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      A review of studies on expert estimation of software development effort

      Journal of Systems and Software
      Elsevier BV

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          On the psychology of prediction.

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            Expert and exceptional performance: evidence of maximal adaptation to task constraints.

            Expert and exceptional performance are shown to be mediated by cognitive and perceptual-motor skills and by domain-specific physiological and anatomical adaptations. The highest levels of human performance in different domains can only be attained after around ten years of extended, daily amounts of deliberate practice activities. Laboratory analyses of expert performance in many domains such as chess, medicine, auditing, computer programming, bridge, physics, sports, typing, juggling, dance, and music reveal maximal adaptations of experts to domain-specific constraints. For example, acquired anticipatory skills circumvent general limits on reaction time, and distinctive memory skills allow a domain-specific expansion of working memory capacity to support planning, reasoning, and evaluation. Many of the mechanisms of superior expert performance serve the dual purpose of mediating experts' current performance and of allowing continued improvement of this performance in response to informative feedback during practice activities.
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              Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal of Systems and Software
                Journal of Systems and Software
                Elsevier BV
                01641212
                February 2004
                February 2004
                : 70
                : 1-2
                : 37-60
                Article
                10.1016/S0164-1212(02)00156-5
                7aa86030-290e-43e5-929f-f646a0b05273
                © 2004

                http://www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/

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