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      Risk aware minimum principle for optimal control of stochastic differential equations

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          Abstract

          We present a probabilistic formulation of risk aware optimal control problems for stochastic differential equations. Risk awareness is in our framework captured by objective functions in which the risk neutral expectation is replaced by a risk function, a nonlinear functional of random variables that account for the controller's risk preferences. We state and prove a risk aware minimum principle that is a parsimonious generalization of the well-known risk neutral, stochastic Pontryagin's minimum principle. As our main results we give necessary and also sufficient conditions for optimality of relaxed control processes. We show that remarkably, going from the risk neutral to the risk aware case, the minimum principle is simply modified by the introduction of one additional real-valued stochastic process that acts as a risk adjustment factor for given cost rate and terminal cost functions. This adjustment process is explicitly given as the expectation, conditional on the filtration at the given time, of an appropriately defined functional derivative of the risk function evaluated at the random total cost random. For our results we rely on the Fr\'echet differentiability of the risk function, and for completeness, we prove under mild assumptions the existence of Fr\'echet derivatives of some common risk functions. We give a simple application of the results for a portfolio allocation problem and show that the risk awareness of the objective function gives rise to a risk premium term that is characterized by the risk adjustment process described above. This suggests uses of our results in e.g. pricing of risk modeled by generic risk functions in financial applications.

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          Most cited references29

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          Backward Stochastic Differential Equations in Finance

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            Convex measures of risk and trading constraints

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              Putting order in risk measures

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                21 December 2018
                Article
                1812.09179
                7565d2c9-6627-4932-8afa-cefb900ceb36

                http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

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                Custom metadata
                math.OC

                Numerical methods
                Numerical methods

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