regarding best management of stroke of unknown type in low- and middle-income countries. For example, in low- and middle-income countries, 34% of strokes (versus 9% in high-income countries) are of haemorrhagic subtype and up to 84% of stroke patients in low- and middle-income countries (versus 16% in high income countries) die within three years of diagnosis. 2 Current guidelines for the management of acute stroke recommend a course of treatment based on the diagnosis of ischaemic stroke (versus haemorrhagic stroke) made using computed tomography (CT) scanners. In low-resource settings, CT scanners are either unavailable or unaffordable, forcing clinicians to make difficult clinical decisions, such as whether to anticoagulate patients or not, and to what level to control their blood pressure without a means of distinguishing between ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke. These patient management challenges, combined with inadequate rehabilitation services, lack of preventive measures, as well as poor understanding of the possible unique risk factors associated with stroke in low- and middle-income countries, may account for the disproportionately large stroke burden borne by these countries. The reasons for the younger age of onset, higher rates of haemorrhagic subtype and higher case fatality, are unknown. 2 Better understanding of the possible unique risk factors for this epidemic in low- and middle-income countries is urgently needed. The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network study is investigating the underlying risk factors for stroke occurrence, subtype and outcome among people of African ancestry. 9 Understanding the genetic basis for the interactions between risk factors can inform targeted prevention efforts, as part of a broader approach with four parts: surveillance, prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. 2 This type of integrated approach will generate the evidence base to produce the guidelines needed for stroke prevention, treatment and rehabilitation in low- and middle-income countries. In the July 2016 issue of the Bulletin, Aaron Berkowitz 10 examined current acute stroke management practice in low-resource settings and outlined items for consideration when developing treatment guidelines for patients with acute stroke of unknown etiology in settings where there are no CT scanners. Berkowitz emphasized the proven efficacy of supportive care measures, such as maintaining euglycaemia and euthermia, prevention of deep-vein thrombosis and aspiration, early mobilization and prompt seizure treatment for stoke patients. He recommended judicious use of aspirin and provided blood pressure parameters for stroke patients in these circumstances. He also emphasized the need for secondary prevention. Managing acute stroke in low-resource settings requires a novel approach, one that could restart the original WHO global stroke initiative, 11 as a collaboration between the World Health Organization (WHO), the World Stroke Organization and the World Federation of Neurology, to increase awareness of stroke, generate better surveillance data and guide better prevention and management. The WHO Package of essential noncommunicable disease interventions for primary health care in low-resource settings provides protocols for cardiovascular risk reduction and stroke prevention. 12 WHO will develop guidelines for the management of acute stroke in low- and middle-income countries, and aims to expand training programmes in stroke prevention, treatment and rehabilitation through its partners.

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          Global variation in stroke burden and mortality: estimates from monitoring, surveillance, and modelling.

          Recent improvements in the monitoring and modelling of stroke have led to more reliable estimates of stroke mortality and burden worldwide. However, little is known about the global distribution of stroke and its relations to the prevalence of cardiovascular disease risk factors and sociodemographic and economic characteristics. National estimates of stroke mortality and burden (measured in disability-adjusted life years [DALYs]) were calculated from monitoring vital statistics, a systematic review of studies that report disease surveillance, and modelling as part of the WHO Global Burden of Disease programme. Similar methods were used to generate standardised measures of the national prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors. Risk factors other than diabetes and disease burden estimates were age-adjusted and sex-adjusted to the WHO standard population. There was a ten-fold difference in rates of stroke mortality and DALY loss between the most-affected and the least-affected countries. Rates of stroke mortality and DALY loss were highest in eastern Europe, north Asia, central Africa, and the south Pacific. National per capita income was the strongest predictor of mortality and DALY loss rates (p<0.0001) even after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (p<0.0001). Prevalences of cardiovascular risk factors measured at a national level were generally poor predictors of national stroke mortality rates and burden, although raised mean systolic blood pressure (p=0.028) and low body-mass index (p=0.017) predicted stroke mortality, and greater prevalence of smoking predicted both stroke mortality (p=0.041) and DALY-loss rates (p=0.034). Rates of stroke mortality and burden vary greatly among countries, but low-income countries are the most affected. Current measures of the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors at the population level poorly predict overall stroke mortality and burden and do not explain the greater burden in low-income countries.
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            Health in South Africa: changes and challenges since 2009.

