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      Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

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          Most cited references15

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          Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

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            Toward Optimal Closure of the Earth's Top-of-Atmosphere Radiation Budget

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              Contributions of stratospheric water vapor to decadal changes in the rate of global warming.

              Stratospheric water vapor concentrations decreased by about 10% after the year 2000. Here we show that this acted to slow the rate of increase in global surface temperature over 2000-2009 by about 25% compared to that which would have occurred due only to carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. More limited data suggest that stratospheric water vapor probably increased between 1980 and 2000, which would have enhanced the decadal rate of surface warming during the 1990s by about 30% as compared to estimates neglecting this change. These findings show that stratospheric water vapor is an important driver of decadal global surface climate change.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Nature Geoscience
                Nature Geosci
                Springer Nature
                1752-0894
                1752-0908
                March 2014
                February 23 2014
                : 7
                : 3
                : 185-189
                Article
                10.1038/ngeo2098
                78f87e00-d62b-42c4-83ec-3d3070beef6c
                © 2014

                http://www.springer.com/tdm


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