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      Synchronous climatic change inferred from diatom records in four western Montana lakes in the U.S. Rocky Mountains

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      Quaternary Research
      Elsevier BV

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          Abstract

          Late-Holocene environmental and climatic conditions were reconstructed from diatom assemblages in sediment cores from four western Montana lakes: Crevice Lake, Foy Lake, Morrison Lake, and Reservoir Lake. The lakes show synchroneity in timing of shifts in diatom community structure, but the nature of these changes differs among the lakes. Two of the sites provide highly resolved records of hydrologic balance, while the other two stratigraphic sequences primarily record temperature impact on lake thermal structure. All four lakes show significant change in five discrete intervals: 2200–2100, 1700–1600, 1350–1200, 800–600, and 250 cal yr BP. The similarities in the timing of change suggest overlying regional climatic influences on lake dynamics. The 800–600 cal yr BP shift is evident in other paleorecords throughout the Great Plains and western US, associated with the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age. Large-scale climatic mechanisms that influence these lake environments may result from atmospheric circulation patterns that are driven by interactions between Pacific and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, which are then locally modified by topography.

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          CONISS: a FORTRAN 77 program for stratigraphically constrained cluster analysis by the method of incremental sum of squares

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            Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States.

            More than half (52%) of the spatial and temporal variance in multidecadal drought frequency over the conterminous United States is attributable to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). An additional 22% of the variance in drought frequency is related to a complex spatial pattern of positive and negative trends in drought occurrence possibly related to increasing Northern Hemisphere temperatures or some other unidirectional climate trend. Recent droughts with broad impacts over the conterminous U.S. (1996, 1999-2002) were associated with North Atlantic warming (positive AMO) and northeastern and tropical Pacific cooling (negative PDO). Much of the long-term predictability of drought frequency may reside in the multidecadal behavior of the North Atlantic Ocean. Should the current positive AMO (warm North Atlantic) conditions persist into the upcoming decade, we suggest two possible drought scenarios that resemble the continental-scale patterns of the 1930s (positive PDO) and 1950s (negative PDO) drought.
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              North American drought: Reconstructions, causes, and consequences

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                applab
                Quaternary Research
                Quat. res.
                Elsevier BV
                0033-5894
                1096-0287
                May 2012
                January 2017
                : 77
                : 03
                : 456-467
                Article
                10.1016/j.yqres.2011.12.005
                71f2b2d6-1a16-4702-88ff-a1e5d6a87c37
                © 2012

                http://www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/

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