            Since the 2009 Lancet Health in South Africa Series, important changes have occurred in the country, resulting in an increase in life expectancy to 60 years. Historical injustices together with the disastrous health policies of the previous administration are being transformed. The change in leadership of the Ministry of Health has been key, but new momentum is inhibited by stasis within the health management bureaucracy. Specific policy and programme changes are evident for all four of the so-called colliding epidemics: HIV and tuberculosis; chronic illness and mental health; injury and violence; and maternal, neonatal, and child health. South Africa now has the world's largest programme of antiretroviral therapy, and some advances have been made in implementation of new tuberculosis diagnostics and treatment scale-up and integration. HIV prevention has received increased attention. Child mortality has benefited from progress in addressing HIV. However, more attention to postnatal feeding support is needed. Many risk factors for non-communicable diseases have increased substantially during the past two decades, but an ambitious government policy to address lifestyle risks such as consumption of salt and alcohol provide real potential for change. Although mortality due to injuries seems to be decreasing, high levels of interpersonal violence and accidents persist. An integrated strategic framework for prevention of injury and violence is in progress but its successful implementation will need high-level commitment, support for evidence-led prevention interventions, investment in surveillance systems and research, and improved human-resources and management capacities. A radical system of national health insurance and re-engineering of primary health care will be phased in for 14 years to enable universal, equitable, and affordable health-care coverage. Finally, national consensus has been reached about seven priorities for health research with a commitment to increase the health research budget to 2·0% of national health spending. However, large racial differentials exist in social determinants of health, especially housing and sanitation for the poor and inequity between the sexes, although progress has been made in access to basic education, electricity, piped water, and social protection. Integration of the private and public sectors and of services for HIV, tuberculosis, and non-communicable diseases needs to improve, as do surveillance and information systems. Additionally, successful interventions need to be delivered widely. Transformation of the health system into a national institution that is based on equity and merit and is built on an effective human-resources system could still place South Africa on track to achieve Millennium Development Goals 4, 5, and 6 and would enhance the lives of its citizens. Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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              The burden of stroke in Africa: a glance at the present and a glimpse into the future

              Summary Objective Information on the current burden of stroke in Africa is limited. The aim of this review was to comprehensively examine the current and projected burden of stroke in Africa. Methods We systematically reviewed the available literature (PubMed and AJOL) from January 1960 and June 2014 on stroke in Africa. Percentage change in age-adjusted stroke incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for African countries between 1990 and 2010 were calculated from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) model-derived figures. Results Community-based studies revealed an age-standardised annual stroke incidence rate of up to 316 per 100 000 population, and age-standardised prevalence rates of up to 981 per 100 000. Model-based estimates showed significant mean increases in age-standardised stroke incidence. The peculiar factors responsible for the substantial disparities in incidence velocity, ischaemic stroke proportion, mean age and case fatality compared to high-income countries remain unknown. Conclusions While the available study data and evidence are limited, the burden of stroke in Africa appears to be increasing.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Bull World Health Organ
                Bull. World Health Organ
                BLT
                Bulletin of the World Health Organization
                World Health Organization
                0042-9686
                1564-0604
                01 September 2016
                01 September 2016
                : 94
                : 9
                : 634-634A
                Affiliations
                [a ]Department of Service Delivery and Safety, World Health Organization, avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland.
                [b ]Management of Noncommunicable Diseases, Disability, Violence and Injury Prevention Department, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
                [c ]Department of Medicine, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria.
                Author notes
                Correspondence to Walter Johnson (email: johnsonw@ 123456who.int ).
                Article
                BLT.16.181636
                10.2471/BLT.16.181636
                5034645
                27708464
                71ca709d-9849-4a47-bd93-222ad553e4fe
                (c) 2016 The authors; licensee World Health Organization.

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution IGO License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/legalcode), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. In any reproduction of this article there should not be any suggestion that WHO or this article endorse any specific organization or products. The use of the WHO logo is not permitted. This notice should be preserved along with the article's original URL.

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