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      Frailty and cardiovascular disease: potential role of gait speed in surgical risk stratification in older adults

      review-article
      Journal of Geriatric Cardiology : JGC
      Science Press
      Cardiac surgery, Frailty, Gait speed, Risk scores, Risk stratification

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          Abstract

          Frailty is a state of late life decline and vulnerability, typified by physical weakness and decreased physiologic reserve. The epidemiology and pathophysiology of frailty share features with those of cardiovascular disease. Gait speed can be used as a measure of frailty and is a powerful predictor of mortality. Advancing age is a potent risk factor for cardiovascular disease and has been associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes. Older adults comprise approximately half of cardiac surgery patients, and account for nearly 80% of the major complications and deaths following surgery. The ability of traditional risk models to predict mortality and major morbidity in older patients being considered for cardiac surgery may improve if frailty, as measured by gait speed, is included in their assessment. It is possible that in the future frailty assessment may assist in choosing among therapies (e.g., surgical vs. percutaneous aortic valve replacement for patients with aortic stenosis).

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          Most cited references97

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          Physical performance measures in the clinical setting.

          To assess the ability of gait speed alone and a three-item lower extremity performance battery to predict 12-month rates of hospitalization, decline in health, and decline in function in primary care settings serving older adults. Prospective cohort study. Primary care programs of a Medicare health maintenance organization (HMO) and Veterans Affairs (VA) system. Four hundred eighty-seven persons aged 65 and older. Lower extremity performance Established Population for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly (EPESE) battery including gait speed, chair stands, and tandem balance tests; demographics; health care use; health status; functional status; probability of repeated admission scale (Pra); and primary physician's hospitalization risk estimate. Veterans had poorer health and higher use than HMO members. Gait speed alone and the EPESE battery predicted hospitalization; 41% (21/51) of slow walkers (gait speed 1.0 m/s) (P <.0001). The relationship was stronger in the HMO than in the VA. Both performance measures remained independent predictors after accounting for Pra. The EPESE battery was superior to gait speed when both Pra and primary physician's risk estimate were included. Both performance measures predicted decline in function and health status in both health systems. Performance measures, alone or in combination with self-report measures, were more able to predict outcomes than self-report alone. Gait speed and a physical performance battery are brief, quantitative estimates of future risk for hospitalization and decline in health and function in clinical populations of older adults. Physical performance measures might serve as easily accessible "vital signs" to screen older adults in clinical settings.
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            Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype

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              European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE).

              To construct a scoring system for the prediction of early mortality in cardiac surgical patients in Europe on the basis of objective risk factors. The EuroSCORE database was divided into developmental and validation subsets. In the former, risk factors deemed to be objective, credible, obtainable and difficult to falsify were weighted on the basis of regression analysis. An additive score of predicted mortality was constructed. Its calibration and discrimination characteristics were assessed in the validation dataset. Thresholds were defined to distinguish low, moderate and high risk groups. The developmental dataset had 13,302 patients, calibration by Hosmer Lemeshow Chi square was (8) = 8.26 (P 200 micromol/l (2), active endocarditis (3) and critical preoperative state (3). Cardiac factors were unstable angina on intravenous nitrates (2), reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (30-50%: 1, 60 mmHg (2). Operation-related factors were emergency (2), other than isolated coronary surgery (2), thoracic aorta surgery (3) and surgery for postinfarct septal rupture (4). The scoring system was then applied to three risk groups. The low risk group (EuroSCORE 1-2) had 4529 patients with 36 deaths (0.8%), 95% confidence limits for observed mortality (0.56-1.10) and for expected mortality (1.27-1.29). The medium risk group (EuroSCORE 3-5) had 5977 patients with 182 deaths (3%), observed mortality (2.62-3.51), predicted (2.90-2.94). The high risk group (EuroSCORE 6 plus) had 4293 patients with 480 deaths (11.2%) observed mortality (10.25-12.16), predicted (10.93-11.54). Overall, there were 698 deaths in 14,799 patients (4.7%), observed mortality (4.37-5.06), predicted (4.72-4.95). EuroSCORE is a simple, objective and up-to-date system for assessing heart surgery, soundly based on one of the largest, most complete and accurate databases in European cardiac surgical history. We recommend its widespread use.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                J Geriatr Cardiol
                J Geriatr Cardiol
                JGC
                Journal of Geriatric Cardiology : JGC
                Science Press
                1671-5411
                January 2015
                : 12
                : 1
                : 44-56
                Affiliations
                [1]Harborview Medical Center, University of Washington School of Medicine, 325 9 th Avenue, Box 359748, Seattle, WA 98104, USA
                Author notes
                Correspondence to: Michael A. Chen, MD, PhD, Associate Professor, Harborview Medical Center, University of Washington School of Medicine, 325 9 th Avenue, Box 359748, Seattle, WA 98104, USA. E-mail: michen@ 123456u.washington.edu Telephone:+1-206-744-2289 Fax:+1-206-744-2224
                Article
                jgc-12-01-044
                10.11909/j.issn.1671-5411.2015.01.006
                4308458
                25678904
                78fb31bf-f192-4617-be10-a9a7b405abc8
                Institute of Geriatric Cardiology

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License, which allows readers to alter, transform, or build upon the article and then distribute the resulting work under the same or similar license to this one. The work must be attributed back to the original author and commercial use is not permitted without specific permission.

                History
                : 20 September 2014
                : 23 October 2014
                : 30 October 2014
                Categories
                Review

                Cardiovascular Medicine
                cardiac surgery,frailty,gait speed,risk scores,risk stratification
                Cardiovascular Medicine
                cardiac surgery, frailty, gait speed, risk scores, risk stratification

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