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      Improvements in a half degree atmosphere/land version of the CCSM

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          The Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3)

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            PHC: A Global Ocean Hydrography with a High-Quality Arctic Ocean

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              Improved surface temperature prediction for the coming decade from a global climate model.

              Previous climate model projections of climate change accounted for external forcing from natural and anthropogenic sources but did not attempt to predict internally generated natural variability. We present a new modeling system that predicts both internal variability and externally forced changes and hence forecasts surface temperature with substantially improved skill throughout a decade, both globally and in many regions. Our system predicts that internal variability will partially offset the anthropogenic global warming signal for the next few years. However, climate will continue to warm, with at least half of the years after 2009 predicted to exceed the warmest year currently on record.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Climate Dynamics
                Clim Dyn
                Springer Nature
                0930-7575
                1432-0894
                May 2010
                July 2009
                : 34
                : 6
                : 819-833
                Article
                10.1007/s00382-009-0614-8
                7fc40af1-edde-4dce-9769-29473f477a2e
                © 2010
                History

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